Mes Kerman vs Navad Urmia: match statistics
Mes Kerman vs Navad Urmia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mes Kerman play Navad Urmia in Azadegan League (Iran). The match date is 16 July 2026 at 18:15. Venue: Shahid Bahonar Stadium. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Mes Kerman: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Navad Urmia: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mes Kerman scores 0.68 and concedes 0.53 goals per match. Navad Urmia scores 0.48 and concedes 1.30. League average: 1.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mes Kerman 26%, Navad Urmia 30%. Over 2.5: Mes Kerman 15%, Navad Urmia 21%. League level: BTTS 30%, Over 2.5 22%.
xG, shots and style
Mes Kerman has higher xG: 1.10 vs 0.79. Mes Kerman: 3.6 shots per match, Navad Urmia: 0.9.
Match halves
Mes Kerman: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.35. Navad Urmia: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.24.
Goals by minute
Mes Kerman: 76-90+ (7 goals). Navad Urmia: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Azadegan League: 1.59 goals per match, BTTS 30%, Over 2.5 22%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I predict a Mes Kerman win: the team sits 9th vs 17th Navad Urmia and has 9 wins this season compared to the visitors' 4. At home Mes Kerman concedes on average 0.56 goals per match and keeps a clean sheet in 56% of games, while Navad Urmia concedes 1.25 goals on average away and records a clean sheet in only 19% of matches. Mes Kerman generates more chances (average xG 1.43 at home vs 0.79 xG for the visitors on the road) and attempts more shots (10.4 vs 6.11) and shots on target (4.8 vs 2.11). The visitors struggle with finishing and form: on average 0.31 goals away, 69% of matches without scoring, 10 goals conceded in the last 5 matches and only 0.2 points per match in that period. Considering the edge in xG, chances created and the home side’s defensive solidity against the visitors’ negative away record (goal difference -15), I assess probabilities as 60% home win, 30% draw and 10% away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mes Kerman | Navad Urmia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | -16% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.31 | 0.84 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.50 | 0.00 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mes Kerman is 42% better for: goals scored per match.
0.68 goals / match - Mes Kerman · 0.48 goals / match - Navad Urmia
Mes Kerman is 145% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.53 goals / match - Mes Kerman · 1.3 goals / match - Navad Urmia
Mes Kerman scores in 53% of matches (18 of 34 matches), while Navad Urmia keeps a clean sheet in 27% (9 of 33 matches).
Navad Urmia scores in 42% of matches (14 of 33 matches), while Mes Kerman keeps a clean sheet in 56% (19 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Mes Kerman
Over / Under — Navad Urmia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mes Kerman is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / match - Mes Kerman · 0.91 pts / match - Navad Urmia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mes Kerman - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Navad Urmia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 12%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mes Kerman
Navad Urmia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Azadegan League).
Teams vs league
| Mes Kerman | Liga | Navad Urmia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.21 | 1.59 | ▲ 1.79 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 26% | 30% | • 30% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 15% | 22% | • 21% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 56% | 46% | ▼ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 35% | 46% | ▲ 52% |
| Goal after half-time | • 56% | 57% | ▼ 55% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mes Kerman 0 - 1 - 0 Navad Urmia. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mes Kerman vs Navad Urmia?
The Azadegan League match finished Mes Kerman 3:0 Navad Urmia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mes Kerman vs Navad Urmia?
Mes Kerman score 0.68 goals per game on average and Navad Urmia 0.48. The Azadegan League average is 1.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 22% of games. Both teams score in 26% of Mes Kerman's matches and 30% of Navad Urmia's.
What form are Mes Kerman and Navad Urmia in?
Over the last 5 games Mes Kerman have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Navad Urmia 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mes Kerman vs Navad Urmia?
The statistical background for Mes Kerman vs Navad Urmia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.