Mil Mugan FK vs Neftçi: match statistics
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Mil Mugan FK vs Neftçi: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mil Mugan FK play Neftçi in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match date is 11 September 2026. Venue: Heydər Əliyev adına şəhər stadionu.
Current form
Mil Mugan FK: 1-1-2, 1.00 points/match. Neftçi: 3-0-1, 2.25 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mil Mugan FK scores 0.75 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Neftçi scores 3.00 and concedes 0.75. League average: 2.45 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mil Mugan FK 50%, Neftçi 50%. Over 2.5: Mil Mugan FK 50%, Neftçi 75%. League level: BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Neftçi has higher xG: 1.90 vs 1.46. Mil Mugan FK: 13.3 shots per match, Neftçi: 15.0.
Match halves
Mil Mugan FK: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.50. Neftçi: half-time lead 75%, second-half goals 1.25.
Goals by minute
Mil Mugan FK: 31-45+ (1 goals). Neftçi: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premyer Liqası: 2.45 goals per match, BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-1. Average goals 3.67, BTTS 33%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mil Mugan FK | Neftçi | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.15 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Neftçi is 125% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Mil Mugan FK · 2.25 pts / match - Neftçi
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Neftçi is 300% better for: goals scored per match.
0.75 goals / match - Mil Mugan FK · 3 goals / match - Neftçi
Neftçi is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - Mil Mugan FK · 0.75 goals / match - Neftçi
Mil Mugan FK scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Neftçi keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
Neftçi scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Mil Mugan FK keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mil Mugan FK
Over / Under - Neftçi
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Neftçi is 200% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.75 pts / match - Mil Mugan FK · 2.25 pts / match - Neftçi
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mil Mugan FK - second-half results
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Neftçi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 75% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 25% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 75% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.25 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 50% |
| No goal | 25% | 25% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mil Mugan FK
Neftçi
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Mil Mugan FK | Liga | Neftçi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.45 | ▲ 3.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 36% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 45% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 39% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 64% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 73% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Mil Mugan FK 1 - 1 - 1 Neftçi. Average goals 3.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
When do Mil Mugan FK and Neftçi play?
Mil Mugan FK face Neftçi on 11 September 2026 in Premyer Liqası at Heydər Əliyev adına şəhər stadionu. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Mil Mugan FK and Neftçi?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Mil Mugan FK won 1, Neftçi won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Mil Mugan FK vs Neftçi?
Mil Mugan FK score 0.75 goals per game on average and Neftçi 3.00. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.45 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Mil Mugan FK's matches and 50% of Neftçi's.
What form are Mil Mugan FK and Neftçi in?
Over the last 5 games Mil Mugan FK have a 1-1-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Neftçi 3-0-1 (2.25 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mil Mugan FK vs Neftçi?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mil Mugan FK vs Neftçi: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.