Mekelle Kenema vs Arba Minch Kenema: match statistics
Mekelle Kenema vs Arba Minch Kenema: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mekelle Kenema play Arba Minch Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 5 May 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Mekelle Kenema: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Arba Minch Kenema: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mekelle Kenema scores 0.79 and concedes 0.95 goals per match. Arba Minch Kenema scores 0.79 and concedes 1.21. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mekelle Kenema 37%, Arba Minch Kenema 42%. Over 2.5: Mekelle Kenema 34%, Arba Minch Kenema 29%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Arba Minch Kenema has higher xG: 1.12 vs 1.10. Mekelle Kenema: 6.4 shots per match, Arba Minch Kenema: 7.3.
Match halves
Mekelle Kenema: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.42. Arba Minch Kenema: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.39.
Goals by minute
Mekelle Kenema: 46-60 (9 goals). Arba Minch Kenema: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I predict a draw (X) — both teams show a strong propensity for draws: Mekelle Kenema records 50% draws at home, while Arba Minch Kenema has 43% draws away. Mekelle holds a slight offensive edge: scoring 1.07 goals per home match with xG 1.22, 3.29 shots on target and a conversion rate of 17%, whereas the visitors average 0.93 goals away with xG 1.20 and a lower conversion rate of 12%. Arba Minch’s defense is, however, more compact on the road — conceding 0.93 goals per match and keeping 36% clean sheets, while Mekelle concedes 1.21 goals at home and has only 21% clean sheets. Form over the last 5 matches is similar: Mekelle averages 1.4 points (results llwwd), Arba Minch 1.2 points (results wlddd), indicating a small margin likely to produce a draw or a narrow home win. Considering the higher home efficiency and the high draw rates for both sides, I allocate 40% to a draw, 35% to a Mekelle win and 25% to an Arba Minch win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mekelle Kenema | Arba Minch Kenema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mekelle Kenema is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.95 goals / match - Mekelle Kenema · 1.21 goals / match - Arba Minch Kenema
Mekelle Kenema scores in 53% of matches (20 of 38 matches), while Arba Minch Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 29% (11 of 38 matches).
Arba Minch Kenema scores in 53% of matches (20 of 38 matches), while Mekelle Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 39% (15 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Mekelle Kenema
Over / Under — Arba Minch Kenema
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mekelle Kenema is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.16 pts / match - Mekelle Kenema · 1.05 pts / match - Arba Minch Kenema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mekelle Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Arba Minch Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 18%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mekelle Kenema
Arba Minch Kenema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Mekelle Kenema | Liga | Arba Minch Kenema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.74 | 1.78 | ▲ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 37% | 40% | ▲ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 34% | 28% | • 29% |
| Clean sheets | • 39% | 40% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | • 55% | 56% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 61% | 59% | • 58% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mekelle Kenema 1 - 0 - 0 Arba Minch Kenema. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mekelle Kenema vs Arba Minch Kenema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Mekelle Kenema 0:2 Arba Minch Kenema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mekelle Kenema vs Arba Minch Kenema?
Mekelle Kenema score 0.79 goals per game on average and Arba Minch Kenema 0.79. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Mekelle Kenema's matches and 42% of Arba Minch Kenema's.
What form are Mekelle Kenema and Arba Minch Kenema in?
Over the last 5 games Mekelle Kenema have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Arba Minch Kenema 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mekelle Kenema vs Arba Minch Kenema?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mekelle Kenema vs Arba Minch Kenema: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.