Mineros de Zacatecas vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Mineros de Zacatecas vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mineros de Zacatecas play Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 25 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba.
Current form
Mineros de Zacatecas: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mineros de Zacatecas scores 2.00 and concedes 1.77 goals per match. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores 2.23 and concedes 1.46. League average: 3.26 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mineros de Zacatecas 62%, Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 77%. Over 2.5: Mineros de Zacatecas 77%, Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 69%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.52. Mineros de Zacatecas: 13.2 shots per match, Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: 13.6.
Match halves
Mineros de Zacatecas: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.23. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: half-time lead 54%, second-half goals 0.92.
Goals by minute
Mineros de Zacatecas: 76-90+ (8 goals). Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: 0-15 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 3.26 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mineros de Zacatecas | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Mineros de Zacatecas · 2.23 goals / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.77 goals / match - Mineros de Zacatecas · 1.46 goals / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Mineros de Zacatecas scores in 85% of matches (11 of 13 matches), while Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores in 92% of matches (12 of 13 matches), while Mineros de Zacatecas keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mineros de Zacatecas
Over / Under - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.46 pts / match - Mineros de Zacatecas · 1.85 pts / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mineros de Zacatecas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 54% of matches and wins 54%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mineros de Zacatecas
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Mineros de Zacatecas | Liga | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.77 | 3.26 | ▲ 3.69 |
| Both teams scored | • 62% | 61% | ▲ 77% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 77% | 63% | ▲ 69% |
| Clean sheets | • 23% | 22% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | • 77% | 76% | ▲ 92% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 82% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Mineros de Zacatecas 2 - 0 - 0 Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
When do Mineros de Zacatecas and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara play?
Mineros de Zacatecas face Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara on 25 October 2026 in Ascenso MX at Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Mineros de Zacatecas and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Mineros de Zacatecas won 2, Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Mineros de Zacatecas vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara?
Mineros de Zacatecas score 2.00 goals per game on average and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 2.23. The Ascenso MX average is 3.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Mineros de Zacatecas's matches and 77% of Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara's.
What form are Mineros de Zacatecas and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara in?
Over the last 5 games Mineros de Zacatecas have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mineros de Zacatecas vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara?
The statistical background for Mineros de Zacatecas vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.