Milton Keynes Dons vs Colchester United: match statistics
Milton Keynes Dons are showing significantly better form, averaging 2.6 points per game in their last five matches, while Colchester United manage only 1.4 points. The hosts occupy a high 2nd position in the table and demonstrate impressive efficiency in home games with a 56% win rate, averaging 1.89 goals scored and just 0.89 conceded per match. Colchester have a weaker away record (33% wins, 33% draws, 33% losses) and a concerning 28% rate of away matches without scoring. The xG difference confirms the hosts' superiority (1.42 xG For compared to 1.19 xG For the visitors), and MK Dons' positive home goal difference (+18) versus Colchester's neutral away goal difference (+0) further supports the home side. Taking all statistics into account, especially MK Dons' excellent run of four wins in their last five matches, a comfortable home victory is predicted.
Milton Keynes Dons vs Colchester United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Milton Keynes Dons played Colchester United in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 18 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Milton Keynes Dons: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Colchester United: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Milton Keynes Dons scores 2.00 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Colchester United scores 1.39 and concedes 1.08. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Milton Keynes Dons 62%, Colchester United 53%. Over 2.5: Milton Keynes Dons 57%, Colchester United 33%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Milton Keynes Dons has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.37. Milton Keynes Dons: 12.1 shots per match, Colchester United: 11.7.
Match halves
Milton Keynes Dons: half-time lead 62%, second-half goals 0.86. Colchester United: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.64.
Goals by minute
Milton Keynes Dons: 31-45+ (16 goals). Colchester United: 0-15 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Milton Keynes Dons are showing significantly better form, averaging 2.6 points per game in their last five matches, while Colchester United manage only 1.4 points. The hosts occupy a high 2nd position in the table and demonstrate impressive efficiency in home games with a 56% win rate, averaging 1.89 goals scored and just 0.89 conceded per match. Colchester have a weaker away record (33% wins, 33% draws, 33% losses) and a concerning 28% rate of away matches without scoring. The xG difference confirms the hosts' superiority (1.42 xG For compared to 1.19 xG For the visitors), and MK Dons' positive home goal difference (+18) versus Colchester's neutral away goal difference (+0) further supports the home side. Taking all statistics into account, especially MK Dons' excellent run of four wins in their last five matches, a comfortable home victory is predicted.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Milton Keynes Dons | Colchester United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Milton Keynes Dons is 86% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Milton Keynes Dons · 1.4 pts / match - Colchester United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Milton Keynes Dons is 44% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Milton Keynes Dons · 1.39 goals / match - Colchester United
Milton Keynes Dons is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Milton Keynes Dons · 1.08 goals / match - Colchester United
Milton Keynes Dons scores in 89% of matches (33 of 37 matches), while Colchester United keeps a clean sheet in 25% (9 of 36 matches).
Colchester United scores in 69% of matches (25 of 36 matches), while Milton Keynes Dons keeps a clean sheet in 32% (12 of 37 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Milton Keynes Dons
Over / Under - Colchester United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Milton Keynes Dons is 63% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.08 pts / match - Milton Keynes Dons · 1.28 pts / match - Colchester United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Milton Keynes Dons - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 62% of matches and wins 54%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Colchester United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (16 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Milton Keynes Dons
Colchester United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Milton Keynes Dons | Liga | Colchester United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.55 | • 2.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 52% | • 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 47% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 27% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 84% | 67% | • 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 77% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Milton Keynes Dons 0 - 0 - 1 Colchester United. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Milton Keynes Dons vs Colchester United?
The EFL League Two match finished Milton Keynes Dons 1:0 Colchester United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Milton Keynes Dons vs Colchester United?
Milton Keynes Dons score 2.00 goals per game on average and Colchester United 1.39. The EFL League Two average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Milton Keynes Dons's matches and 53% of Colchester United's.
What form are Milton Keynes Dons and Colchester United in?
Over the last 5 games Milton Keynes Dons have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Colchester United 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Milton Keynes Dons vs Colchester United?
The statistical background for Milton Keynes Dons vs Colchester United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.