Mladá Boleslav vs Baník Ostrava: match statistics
Mladá Boleslav vs Baník Ostrava: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mladá Boleslav played Baník Ostrava in First League (Czechia). The match was played on 6 September 2026. Venue: Lokotrans Aréna (Mladá Boleslav). Final score: 4:0.
Current form
Mladá Boleslav: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Baník Ostrava: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mladá Boleslav scores 2.20 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. Baník Ostrava scores 0.80 and concedes 1.20. League average: 2.90 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mladá Boleslav 80%, Baník Ostrava 20%. Over 2.5: Mladá Boleslav 60%, Baník Ostrava 40%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Mladá Boleslav has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.24. Mladá Boleslav: 12.6 shots per match, Baník Ostrava: 10.2.
Match halves
Mladá Boleslav: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 1.00. Baník Ostrava: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.40.
Goals by minute
Mladá Boleslav: 61-75 (4 goals). Baník Ostrava: 46-60 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First League: 2.90 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-3-0. Average goals 0.67, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mladá Boleslav remain unbeaten after 5 rounds, scoring 11 goals and collecting 11 points, while Baník Ostrava have recorded 3 wins and 2 defeats. The hosts have won both of their home matches so far, averaging 2 goals scored and conceding just 0.5 goals per game; away from home, the visitors average 1 goal scored and 1 conceded per match. Boleslav are also significantly more clinical, converting 17% of their shots compared with Baník’s 8%, despite taking an average of one fewer shot per game. Ostrava create slightly better chances away from home, with an average xG of 1.43 compared with the hosts’ 1.17, but their away form consists of one defeat and one win, while Mladá Boleslav have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their matches. Home advantage, superior finishing and a more stable defensive record all point towards a home win, although the visitors’ attacking potential limits the expected margin of victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS - Yes pick is primarily supported by the teams’ current attacking form: Mladá Boleslav have averaged 2.2 goals over their last 5 matches, while Baník Ostrava have averaged 2.4. Both sides have also created solid-quality chances, with average xG figures of 1.56 and 1.73 respectively, while their defences have allowed opponents an xG of 1.48 and 1.37. Mladá Boleslav recorded BTTS in 60% of their last five games, matching the league average for this market and slightly strengthening the scenario of goals at both ends. The main risk to the pick is that the hosts have kept a clean sheet in 67% of their matches this season, while Baník have recorded BTTS in only 20% of their last five games. However, the high current attacking output of both teams gives a slight edge to the BTTS - Yes option.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams are in strong attacking form: over their last 5 matches, Mladá Boleslav have averaged 2.2 goals, while Baník Ostrava have averaged 2.4. The xG figures also point towards goals, with five-match averages of 1.56 for the home side and 1.73 for the visitors. At the same time, the 3.5-goal line is supported by season results: 67% of Mladá Boleslav’s matches and as many as 100% of Baník’s games have ended with fewer than four goals. Neither team has scored more than two goals in a single match this season, while the average conversion rate for both sides stands at just 8%. Therefore, a 2-3-goal scenario appears most likely, and Under 3.5 offers a clearer edge than the lower goal lines.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Mladá Boleslav are unbeaten in their last five matches, averaging 2.2 goals scored and conceding just 0.8, while Baník have suffered two defeats over the same period and conceded an average of 1.2 goals. The hosts were leading at the break in three of their last five matches, and their defence conceded just 0.4 goals per game before half-time, compared with 0.8 for the visitors. Baník also tend to start strongly, averaging 1.6 goals before the break in their last five outings, so scenarios involving a visitors’ lead remain a significant alternative in the HT/FT market. However, the hosts’ advantage lies in their greater consistency: they have won 60% of their recent matches and have not lost any, while their home win rate stands at 67%. After half-time, both teams have recently conceded an average of just 0.4 goals, which favours Mladá Boleslav holding on to a potential one-goal lead until full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mladá Boleslav | Baník Ostrava | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mladá Boleslav is 22% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Mladá Boleslav · 1.8 pts / match - Baník Ostrava
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mladá Boleslav is 175% better for: goals scored per match.
2.2 goals / match - Mladá Boleslav · 0.8 goals / match - Baník Ostrava
Mladá Boleslav scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Baník Ostrava keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 matches).
Baník Ostrava scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Mladá Boleslav keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mladá Boleslav
Over / Under - Baník Ostrava
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mladá Boleslav is 43% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - Mladá Boleslav · 1.4 pts / match - Baník Ostrava
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mladá Boleslav - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Baník Ostrava - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mladá Boleslav
Baník Ostrava
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Mladá Boleslav | Liga | Baník Ostrava | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.40 | 2.90 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 80% | 55% | ▼ 20% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 55% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 24% | ▲ 60% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 76% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 86% | ▼ 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Mladá Boleslav 0 - 3 - 0 Baník Ostrava. Average goals 0.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mladá Boleslav vs Baník Ostrava?
The First League match finished Mladá Boleslav 4:0 Baník Ostrava. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Mladá Boleslav and Baník Ostrava?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Mladá Boleslav won 0, Baník Ostrava won 0 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 0.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Mladá Boleslav vs Baník Ostrava?
Mladá Boleslav score 2.20 goals per game on average and Baník Ostrava 0.80. The First League average is 2.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Mladá Boleslav's matches and 20% of Baník Ostrava's.
What form are Mladá Boleslav and Baník Ostrava in?
Over the last 5 games Mladá Boleslav have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Baník Ostrava 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mladá Boleslav vs Baník Ostrava?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mladá Boleslav vs Baník Ostrava: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.