Monagas vs Estudiantes Mérida: match statistics
Monagas vs Estudiantes Mérida: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Monagas played Estudiantes Mérida in Primera División (Venezuela). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Monumental de Maturín. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Monagas: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Estudiantes Mérida: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Monagas scores 1.08 and concedes 1.46 goals per match. Estudiantes Mérida scores 1.17 and concedes 1.27. League average: 2.54 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Monagas 50%, Estudiantes Mérida 50%. Over 2.5: Monagas 50%, Estudiantes Mérida 43%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Monagas has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.32. Monagas: 13.3 shots per match, Estudiantes Mérida: 12.0.
Match halves
Monagas: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.71. Estudiantes Mérida: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Monagas: 46-60 (7 goals). Estudiantes Mérida: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Monagas enter this match having won 3 of their last 5 games, while Estudiantes Mérida have won just once over the same period. At home, the hosts average 1.17 goals scored and 1.00 conceded, while the visitors score 1.00 and concede 1.40 goals per away game, which favors Monagas. The hosts also create slightly better chances: their home xG is 1.39, compared with the visitors’ away xG of 1.23. The defensive disparity is significant: Monagas have kept a clean sheet in 42% of their home matches, whereas Estudiantes have done so in just 13% of their away games and have failed to score in 47% of them. Although the visitors have more wins over the full season, 11 compared with 7, current form and home-and-away statistics point to an advantage for Monagas.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Monagas have a solid basis for scoring: they average 1.33 goals, while Estudiantes Mérida concede 1.40 goals per match and keep a clean sheet in only 13% of games. The bigger uncertainty is the visitors’ finishing, as they have failed to score in 47% of matches, while Monagas keep a clean sheet in 20%. In their last five games, the hosts conceded just 0.6 goals per match, while the visitors averaged 1.0 goal scored, increasing the risk that Estudiantes will fail to find the net. Although the visitors’ average xG over their last five matches is 1.89, supporting their chances of scoring, Estudiantes’ season BTTS rate of 40% makes it slightly more likely that at least one team will fail to score (BTTS - No).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: this line has not been exceeded in 80% of Monagas matches and 87% of Estudiantes Mérida fixtures. In the teams’ last 5 matches, at least 3 goals were scored in only 20% of cases, while Monagas conceded an average of 0.6 goals over that period. The hosts average 1.42 xG, compared with 1.60 xG conceded by the visitors, giving them a chance to score but not clearly pointing to a very high-scoring game. Estudiantes average 1.0 goal and have failed to score in 47% of their matches, so their contribution to the total could be limited. A forecast of 1.45 goals for Monagas and 0.95 for Estudiantes, or 2.40 in total, supports Under 3.5 goals more convincingly than picking a side on the 2.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal for Monagas to lead at the break comes from the last five matches: the hosts led at half-time three times, while Estudiantes Mérida did not do so once. Over this period, Monagas averaged 0.8 goals before the break, while the visitors conceded 0.8 and scored just 0.2 themselves. The hosts’ season-long scoring rate after half-time supports them holding their lead: they average 0.87 goals after the break, compared with 0.4 for the visitors, and Estudiantes have lost 60% of all their matches. Monagas have also won three of their last five matches, compared with one win for their opponents, so I predict the hosts to lead both at half-time and at full-time. The risk of a half-time draw remains significant, as Monagas have drawn at the break in 67% of their matches this season.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Monagas | Estudiantes Mérida | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Monagas is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Monagas · 1 pts / match - Estudiantes Mérida
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Estudiantes Mérida is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
1.08 goals / match - Monagas · 1.17 goals / match - Estudiantes Mérida
Estudiantes Mérida is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.46 goals / match - Monagas · 1.27 goals / match - Estudiantes Mérida
Monagas scores in 71% of matches (17 of 24 matches), while Estudiantes Mérida keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 30 matches).
Estudiantes Mérida scores in 67% of matches (20 of 30 matches), while Monagas keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Monagas
Over / Under - Estudiantes Mérida
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Estudiantes Mérida is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.96 pts / match - Monagas · 1.13 pts / match - Estudiantes Mérida
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Monagas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Estudiantes Mérida - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Monagas
Estudiantes Mérida
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Monagas | Liga | Estudiantes Mérida | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.54 | 2.54 | ▼ 2.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 44% | • 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 28% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 68% | ▲ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 75% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Monagas 1 - 0 - 2 Estudiantes Mérida. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Monagas vs Estudiantes Mérida?
The Primera División match finished Monagas 2:1 Estudiantes Mérida. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Monagas and Estudiantes Mérida?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Monagas won 1, Estudiantes Mérida won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Monagas vs Estudiantes Mérida?
Monagas score 1.08 goals per game on average and Estudiantes Mérida 1.17. The Primera División average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Monagas's matches and 50% of Estudiantes Mérida's.
What form are Monagas and Estudiantes Mérida in?
Over the last 5 games Monagas have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Estudiantes Mérida 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Monagas vs Estudiantes Mérida?
The statistical background for Monagas vs Estudiantes Mérida — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.