Romania - Liga IITeren Sintetic Cornel NegoescuData current as of 18 October 2026

Metalul Buzău vs ASA Târgu Mureş: match statistics

Metalul Buzău vs ASA Târgu Mureş: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Metalul Buzău played ASA Târgu Mureş in Liga II (Romania). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Teren Sintetic Cornel Negoescu. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Metalul Buzău: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. ASA Târgu Mureş: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Metalul Buzău scores 1.13 and concedes 0.88 goals per match. ASA Târgu Mureş scores 1.50 and concedes 1.88. League average: 2.99 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Metalul Buzău 38%, ASA Târgu Mureş 63%. Over 2.5: Metalul Buzău 25%, ASA Târgu Mureş 63%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 57%.

xG, shots and style

Metalul Buzău has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.51. Metalul Buzău: 12.3 shots per match, ASA Târgu Mureş: 10.5.

Match halves

Metalul Buzău: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.75. ASA Târgu Mureş: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.88.

Goals by minute

Metalul Buzău: 31-45+ (2 goals). ASA Târgu Mureş: 61-75 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Liga II: 2.99 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 57%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Metalul Buzău are favourites thanks to their home record: they have won 67% of such matches and scored an average of 2 goals, while ASA Târgu Mureş are yet to win away and have averaged 1 goal on the road. The hosts average 12 shots at home, including 5 on target, compared with the visitors’ 7.75 shots and 2.75 on target away from home. Metalul’s advantage is further supported by chance quality: their home xG is 1.54, while their opponents’ away xG is 1.12; ASA also allow chances worth 1.77 xG away from home. However, the visitors have won 3 of their last 5 matches, compared with 2 for the hosts, so their improved form reduces confidence in the prediction. Even so, ASA’s away defence, which concedes an average of 2 goals per match, points towards a Metalul win.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

BTTS landed in 50% of Metalul’s matches and 75% of ASA’s, which, compared with the league average of 59%, points towards goals for both sides. The hosts average 2.0 goals at home with an xG of 2.02, while the visitors concede an average of 2.0 goals and have yet to keep a clean sheet. ASA also have a realistic chance of scoring: Metalul concede an average of 1.75 goals at home, while the visitors have averaged 2.0 goals in their last five matches. Some caution is warranted given ASA’s lower away scoring average of 1.0 and just 2.75 shots on target per match; however, both teams’ defensive records give the edge to the scenario in which each side scores.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Metalul average 2.0 goals in the matches analysed, while ASA concede 2.0, giving the hosts a solid platform to score. The visitors average 1.0 goal, but their average has risen to 2.0 over their last 5 matches, so they could also get on the scoresheet. Over 1.5 goals landed in 75% of Metalul’s matches and 100% of ASA’s, while the figures for the 2.5 line were 50% and 75%, respectively. Therefore, Over 1.5 is the strongest pick: the 3.15-goal projection supports a goals bet, but the variation in results at the higher line argues for a more cautious threshold.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

The strongest signal is Metalul’s advantage in its home-match statistics: it has won 3 of 4 games, while ASA has failed to win any of its 4 away matches. The hosts led at the break in 2 of those 4 games, and the visitors were behind at half-time in 3 of 4 away fixtures, which supports the prospect of Metalul leading after 45 minutes. The hosts’ attacking advantage is reflected in an average of 6.25 shots on target compared with 2.75 for the visitors, as well as an xG of 2.02 versus 1.12. Metalul scores an average of 1.25 goals after half-time at home, while ASA averages 0.5 away, making the hosts’ most likely single scenario a lead at the break that they maintain until full-time. However, confidence in the pick is tempered by the teams’ last 5 matches overall: ASA won 3 and Metalul 2, so I still assign a meaningful chance to other outcomes.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

58Possession (%)42
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş
16Shots6
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş
6Shots on target2
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş
1.79xG0.8
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş
5Corners7
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş
50Dangerous attacks37
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş
8Fouls9
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş
0Cards0
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş
1.13Goals scored / match1.5
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş
0.88Goals conceded / match1.88
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş
56%Average possession50%
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş
4.63Shots on target / match4.5
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.25Shots per match10.5
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş
4.63Shots on target4.5
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş
9.2%Shot conversion14.3%
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş
56%Possession50%
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş
1.52xG for1.51
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş
1.04xG against1.81
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş

Shooting quality

Metalul Buzău: BalancedASA Târgu Mureş: Efficient finishing
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş
Accuracy (shots on target)38%43%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.240.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

ASA Târgu Mureş is 43% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Metalul Buzău · 2 pts / match - ASA Târgu Mureş

Metalul Buzău
LLDWW
Season result split
50% W25% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-2
1.75 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Last 5 at home
2-0-1
WLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.57Opponent xG: 0.99BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
ASA Târgu Mureş
WLWDW
Season result split
38% W25% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-3
1.38 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-2
Last 5 away
0-2-2
LDLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.74Opponent xG: 1.54BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

ASA Târgu Mureş is 33% better for: goals scored per match.

1.13 goals / match - Metalul Buzău · 1.5 goals / match - ASA Târgu Mureş

Metalul Buzău is 114% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.88 goals / match - Metalul Buzău · 1.88 goals / match - ASA Târgu Mureş

Metalul Buzău scoring profile: very strong

Metalul Buzău scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while ASA Târgu Mureş keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).

ASA Târgu Mureş scoring profile: strong

ASA Târgu Mureş scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Metalul Buzău keeps a clean sheet in 50% (4 of 8 matches).

9Goals scored (season)12
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş
7Goals conceded (season)15
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş
2Average goals in match3.38
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş
5Goals scored (last 5)10
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş
6Goals conceded (last 5)10
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal75%
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş
25%2 goals38%
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş
13%3 goals25%
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş
0%4 goals13%
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal88%
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş
25%2 goals75%
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş
13%3 goals25%
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş
0%4 goals0%
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

60%
League average

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time38%
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş
0%BTTS in both halves25%
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş
0%Scored in both halves25%
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş

BTTS and goal count

25%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş
40%BTTS - last 560%
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş
13%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time25%
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Metalul Buzău is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.25 pts / match - Metalul Buzău · 0.88 pts / match - ASA Târgu Mureş

Metalul Buzău - half-time state
25% leading50% draw25% trailing
ASA Târgu Mureş - half-time state
25% leading13% draw63% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.25Points per match (1st half)0.88
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş
0.38Goals scored (1st half)0.63
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş
0.38Goals conceded (1st half)1
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş
0.75Average goals (1st half)1.63
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş
63%Clean sheet before half-time13%
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş
63%No goal before half-time50%
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş

After half-time (2nd half)

1.38Points per match (2nd half)1.25
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş
0.75Goals scored (2nd half)0.88
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.88
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş
1.25Average goals (2nd half)1.75
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş
63%Clean sheet after half-time38%
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş
63%No goal after half-time50%
Metalul BuzăuASA Târgu Mureş

Metalul Buzău - second-half results

38% W25% D38% L
10
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

ASA Târgu Mureş - second-half results

25% W50% D25% L
7
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.88
PPG before half-time
Lead holding152%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Metalul Buzău - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.20
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match0.81.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
ASA Târgu Mureş - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.20
Goals scored / match0.81.2
Goals conceded / match0.81.2
Average goals in match1.62.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Metalul Buzău
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
1
1
16-30
2
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
2
2
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

ASA Târgu Mureş
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
2
4
16-30
3
3
31-45
2
3
46-60
4
2
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.69
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
90%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
51%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+12%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Metalul Buzău

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.48
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.39
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
67%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
68%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.35
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

ASA Târgu Mureş

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
115%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
111%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.62
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
8% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
8%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga II).

Teams vs league

Metalul BuzăuLigaASA Târgu Mureş
Average goals in match▼ 2.002.99▲ 3.38
Both teams scored▼ 38%60%▲ 63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 25%57%▲ 63%
Clean sheets▲ 50%22%▼ 13%
Goal before half-time▼ 63%79%▲ 100%
Goal after half-time▼ 75%85%▼ 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.99
Average goals per match
60%
Both teams scored
57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.69
Home goals / match
1.30
Away goals / match
+30%
Home attack advantage
+23%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
52%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Other recorded players

Away team

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Metalul BuzăuGoalValentin Robert Robu

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Metalul Buzău 1 - 0 - 1 ASA Târgu Mureş. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Metalul Buzău vs ASA Târgu Mureş?

The Liga II match finished Metalul Buzău 1:0 ASA Târgu Mureş. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Metalul Buzău and ASA Târgu Mureş?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Metalul Buzău won 1, ASA Târgu Mureş won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Metalul Buzău vs ASA Târgu Mureş?

Metalul Buzău score 1.13 goals per game on average and ASA Târgu Mureş 1.50. The Liga II average is 2.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Metalul Buzău's matches and 63% of ASA Târgu Mureş's.

What form are Metalul Buzău and ASA Târgu Mureş in?

Over the last 5 games Metalul Buzău have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and ASA Târgu Mureş 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Metalul Buzău vs ASA Târgu Mureş?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Metalul Buzău vs ASA Târgu Mureş: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.