Modena vs Cesena: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Modena vs Cesena: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Modena play Cesena in Serie B (Italy). The match date is 24 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Alberto Braglia.
Current form
Modena: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Cesena: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Modena scores 1.71 and concedes 1.14 goals per match. Cesena scores 1.14 and concedes 1.29. League average: 2.73 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Modena 71%, Cesena 86%. Over 2.5: Modena 71%, Cesena 29%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Modena has higher xG: 2.14 vs 1.32. Modena: 20.4 shots per match, Cesena: 12.7.
Match halves
Modena: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 1.29. Cesena: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 0.43.
Goals by minute
Modena: 76-90+ (5 goals). Cesena: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.73 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 0.50, BTTS 0%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Modena | Cesena | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Modena is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Modena · 0.8 pts / match - Cesena
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Modena is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1.71 goals / match - Modena · 1.14 goals / match - Cesena
Modena is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.14 goals / match - Modena · 1.29 goals / match - Cesena
Modena scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Cesena keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 matches).
Cesena scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Modena keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Modena
Over / Under - Cesena
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cesena is 333% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.43 pts / match - Modena · 1.86 pts / match - Cesena
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Modena - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Cesena - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 14%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Modena
Cesena
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Modena | Liga | Cesena | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.86 | 2.73 | ▼ 2.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 64% | ▲ 86% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 56% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 20% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 66% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | • 86% | 86% | • 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Modena 0 - 1 - 1 Cesena. Average goals 0.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
When do Modena and Cesena play?
Modena face Cesena on 24 October 2026 in Serie B at Stadio Alberto Braglia. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Modena and Cesena?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Modena won 0, Cesena won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Modena vs Cesena?
Modena score 1.71 goals per game on average and Cesena 1.14. The Serie B average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Modena's matches and 86% of Cesena's.
What form are Modena and Cesena in?
Over the last 5 games Modena have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Cesena 0-4-1 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Modena vs Cesena?
The statistical background for Modena vs Cesena — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


