Mekelakeya vs Ethiopian Medhin: match statistics
Mekelakeya vs Ethiopian Medhin: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mekelakeya play Ethiopian Medhin in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 20 June 2026 at 14:00. Venue: Addis Ababa Stadium. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Mekelakeya: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Ethiopian Medhin: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mekelakeya scores 1.15 and concedes 0.85 goals per match. Ethiopian Medhin scores 0.78 and concedes 0.84. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mekelakeya 41%, Ethiopian Medhin 43%. Over 2.5: Mekelakeya 31%, Ethiopian Medhin 24%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Mekelakeya has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.23. Mekelakeya: 8.6 shots per match, Ethiopian Medhin: 7.3.
Match halves
Mekelakeya: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.46. Ethiopian Medhin: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.32.
Goals by minute
Mekelakeya: 31-45+ (13 goals). Ethiopian Medhin: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Mekelakeya holds an advantage based on league position (3rd vs 13th) and superior season numbers — the home side have scored 42 goals versus Ethiopian Medhin’s 29. At home Mekelakeya concedes only 0.65 goals per game on average and keep a clean sheet in 53% of matches, while Medhin concede 0.88 goals on the road and record 29% of away games without conceding, giving a defensive edge to the hosts. The visitors, however, are more efficient offensively away: 3.29 shots on target per game and a 13% conversion rate versus Mekelakeya’s 2.88 SoT and 11%, and Medhin have scored at least once in 71% of their away fixtures. Expected goals are very balanced (xG 1.27 for Mekelakeya at home vs 1.26 for Medhin away), and recent form (last 5 matches) favors the visitors (1.8 points per game vs 1.0 for the hosts). Considering the strong defence and the season-long goal advantage, I back the home win, although I expect a tight contest.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mekelakeya | Ethiopian Medhin | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mekelakeya is 47% better for: goals scored per match.
1.15 goals / match - Mekelakeya · 0.78 goals / match - Ethiopian Medhin
Mekelakeya scores in 67% of matches (26 of 39 matches), while Ethiopian Medhin keeps a clean sheet in 30% (11 of 37 matches).
Ethiopian Medhin scores in 54% of matches (20 of 37 matches), while Mekelakeya keeps a clean sheet in 46% (18 of 39 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Mekelakeya
Over / Under — Ethiopian Medhin
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mekelakeya is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / match - Mekelakeya · 1.24 pts / match - Ethiopian Medhin
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mekelakeya - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ethiopian Medhin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mekelakeya
Ethiopian Medhin
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Mekelakeya | Liga | Ethiopian Medhin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.00 | 1.78 | ▼ 1.62 |
| Both teams scored | • 41% | 40% | ▲ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 31% | 28% | ▼ 24% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 46% | 40% | ▼ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 59% | 56% | ▼ 51% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 54% | 59% | • 59% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mekelakeya 1 - 0 - 0 Ethiopian Medhin. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mekelakeya vs Ethiopian Medhin?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Mekelakeya 1:0 Ethiopian Medhin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mekelakeya vs Ethiopian Medhin?
Mekelakeya score 1.15 goals per game on average and Ethiopian Medhin 0.78. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Mekelakeya's matches and 43% of Ethiopian Medhin's.
What form are Mekelakeya and Ethiopian Medhin in?
Over the last 5 games Mekelakeya have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Ethiopian Medhin 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mekelakeya vs Ethiopian Medhin?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mekelakeya vs Ethiopian Medhin: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.