France - Ligue 1Stade Louis II.Data current as of 08 October 2026

Monaco vs Toulouse: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Monaco vs Toulouse: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Monaco play Toulouse in Ligue 1 (France). The match date is 10 October 2026. Venue: Stade Louis II..

Current form

Monaco: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Toulouse: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Monaco scores 1.60 and concedes 0.60 goals per match. Toulouse scores 1.40 and concedes 1.80. League average: 2.84 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Monaco 60%, Toulouse 60%. Over 2.5: Monaco 40%, Toulouse 60%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 60%.

xG, shots and style

Toulouse has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.25. Monaco: 10.2 shots per match, Toulouse: 14.8.

Match halves

Monaco: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 1.00. Toulouse: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.20.

Goals by minute

Monaco: 0-15 (2 goals). Toulouse: 46-60 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ligue 1: 2.84 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 60%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.75)
(3.75)
(4.20)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.6Goals scored / match1.4
MonacoToulouse
0.6Goals conceded / match1.8
MonacoToulouse
45%Average possession53%
MonacoToulouse
4.6Shots on target / match4.6
MonacoToulouse

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.2Shots per match14.8
MonacoToulouse
4.6Shots on target4.6
MonacoToulouse
15.7%Shot conversion9.5%
MonacoToulouse
45%Possession53%
MonacoToulouse
1.25xG for1.6
MonacoToulouse
1.66xG against1.6
MonacoToulouse

Shooting quality

Monaco: Counter-attackingToulouse: Attacking
MonacoToulouse
Accuracy (shots on target)45%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Monaco is 160% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / match - Monaco · 1 pts / match - Toulouse

Monaco
WWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
80% W20% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-0
Last 5 at home
2-0-0
WW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.25Opponent xG: 1.66BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Toulouse
LDLDW
Season result split
20% W40% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-0
Last 5 away
0-2-0
DD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.60Opponent xG: 1.60BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Monaco is 14% better for: goals scored per match.

1.6 goals / match - Monaco · 1.4 goals / match - Toulouse

Monaco is 200% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.6 goals / match - Monaco · 1.8 goals / match - Toulouse

Monaco scoring profile: very strong

Monaco scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Toulouse keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).

Toulouse scoring profile: mixed

Toulouse scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Monaco keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).

8Goals scored (season)7
MonacoToulouse
3Goals conceded (season)9
MonacoToulouse
2.2Average goals in match3.2
MonacoToulouse
8Goals scored (last 5)7
MonacoToulouse
3Goals conceded (last 5)9
MonacoToulouse

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal60%
MonacoToulouse
60%2 goals60%
MonacoToulouse
0%3 goals20%
MonacoToulouse
0%4 goals0%
MonacoToulouse

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal100%
MonacoToulouse
0%2 goals80%
MonacoToulouse
0%3 goals0%
MonacoToulouse
0%4 goals0%
MonacoToulouse

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time20%
MonacoToulouse
0%BTTS in both halves20%
MonacoToulouse
40%Scored in both halves20%
MonacoToulouse

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS60%
MonacoToulouse
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
MonacoToulouse
60%BTTS - last 560%
MonacoToulouse

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time40%
MonacoToulouse
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
MonacoToulouse
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
MonacoToulouse

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
MonacoToulouse
60%Min. 2 goals after half-time80%
MonacoToulouse
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
MonacoToulouse

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Monaco is 150% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2 pts / match - Monaco · 0.8 pts / match - Toulouse

Monaco - half-time state
60% leading20% draw20% trailing
Toulouse - half-time state
0% leading80% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2Points per match (1st half)0.8
MonacoToulouse
0.6Goals scored (1st half)0.2
MonacoToulouse
0.2Goals conceded (1st half)0.6
MonacoToulouse
0.8Average goals (1st half)0.8
MonacoToulouse
80%Clean sheet before half-time60%
MonacoToulouse
40%No goal before half-time80%
MonacoToulouse

After half-time (2nd half)

1.8Points per match (2nd half)1.4
MonacoToulouse
1Goals scored (2nd half)1.2
MonacoToulouse
0.4Goals conceded (2nd half)1.2
MonacoToulouse
1.4Average goals (2nd half)2.4
MonacoToulouse
60%Clean sheet after half-time20%
MonacoToulouse
20%No goal after half-time40%
MonacoToulouse

Monaco - second-half results

40% W60% D0% L
10
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 80%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Toulouse - second-half results

40% W20% D40% L
4
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.80
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Monaco - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.80
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match0.81.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+2+3
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Toulouse - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.40
Goals scored / match0.21.2
Goals conceded / match0.61.2
Average goals in match0.82.4
1 goal40%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-20
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Monaco
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
1
31-45
2
2
46-60
2
0
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Toulouse
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
0
2
31-45
3
0
46-60
2
3
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.70
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
95%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-7%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
60%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Monaco

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.41
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.41
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+1.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
103%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
47%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

Toulouse

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
0.00
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.40
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
109%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
115%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.0
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).

Teams vs league

MonacoLigaToulouse
Average goals in match▼ 2.202.84▲ 3.20
Both teams scored• 60%60%• 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 40%60%• 60%
Clean sheets▲ 40%24%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▲ 80%69%▼ 40%
Goal after half-time• 80%80%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.84
Average goals per match
60%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.56
Home goals / match
1.29
Away goals / match
+21%
Home attack advantage
+17%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
58%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Monaco 1 - 1 - 0 Toulouse. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Toulouse FC
2 : 2
AS Monaco FC
AS Monaco FC
1 : 0
Toulouse FC

FAQ

When do Monaco and Toulouse play?

Monaco face Toulouse on 10 October 2026 in Ligue 1 at Stade Louis II.. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Monaco and Toulouse?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Monaco won 1, Toulouse won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Monaco vs Toulouse?

Monaco score 1.60 goals per game on average and Toulouse 1.40. The Ligue 1 average is 2.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Monaco's matches and 60% of Toulouse's.

What form are Monaco and Toulouse in?

Over the last 5 games Monaco have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Toulouse 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Monaco vs Toulouse?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.