Modena vs Monza: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Modena play Monza in Serie B (Italy). The match date is 26 December 2025 at 17:15. Final score: 1:2.

Current form

Modena: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Monza: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Modena scores 1.26 and concedes 0.95 goals per match. Monza scores 1.60 and concedes 0.88. League average: 2.55 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Modena 49%, Monza 50%. Over 2.5: Modena 49%, Monza 48%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots and style

Modena has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.56. Modena: 15.2 shots per match, Monza: 14.1.

Match halves

Modena: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.69. Monza: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Modena: 76-90+ (11 goals). Monza: 76-90+ (21 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie B: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

52Possession (%)48
ModenaMonza
12Shots14
ModenaMonza
7Shots on target6
ModenaMonza
1.65xG1.56
ModenaMonza
5Corners4
ModenaMonza
55Dangerous attacks35
ModenaMonza
15Fouls15
ModenaMonza
4Cards4
ModenaMonza

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.26Goals scored / match1.6
ModenaMonza
0.95Goals conceded / match0.88
ModenaMonza
50%Average possession52%
ModenaMonza
4.67Shots on target / match4.83
ModenaMonza

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.15Shots per match14.1
ModenaMonza
4.67Shots on target4.83
ModenaMonza
8.3%Shot conversion11.3%
ModenaMonza
50%Possession52%
ModenaMonza
1.65xG for1.56
ModenaMonza
1.19xG against1.29
ModenaMonza

Shooting quality

Modena: AttackingMonza: Attacking
ModenaMonza
Accuracy (shots on target)31%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Monza is 167% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Modena · 1.6 pts / match - Monza

Modena
LLWLL
Season result split
38% W26% R36% P
Season (W-D-L)
15-10-14
1.41 pts / match · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-4-7
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
WWLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.26Opponent xG: 1.57BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Monza
DDWWL
Season result split
57% W26% R17% P
Season (W-D-L)
24-11-7
1.98 pts / match · goal difference +30
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
9-7-5
Last 5 away
2-2-1
DWLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 1.29BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Monza is 27% better for: goals scored per match.

1.26 goals / match - Modena · 1.6 goals / match - Monza

Monza is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.95 goals / match - Modena · 0.88 goals / match - Monza

Modena scoring profile: strong

Modena scores in 72% of matches (28 of 39 matches), while Monza keeps a clean sheet in 40% (17 of 42 matches).

Monza scoring profile: very strong

Monza scores in 86% of matches (36 of 42 matches), while Modena keeps a clean sheet in 36% (14 of 39 matches).

49Goals scored (season)67
ModenaMonza
37Goals conceded (season)37
ModenaMonza
2.21Average goals in match2.48
ModenaMonza
3Goals scored (last 5)8
ModenaMonza
6Goals conceded (last 5)7
ModenaMonza

How often they score at least...

72%1 goal86%
ModenaMonza
44%2 goals55%
ModenaMonza
10%3 goals17%
ModenaMonza
0%4 goals2%
ModenaMonza

How often they concede at least...

64%1 goal60%
ModenaMonza
28%2 goals21%
ModenaMonza
3%3 goals5%
ModenaMonza
0%4 goals2%
ModenaMonza

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time19%
ModenaMonza
0%BTTS in both halves7%
ModenaMonza
26%Scored in both halves29%
ModenaMonza

BTTS and goal count

41%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
ModenaMonza
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
ModenaMonza
40%BTTS - last 560%
ModenaMonza

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

74%Min. 1 goal before half-time62%
ModenaMonza
23%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
ModenaMonza
5%Min. 3 goals before half-time5%
ModenaMonza

2nd half

72%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
ModenaMonza
41%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
ModenaMonza
5%Min. 3 goals after half-time12%
ModenaMonza

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Modena - half-time state
38% leading31% draw31% trailing
Monza - half-time state
29% leading55% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.46Points per match (1st half)1.4
ModenaMonza
0.56Goals scored (1st half)0.6
ModenaMonza
0.46Goals conceded (1st half)0.4
ModenaMonza
1.03Average goals (1st half)1
ModenaMonza
62%Clean sheet before half-time64%
ModenaMonza
54%No goal before half-time55%
ModenaMonza

After half-time (2nd half)

1.49Points per match (2nd half)1.9
ModenaMonza
0.69Goals scored (2nd half)1
ModenaMonza
0.49Goals conceded (2nd half)0.48
ModenaMonza
1.18Average goals (2nd half)1.48
ModenaMonza
62%Clean sheet after half-time60%
ModenaMonza
49%No goal after half-time31%
ModenaMonza

Modena - second-half results

36% W41% R23% P
57
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
58
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.46
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Monza - second-half results

52% W33% R14% P
59
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
80
Second-half points
+22
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding197%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Modena - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.60
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match0.81.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference0-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Monza - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.60
Goals scored / match0.21.4
Goals conceded / match0.41.0
Average goals in match0.62.4
1 goal40%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Modena
ScoredConceded
6
5
0-15
7
4
16-30
9
9
31-45
9
7
46-60
7
5
61-75
11
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Monza
ScoredConceded
6
6
0-15
9
5
16-30
10
6
31-45
13
6
46-60
8
2
61-75
21
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (21 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.34
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-57%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
62%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Modena

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.46
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.15
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-19.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.39
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
89%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.81
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Monza

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.27
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.45
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-13.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.41
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
150%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
59%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.38
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

ModenaLigaMonza
Average goals in match 2.212.55 2.48
Both teams scored 49%53% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 49%48% 48%
Clean sheets 36%27% 40%
Goal before half-time 74%70% 62%
Goal after half-time 72%78% 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.55
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.48
Home goals / match
1.07
Away goals / match
+38%
Home attack advantage
+28%
Home defence advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Modena 0 - 0 - 1 Monza. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Modena vs Monza?

The Serie B match finished Modena 1:2 Monza. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Modena vs Monza?

Modena score 1.26 goals per game on average and Monza 1.60. The Serie B average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 49% of Modena's matches and 50% of Monza's.

What form are Modena and Monza in?

Over the last 5 games Modena have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Monza 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Modena vs Monza?

The statistical background for Modena vs Monza — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.