Modena vs Monza: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Modena played Monza in Serie B (Italy). The match was played on 26 December 2025. Final score: 1:2.

Current form

Modena: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Monza: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Modena scores 1.47 and concedes 0.76 goals per match. Monza scores 1.47 and concedes 0.76. League average: 2.52 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Modena 47%, Monza 47%. Over 2.5: Modena 47%, Monza 35%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 47%.

xG, shots and style

Modena has higher xG: 1.84 vs 1.52. Modena: 17.1 shots per match, Monza: 13.8.

Match halves

Modena: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.06. Monza: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.71.

Goals by minute

Modena: 76-90+ (8 goals). Monza: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie B: 2.52 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 47%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

52Possession (%)48
ModenaMonza
12Shots14
ModenaMonza
7Shots on target6
ModenaMonza
1.65xG1.56
ModenaMonza
5Corners4
ModenaMonza
55Dangerous attacks35
ModenaMonza
15Fouls15
ModenaMonza
4Cards4
ModenaMonza

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.47Goals scored / match1.47
ModenaMonza
0.76Goals conceded / match0.76
ModenaMonza
52%Average possession53%
ModenaMonza
4.94Shots on target / match4.41
ModenaMonza

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

17.06Shots per match13.76
ModenaMonza
4.94Shots on target4.41
ModenaMonza
8.6%Shot conversion10.7%
ModenaMonza
52%Possession53%
ModenaMonza
1.84xG for1.52
ModenaMonza
1.07xG against1.18
ModenaMonza

Shooting quality

Modena: AttackingMonza: Balanced
ModenaMonza
Accuracy (shots on target)29%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Monza is 100% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Modena · 1.6 pts / match - Monza

Modena
DLLWL
Season result split
47% W29% R24% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-5-4
1.71 pts / match · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-2-2
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
WWDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 2.11Opponent xG: 1.28BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Monza
WDDLW
Season result split
59% W24% R18% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-4-3
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-3-2
Last 5 away
3-1-1
WWWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.38BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Modena scoring profile: strong

Modena scores in 76% of matches (13 of 17 matches), while Monza keeps a clean sheet in 41% (7 of 17 matches).

Monza scoring profile: very strong

Monza scores in 88% of matches (15 of 17 matches), while Modena keeps a clean sheet in 41% (7 of 17 matches).

25Goals scored (season)25
ModenaMonza
13Goals conceded (season)13
ModenaMonza
2.24Average goals in match2.24
ModenaMonza
4Goals scored (last 5)8
ModenaMonza
5Goals conceded (last 5)6
ModenaMonza

How often they score at least...

76%1 goal88%
ModenaMonza
53%2 goals35%
ModenaMonza
18%3 goals18%
ModenaMonza
0%4 goals6%
ModenaMonza

How often they concede at least...

59%1 goal59%
ModenaMonza
18%2 goals18%
ModenaMonza
0%3 goals0%
ModenaMonza
0%4 goals0%
ModenaMonza

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

12%BTTS at half-time24%
ModenaMonza
0%BTTS in both halves6%
ModenaMonza
29%Scored in both halves29%
ModenaMonza

BTTS and goal count

35%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
ModenaMonza
12%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
ModenaMonza
40%BTTS - last 560%
ModenaMonza

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time65%
ModenaMonza
12%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
ModenaMonza
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
ModenaMonza

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
ModenaMonza
53%Min. 2 goals after half-time35%
ModenaMonza
6%Min. 3 goals after half-time6%
ModenaMonza

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Monza is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.24 pts / match - Modena · 1.76 pts / match - Monza

Modena - half-time state
29% leading35% draw35% trailing
Monza - half-time state
41% leading53% draw6% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.24Points per match (1st half)1.76
ModenaMonza
0.41Goals scored (1st half)0.76
ModenaMonza
0.47Goals conceded (1st half)0.29
ModenaMonza
0.88Average goals (1st half)1.06
ModenaMonza
53%Clean sheet before half-time71%
ModenaMonza
65%No goal before half-time41%
ModenaMonza

After half-time (2nd half)

2.12Points per match (2nd half)1.65
ModenaMonza
1.06Goals scored (2nd half)0.71
ModenaMonza
0.29Goals conceded (2nd half)0.47
ModenaMonza
1.35Average goals (2nd half)1.18
ModenaMonza
76%Clean sheet after half-time59%
ModenaMonza
29%No goal after half-time41%
ModenaMonza

Modena - second-half results

59% W35% R6% P
21
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
36
Second-half points
+13
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.24
PPG before half-time
Lead holding162%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Monza - second-half results

41% W41% R18% P
30
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.76
PPG before half-time
Lead holding144%

Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Modena - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.20
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match0.81.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Monza - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.00
Goals scored / match1.00.6
Goals conceded / match0.21.0
Average goals in match1.21.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+4-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Modena
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
0
2
16-30
4
5
31-45
4
2
46-60
6
2
61-75
8
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

Monza
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
3
1
16-30
7
2
31-45
7
3
46-60
2
1
61-75
3
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.23
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
88%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
47%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
67%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Modena

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.77
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.37
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
101%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
72%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.91
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

Monza

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.34
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.37
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.42
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
139%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
52%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
12% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
12%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

ModenaLigaMonza
Average goals in match 2.242.52 2.24
Both teams scored 47%56% 47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 47%47% 35%
Clean sheets 41%26% 41%
Goal before half-time 71%69% 65%
Goal after half-time 76%76% 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.52
Average goals per match
56%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.45
Home goals / match
1.06
Away goals / match
+37%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defence advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. ModenaYellow cardDavide Adorni
  2. MonzaYellow cardKeita Baldé Diao
  3. MonzaYellow cardArmando Izzo
  4. ModenaGoalEttore Gliozzi
  5. MonzaYellow cardMatteo Pessina
  6. ModenaYellow cardFrancesco Filippo Zampano
  7. MonzaSubstitutionOn: Adam BakouneOff: Samuele Birindelli
  8. MonzaYellow cardPatrick Ciurria
  9. MonzaSubstitutionOn: Lorenzo LucchesiOff: Patrick Ciurria
  10. ModenaYellow cardDaniel Tonoli

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Kevin BonacinaMatches officiated: 8
5.13Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 213%Home wins25%Draws63%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Modena vs Monza?

The Serie B match finished Modena 1:2 Monza. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Modena vs Monza?

Modena score 1.47 goals per game on average and Monza 1.47. The Serie B average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Modena's matches and 47% of Monza's.

What form are Modena and Monza in?

Over the last 5 games Modena have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Monza 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Modena vs Monza?

The statistical background for Modena vs Monza — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.