Mirassol vs Vitória: match statistics
Mirassol vs Vitória: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mirassol played Vitória in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 13 September 2026. Venue: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Mirassol: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Vitória: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mirassol scores 1.12 and concedes 1.54 goals per match. Vitória scores 0.96 and concedes 1.42. League average: 2.65 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mirassol 69%, Vitória 35%. Over 2.5: Mirassol 54%, Vitória 35%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Mirassol has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.29. Mirassol: 13.2 shots per match, Vitória: 11.9.
Match halves
Mirassol: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.46. Vitória: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Mirassol: 16-30 (8 goals). Vitória: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-2. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mirassol have the stronger case at home: they win 38% of their home matches, while Vitória are still without an away victory and have lost 69% of their matches on the road. The hosts create significantly more chances, averaging 1.69 xG, 15.15 shots and 5.54 shots on target per match, compared with Vitória’s 1.12 xG, 9.92 shots and 3.38 shots on target away from home. The visitors’ attacking weakness on the road is particularly significant: they score just 0.62 goals per match and fail to score in 46% of away fixtures, while conceding an average of 2.15 goals. Neither team has impressed over the last five rounds, but Mirassol collected 6 points and conceded 5 goals, whereas Vitória earned 3 points, scored only 2 goals and lost four times. Mirassol’s superiority in chance quality, combined with Vitória’s very poor away record, points to a Mirassol win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Mirassol’s home defensive record: the hosts concede an average of just 0.69 goals and keep a clean sheet in 69% of matches. Vitória score only 0.62 goals per away game, and in their last five appearances they have netted just 2 goals in total, averaging 0.4 per match. The visitors have failed to score in 46% of their matches, while their shot conversion rate is only 6%, limiting the value of their 1.12 xG. Mirassol should have favorable conditions to score, as Vitória concede an average of 2.15 goals away from home and keep a clean sheet in only 8% of matches. However, the more likely scenario is that at least one team—most likely the visitors—will fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Mirassol concede an average of just 0.69 goals at home and keep a clean sheet in 69% of matches, while Vitória score only 0.62 goals away from home. The hosts have promising attacking potential against this defense, as Vitória concede an average of 2.15 goals per away match; however, Mirassol’s last five appearances produced only 0.8 goals scored per game. Over 2.5 goals landed in just 20% of the last five matches involving both teams, while Vitória scored only 2 goals during that period. Over the course of the season, Mirassol matches finished with under 3.5 goals in 85% of cases, while Vitória have recorded the same outcome in 69% of matches. The projected total of 2.25 goals points to a clear edge for Under 3.5, even if the hosts take advantage of their opponents’ defensive weakness.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Mirassol victory, as the hosts have been level at the break in 60% of their last five matches, while Vitória have done so in as many as 80%. During this period, the visitors have failed to score a single goal before half-time, whereas Mirassol have conceded an average of just 0.4 goals before the break. After half-time, the hosts’ advantage should grow: they score an average of 0.77 goals in second halves, while Vitória concede 1.00. Over the entire season, Mirassol have won 69% of their matches and kept a clean sheet in 69% of their appearances, whereas Vitória have not won a single match, score an average of 0.62 goals, and allow opponents 2.15 goals per game.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mirassol | Vitória | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Vitória is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Mirassol · 1.2 pts / match - Vitória
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mirassol is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1.12 goals / match - Mirassol · 0.96 goals / match - Vitória
Vitória is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.54 goals / match - Mirassol · 1.42 goals / match - Vitória
Mirassol scores in 73% of matches (19 of 26 matches), while Vitória keeps a clean sheet in 38% (10 of 26 matches).
Vitória scores in 65% of matches (17 of 26 matches), while Mirassol keeps a clean sheet in 4% (1 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mirassol
Over / Under - Vitória
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mirassol is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - Mirassol · 1.04 pts / match - Vitória
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mirassol - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 27%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Vitória - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mirassol
Vitória
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Mirassol | Liga | Vitória | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.65 | 2.65 | ▼ 2.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 69% | 59% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 54% | 51% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 4% | 23% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | • 73% | 74% | • 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 79% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Mirassol 0 - 1 - 2 Vitória. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mirassol vs Vitória?
The Serie A match finished Mirassol 2:2 Vitória. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Mirassol and Vitória?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Mirassol won 0, Vitória won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Mirassol vs Vitória?
Mirassol score 1.12 goals per game on average and Vitória 0.96. The Serie A average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Mirassol's matches and 35% of Vitória's.
What form are Mirassol and Vitória in?
Over the last 5 games Mirassol have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Vitória 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mirassol vs Vitória?
The statistical background for Mirassol vs Vitória — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


