Miami FC II vs Louisville City: match statistics
Miami FC II vs Louisville City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Miami FC II play Louisville City in USL Championship (United States). The match date is 24 May 2026 at 01:00. Final score: 4:3.
Current form
Miami FC II: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Louisville City: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Miami FC II scores 1.25 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Louisville City scores 1.63 and concedes 1.56. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Miami FC II 50%, Louisville City 56%. Over 2.5: Miami FC II 50%, Louisville City 50%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Louisville City has higher xG: 1.95 vs 1.34. Miami FC II: 11.3 shots per match, Louisville City: 16.5.
Match halves
Miami FC II: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.69. Louisville City: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Miami FC II: 76-90+ (5 goals). Louisville City: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
5 H2H matches: 0-0-5. Average goals 3.60, BTTS 60%.
Match description
The favorites are the visitors — Louisville City sit 6th vs Miami FC II in 13th and have a superior goal output: 16 goals this season vs 11, and in the last 5 matches they scored 10 goals vs the hosts' 9. Offensively Louisville generates more quality (average xG 1.78 vs 1.41 for Miami) and attempts more shots (15.0 avg per match vs 12.25), with the same average of 4.25 shots on target, translating to higher efficiency (12% conversion vs 10%). The key difference is the share of matches without scoring — the visitors have 0% clean blanks on the road, while Miami failed to score in 50% of their home games, which significantly reduces the hosts’ chances. Defensively both teams concede an average 1.5 goals per match, but xG against is 1.31 for Louisville and 1.47 for Miami, and in the last 5 matches the visitors conceded 8 goals vs Miami’s 9, giving a slight defensive edge to the visitors. Considering league position (6 vs 13), better xG, higher conversion and 0% FTS for the visitors, I predict a Louisville win and estimate probabilities at 55% for the visitors, 25% for a draw and 20% for the hosts.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Miami FC II | Louisville City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Louisville City is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Miami FC II · 1.6 pts / match - Louisville City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Louisville City is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
1.25 goals / match - Miami FC II · 1.63 goals / match - Louisville City
Miami FC II scores in 56% of matches (9 of 16 matches), while Louisville City keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).
Louisville City scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Miami FC II keeps a clean sheet in 38% (6 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Miami FC II
Over / Under — Louisville City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Miami FC II is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.31 pts / match - Miami FC II · 0.88 pts / match - Louisville City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Miami FC II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Louisville City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Miami FC II
Louisville City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Miami FC II | Liga | Louisville City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.75 | 2.79 | ▲ 3.19 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 58% | ▼ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 26% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 67% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 80% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Miami FC II 0 - 0 - 5 Louisville City. Average goals 3.60, both teams scored in 60% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Miami FC II vs Louisville City?
The USL Championship match finished Miami FC II 4:3 Louisville City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Miami FC II and Louisville City?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Miami FC II won 0, Louisville City won 5 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Miami FC II vs Louisville City?
Miami FC II score 1.25 goals per game on average and Louisville City 1.63. The USL Championship average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Miami FC II's matches and 56% of Louisville City's.
What form are Miami FC II and Louisville City in?
Over the last 5 games Miami FC II have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Louisville City 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Miami FC II vs Louisville City?
The statistical background for Miami FC II vs Louisville City — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.