Palmeiras vs Mirassol: match statistics
Palmeiras boasts impressive home form with a 100% win rate (2/2 matches) and a very high average of goals scored (3.5 per game). The hosts are 2nd in the table and have won 4 of their last 5 overall matches, indicating excellent disposition. Mirassol has not won any away match this season (0% Win%), drawing all 3 of their fixtures on the road, which shows their difficulty in securing points away from their own stadium. A significant advantage for Palmeiras in expected goals (xG For 1.77 vs 1.01 for Mirassol) and better shot efficiency (23% vs 25%, but with a higher volume of attempts) further support the prediction of a home win. The visitors' poor form in their last 5 matches (0.6 points per game) and the lack of clean sheets for both hosts and visitors suggest that Palmeiras should control this match and claim all three points.
Palmeiras vs Mirassol: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Palmeiras played Mirassol in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 15 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Palmeiras: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Mirassol: 1-3-0, 1.50 points/match.
Goal statistics
Palmeiras scores 2.60 and concedes 1.40 goals per match. Mirassol scores 2.00 and concedes 1.75. League average: 2.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Palmeiras 100%, Mirassol 100%. Over 2.5: Palmeiras 100%, Mirassol 100%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Mirassol has higher xG: 1.73 vs 1.46. Palmeiras: 12.6 shots per match, Mirassol: 15.3.
Match halves
Palmeiras: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 1.00. Mirassol: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.25.
Goals by minute
Palmeiras: 16-30 (4 goals). Mirassol: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Palmeiras boasts impressive home form with a 100% win rate (2/2 matches) and a very high average of goals scored (3.5 per game). The hosts are 2nd in the table and have won 4 of their last 5 overall matches, indicating excellent disposition. Mirassol has not won any away match this season (0% Win%), drawing all 3 of their fixtures on the road, which shows their difficulty in securing points away from their own stadium. A significant advantage for Palmeiras in expected goals (xG For 1.77 vs 1.01 for Mirassol) and better shot efficiency (23% vs 25%, but with a higher volume of attempts) further support the prediction of a home win. The visitors' poor form in their last 5 matches (0.6 points per game) and the lack of clean sheets for both hosts and visitors suggest that Palmeiras should control this match and claim all three points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Palmeiras | Mirassol | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 48% | 48% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Palmeiras is 33% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Palmeiras · 1.5 pts / match - Mirassol
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Palmeiras is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
2.6 goals / match - Palmeiras · 2 goals / match - Mirassol
Palmeiras is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.4 goals / match - Palmeiras · 1.75 goals / match - Mirassol
Palmeiras scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Mirassol keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).
Mirassol scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Palmeiras keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Palmeiras
Over / Under - Mirassol
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Palmeiras is 76% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.2 pts / match - Palmeiras · 1.25 pts / match - Mirassol
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Palmeiras - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mirassol - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 75% | 75% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 25% | 50% |
| No goal | 25% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Palmeiras
Mirassol
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Palmeiras | Liga | Mirassol | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.00 | 2.78 | ▲ 3.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 100% | 63% | ▲ 100% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 47% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 19% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 78% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 78% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Palmeiras 0 - 1 - 1 Mirassol. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Palmeiras vs Mirassol?
The Serie A match finished Palmeiras 1:0 Mirassol. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Palmeiras and Mirassol?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Palmeiras won 0, Mirassol won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Palmeiras vs Mirassol?
Palmeiras score 2.60 goals per game on average and Mirassol 2.00. The Serie A average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Palmeiras's matches and 100% of Mirassol's.
What form are Palmeiras and Mirassol in?
Over the last 5 games Palmeiras have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Mirassol 1-3-0 (1.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Palmeiras vs Mirassol?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Palmeiras vs Mirassol: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.