Italy - Serie BStadio Alberto BragliaData current as of 20 October 2026

Modena vs Cesena: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Modena vs Cesena: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Modena play Cesena in Serie B (Italy). The match date is 24 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Alberto Braglia.

Current form

Modena: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Cesena: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Modena scores 1.71 and concedes 1.14 goals per match. Cesena scores 1.14 and concedes 1.29. League average: 2.73 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Modena 71%, Cesena 86%. Over 2.5: Modena 71%, Cesena 29%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 56%.

xG, shots and style

Modena has higher xG: 2.14 vs 1.32. Modena: 20.4 shots per match, Cesena: 12.7.

Match halves

Modena: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 1.29. Cesena: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 0.43.

Goals by minute

Modena: 76-90+ (5 goals). Cesena: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie B: 2.73 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 56%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 0.50, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.63)
(3.98)
(4.89)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.71Goals scored / match1.14
ModenaCesena
1.14Goals conceded / match1.29
ModenaCesena
56%Average possession45%
ModenaCesena
6.14Shots on target / match3.29
ModenaCesena

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

20.43Shots per match12.71
ModenaCesena
6.14Shots on target3.29
ModenaCesena
8.4%Shot conversion9%
ModenaCesena
56%Possession45%
ModenaCesena
2.14xG for1.32
ModenaCesena
1.12xG against1.78
ModenaCesena

Shooting quality

Modena: DominantCesena: Balanced
ModenaCesena
Accuracy (shots on target)30%26%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Modena is 75% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Modena · 0.8 pts / match - Cesena

Modena
LDWWL
Season result split
57% W14% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-1-2
1.86 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Last 5 at home
2-0-1
LWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 2.54Opponent xG: 1.08BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Cesena
DDDLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
14% W71% D14% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-5-1
1.14 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-4-1
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 away
1-1-1
WDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.52Opponent xG: 1.65BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Modena is 50% better for: goals scored per match.

1.71 goals / match - Modena · 1.14 goals / match - Cesena

Modena is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.14 goals / match - Modena · 1.29 goals / match - Cesena

Modena scoring profile: very strong

Modena scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Cesena keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 matches).

Cesena scoring profile: very strong

Cesena scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Modena keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).

12Goals scored (season)8
ModenaCesena
8Goals conceded (season)9
ModenaCesena
2.86Average goals in match2.43
ModenaCesena
7Goals scored (last 5)5
ModenaCesena
7Goals conceded (last 5)7
ModenaCesena

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal86%
ModenaCesena
57%2 goals29%
ModenaCesena
29%3 goals0%
ModenaCesena
0%4 goals0%
ModenaCesena

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal100%
ModenaCesena
29%2 goals29%
ModenaCesena
0%3 goals0%
ModenaCesena
0%4 goals0%
ModenaCesena

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time14%
ModenaCesena
0%BTTS in both halves0%
ModenaCesena
29%Scored in both halves14%
ModenaCesena

BTTS and goal count

57%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
ModenaCesena
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
ModenaCesena
80%BTTS - last 580%
ModenaCesena

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time86%
ModenaCesena
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time14%
ModenaCesena
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
ModenaCesena

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time86%
ModenaCesena
57%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
ModenaCesena
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
ModenaCesena

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Cesena is 333% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.43 pts / match - Modena · 1.86 pts / match - Cesena

Modena - half-time state
14% leading0% draw86% trailing
Cesena - half-time state
57% leading14% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.43Points per match (1st half)1.86
ModenaCesena
0.43Goals scored (1st half)0.71
ModenaCesena
1Goals conceded (1st half)0.43
ModenaCesena
1.43Average goals (1st half)1.14
ModenaCesena
14%Clean sheet before half-time57%
ModenaCesena
71%No goal before half-time43%
ModenaCesena

After half-time (2nd half)

2.43Points per match (2nd half)0.71
ModenaCesena
1.29Goals scored (2nd half)0.43
ModenaCesena
0.14Goals conceded (2nd half)0.86
ModenaCesena
1.43Average goals (2nd half)1.29
ModenaCesena
86%Clean sheet after half-time29%
ModenaCesena
14%No goal after half-time57%
ModenaCesena

Modena - second-half results

71% W29% D0% L
3
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.43
PPG before half-time
Lead holding407%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.9

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Cesena - second-half results

14% W29% D57% L
13
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.86
PPG before half-time
Lead holding25%

Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 14%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Modena - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.002.20
Goals scored / match0.21.2
Goals conceded / match1.20.2
Average goals in match1.41.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet0%80%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-5+5
Half-time: 0% leading - 0% draw - 100% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Cesena - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.80
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.41.0
Average goals in match0.81.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Modena
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
0
4
16-30
2
1
31-45
1
1
46-60
3
0
61-75
5
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Cesena
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
4
1
16-30
1
2
31-45
2
0
46-60
0
3
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.64
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
79%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-81%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
74%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Modena

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.45
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.43
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
120%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
88%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.46
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.9
Late goals
42% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
42%

Cesena

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.46
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.31
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.49
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
88%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
90%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.34
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

ModenaLigaCesena
Average goals in match▲ 2.862.73▼ 2.43
Both teams scored▲ 71%64%▲ 86%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 71%56%▼ 29%
Clean sheets▼ 14%20%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▲ 100%66%▲ 86%
Goal after half-time• 86%86%• 86%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.73
Average goals per match
64%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.43
Home goals / match
1.30
Away goals / match
+10%
Home attack advantage
+9%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
57%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Modena 0 - 1 - 1 Cesena. Average goals 0.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do Modena and Cesena play?

Modena face Cesena on 24 October 2026 in Serie B at Stadio Alberto Braglia. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Modena and Cesena?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Modena won 0, Cesena won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Modena vs Cesena?

Modena score 1.71 goals per game on average and Cesena 1.14. The Serie B average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Modena's matches and 86% of Cesena's.

What form are Modena and Cesena in?

Over the last 5 games Modena have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Cesena 0-4-1 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Modena vs Cesena?

The statistical background for Modena vs Cesena — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.