Mirassol vs Palmeiras: match statistics
Mirassol vs Palmeiras: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mirassol played Palmeiras in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 30 August 2026. Venue: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Mirassol: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Palmeiras: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mirassol scores 1.13 and concedes 1.57 goals per match. Palmeiras scores 1.83 and concedes 0.83. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mirassol 70%, Palmeiras 63%. Over 2.5: Mirassol 57%, Palmeiras 58%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Palmeiras has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.46. Mirassol: 13.2 shots per match, Palmeiras: 14.0.
Match halves
Mirassol: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.39. Palmeiras: half-time lead 54%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
Mirassol: 16-30 (8 goals). Palmeiras: 16-30 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Palmeiras lead the table with 15 wins and just 3 defeats this season, while Mirassol sit 17th with a record of 6 wins and 11 losses. The visitors have been clearly more consistent over their last five matches: they have scored 8 goals, conceded 5, and collected an average of 1.6 points per game, whereas Mirassol have failed to win any of those matches, scoring just 4 goals and conceding 10. Away from home, Palmeiras average 1.92 goals with a 16% shot conversion rate, while the hosts concede 1.50 goals per home game and have kept a clean sheet in just 8% of matches. Mirassol do create higher-quality chances at home, with an average xG of 1.71 compared with Palmeiras’ 1.38 away from home, but their poor current efficiency and defensive record favour the league leaders to capitalise on their superior quality and form. A draw remains a realistic outcome, as both teams have drawn 25% of their matches in these conditions; however, a Palmeiras victory is the more likely result.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS pick is supported by the seasonal frequency of both teams scoring in the same match: Mirassol records this in 67% of games, while Palmeiras stands at 58%, compared with the league average of 57%. In their last five matches, Mirassol had BTTS in as many as 80% of games and conceded an average of 2.0 goals, which significantly increases the chances of Palmeiras scoring. The visitors are consistent in attack, averaging 1.92 goals per match this season and 1.6 goals across their last five outings, with an xG of 1.78. Mirassol’s current finishing has been weaker, as they scored only 0.8 goals per game in their last five matches, but they have generated an xG of 1.30, while Palmeiras allows opponents an xG of 1.20. The main risk to the pick is Palmeiras’ 42% clean-sheet rate, but given Mirassol’s 67% seasonal BTTS rate and recent defensive vulnerability, it is more likely that both teams will score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Mirassol has scored just 0.8 goals per game across its last five matches, while conceding 2.0, which limits its own attacking contribution. Palmeiras is in better offensive form, averaging 1.6 goals and an xG of 1.78 over its last five matches, but has conceded only 0.92 goals per game away from home this season. Both teams have exceeded 3.5 total goals relatively rarely: in 17% of Mirassol’s matches and 42% of Palmeiras’ matches, while across their last five league rounds, each surpassed 2.5 goals in just 40% of games. The projected total of 2.45 goals points to a match with a realistic chance of two or three goals, making Under 3.5 goals a stronger option than the other lines.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A half-time draw is the most likely outcome, as both teams were level after 45 minutes in 42% of their matches, while Palmeiras recorded a draw at the break in as many as 80% of their last five games. Mirassol are clearly the weaker side in terms of current form: they have failed to win any of their last five matches, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, compared with Palmeiras’ averages of 1.6 goals scored and just 1.0 conceded. After the break, the hosts scored only 0.2 goals per game and conceded 1.6 in their last five outings, which favours the visitors taking control late on. During this period, Palmeiras averaged 1.2 goals after half-time, while Mirassol lost the second half in 80% of those matches. Although the hosts have strong season-long home results, the advantage in current form and Palmeiras’ stronger second-half profile point towards the X/2 HT/FT outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mirassol | Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Palmeiras is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Mirassol · 1.4 pts / match - Palmeiras
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Palmeiras is 62% better for: goals scored per match.
1.13 goals / match - Mirassol · 1.83 goals / match - Palmeiras
Palmeiras is 89% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.57 goals / match - Mirassol · 0.83 goals / match - Palmeiras
Mirassol scores in 74% of matches (17 of 23 matches), while Palmeiras keeps a clean sheet in 38% (9 of 24 matches).
Palmeiras scores in 92% of matches (22 of 24 matches), while Mirassol keeps a clean sheet in 4% (1 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mirassol
Over / Under - Palmeiras
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Palmeiras is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.48 pts / match - Mirassol · 2.04 pts / match - Palmeiras
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mirassol - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 26%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Palmeiras - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 54% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mirassol
Palmeiras
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Mirassol | Liga | Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.70 | 2.62 | • 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 58% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 50% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 4% | 24% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 76% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 78% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Mirassol 1 - 1 - 1 Palmeiras. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mirassol vs Palmeiras?
The Serie A match finished Mirassol 1:1 Palmeiras. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Mirassol and Palmeiras?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Mirassol won 1, Palmeiras won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Mirassol vs Palmeiras?
Mirassol score 1.13 goals per game on average and Palmeiras 1.83. The Serie A average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Mirassol's matches and 63% of Palmeiras's.
What form are Mirassol and Palmeiras in?
Over the last 5 games Mirassol have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Palmeiras 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mirassol vs Palmeiras?
The statistical background for Mirassol vs Palmeiras — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.