Modena vs Calcio Padova: match statistics
Modena performs significantly better as a host, occupying 6th place in the table with an impressive record of 46% matches won at home and only 15% of games without scoring a goal. The hosts possess an advantage in expected goals (xG 1.7 vs 1.06), testifying to a clear offensive superiority at their own stadium. Calcio Padova performs poorly in away matches – a mere 31% wins, as many as 38% of games without a goal scored, and a negative goal difference (-5). The form of both teams in the last five matches also argues in favor of Modena (3 victories, 2 points per match) compared to Padova (1 victory, 1 point per match). Possession statistics (51% vs 48%) and shot efficiency also favor the hosts, who should utilize the advantage of their own pitch.
Modena vs Calcio Padova: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Modena played Calcio Padova in Serie B (Italy). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Modena: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Calcio Padova: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Modena scores 1.35 and concedes 0.77 goals per match. Calcio Padova scores 1.00 and concedes 1.23. League average: 2.48 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Modena 42%, Calcio Padova 54%. Over 2.5: Modena 42%, Calcio Padova 38%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Modena has higher xG: 1.76 vs 1.20. Modena: 16.2 shots per match, Calcio Padova: 10.8.
Match halves
Modena: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.77. Calcio Padova: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Modena: 76-90+ (9 goals). Calcio Padova: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.48 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Modena performs significantly better as a host, occupying 6th place in the table with an impressive record of 46% matches won at home and only 15% of games without scoring a goal. The hosts possess an advantage in expected goals (xG 1.7 vs 1.06), testifying to a clear offensive superiority at their own stadium. Calcio Padova performs poorly in away matches – a mere 31% wins, as many as 38% of games without a goal scored, and a negative goal difference (-5). The form of both teams in the last five matches also argues in favor of Modena (3 victories, 2 points per match) compared to Padova (1 victory, 1 point per match). Possession statistics (51% vs 48%) and shot efficiency also favor the hosts, who should utilize the advantage of their own pitch.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Modena | Calcio Padova | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Modena is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Modena · 1 pts / match - Calcio Padova
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Modena is 35% better for: goals scored per match.
1.35 goals / match - Modena · 1 goals / match - Calcio Padova
Modena is 60% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.77 goals / match - Modena · 1.23 goals / match - Calcio Padova
Modena scores in 73% of matches (19 of 26 matches), while Calcio Padova keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 matches).
Calcio Padova scores in 73% of matches (19 of 26 matches), while Modena keeps a clean sheet in 46% (12 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Modena
Over / Under - Calcio Padova
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Modena is 76% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Modena · 0.85 pts / match - Calcio Padova
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Modena - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Calcio Padova - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Modena
Calcio Padova
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Modena | Liga | Calcio Padova | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.12 | 2.48 | ▼ 2.23 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 54% | • 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 47% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 46% | 27% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 71% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 74% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Modena 0 - 0 - 1 Calcio Padova. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Modena vs Calcio Padova?
The Serie B match finished Modena 1:2 Calcio Padova. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Modena vs Calcio Padova?
Modena score 1.35 goals per game on average and Calcio Padova 1.00. The Serie B average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Modena's matches and 54% of Calcio Padova's.
What form are Modena and Calcio Padova in?
Over the last 5 games Modena have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Calcio Padova 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Modena vs Calcio Padova?
The statistical background for Modena vs Calcio Padova — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.