United States - USL ChampionshipData current as of 21 October 2026

Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Monterey Bay play Las Vegas Lights in USL Championship (United States). The match date is 25 October 2026.

Current form

Monterey Bay: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Las Vegas Lights: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Monterey Bay scores 1.03 and concedes 1.76 goals per match. Las Vegas Lights scores 1.38 and concedes 1.59. League average: 2.71 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Monterey Bay 62%, Las Vegas Lights 66%. Over 2.5: Monterey Bay 52%, Las Vegas Lights 52%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 49%.

xG, shots and style

Las Vegas Lights has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.29. Monterey Bay: 10.6 shots per match, Las Vegas Lights: 12.0.

Match halves

Monterey Bay: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.66. Las Vegas Lights: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.72.

Goals by minute

Monterey Bay: 76-90+ (9 goals). Las Vegas Lights: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

USL Championship: 2.71 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 49%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-2. Average goals 1.80, BTTS 40%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.50)
(3.48)
(2.32)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
1.03Goals scored / match1.38
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
1.76Goals conceded / match1.59
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
51%Average possession53%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
3.38Shots on target / match3.79
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.62Shots per match12.03
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
3.38Shots on target3.79
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
9.7%Shot conversion11.5%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
51%Possession53%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
1.29xG for1.42
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
1.6xG against1.39
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights

Shooting quality

Monterey Bay: BalancedLas Vegas Lights: Balanced
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
Accuracy (shots on target)32%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Las Vegas Lights is 33% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Monterey Bay · 0.8 pts / match - Las Vegas Lights

Monterey Bay
LLWLL
Season result split
17% W21% D62% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-6-18
0.72 pts / match · goal difference -21
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-3-7
Last 5 at home
0-2-3
LDDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.38Opponent xG: 1.78BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Las Vegas Lights
DLWLL
Season result split
34% W21% D45% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-6-13
1.24 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-1-8
Last 5 away
2-0-3
WLWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.62Opponent xG: 1.60BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Las Vegas Lights is 34% better for: goals scored per match.

1.03 goals / match - Monterey Bay · 1.38 goals / match - Las Vegas Lights

Las Vegas Lights is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.76 goals / match - Monterey Bay · 1.59 goals / match - Las Vegas Lights

Monterey Bay scoring profile: strong

Monterey Bay scores in 69% of matches (20 of 29 matches), while Las Vegas Lights keeps a clean sheet in 28% (8 of 29 matches).

Las Vegas Lights scoring profile: very strong

Las Vegas Lights scores in 86% of matches (25 of 29 matches), while Monterey Bay keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 29 matches).

30Goals scored (season)40
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
51Goals conceded (season)46
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
2.79Average goals in match2.97
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
5Goals scored (last 5)9
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
9Goals conceded (last 5)12
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights

How often they score at least...

69%1 goal86%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
28%2 goals48%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
3%3 goals3%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
3%4 goals0%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal72%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
45%2 goals45%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
34%3 goals31%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
7%4 goals7%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

66%
Las Vegas Lights - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.19 of 29 matches
54%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time38%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
10%BTTS in both halves17%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
17%Scored in both halves28%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights

BTTS and goal count

48%Min. 3 goals and BTTS52%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
60%BTTS - last 580%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

66%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
31%Min. 2 goals before half-time45%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time72%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
59%Min. 2 goals after half-time45%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
24%Min. 3 goals after half-time21%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Las Vegas Lights is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.93 pts / match - Monterey Bay · 1.21 pts / match - Las Vegas Lights

Monterey Bay - half-time state
14% leading52% draw34% trailing
Las Vegas Lights - half-time state
24% leading48% draw28% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.93Points per match (1st half)1.21
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
0.38Goals scored (1st half)0.66
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
0.66Goals conceded (1st half)0.79
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
1.03Average goals (1st half)1.45
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
48%Clean sheet before half-time38%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
69%No goal before half-time41%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights

After half-time (2nd half)

0.83Points per match (2nd half)1.21
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
0.66Goals scored (2nd half)0.72
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
1.1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.79
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
1.76Average goals (2nd half)1.52
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
28%Clean sheet after half-time55%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
45%No goal after half-time45%
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights

Monterey Bay - second-half results

17% W31% D52% L
27
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
-13
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.93
PPG before half-time
Lead holding121%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Las Vegas Lights - second-half results

28% W38% D34% L
35
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.21
PPG before half-time
Lead holding142%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Monterey Bay - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.401.00
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match1.00.8
Average goals in match1.21.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-40
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Las Vegas Lights - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.40
Goals scored / match0.81.0
Goals conceded / match1.41.0
Average goals in match2.22.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference-30
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Monterey Bay
ScoredConceded
4
5
0-15
4
10
16-30
3
4
31-45
6
12
46-60
4
8
61-75
9
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Las Vegas Lights
ScoredConceded
6
5
0-15
4
7
16-30
9
11
31-45
6
10
46-60
6
5
61-75
9
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.88
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
64%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-37%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
59%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Monterey Bay

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.42
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.26
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
69%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
144%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.12
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

Las Vegas Lights

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
113%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
107%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.44
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).

Teams vs league

Monterey BayLigaLas Vegas Lights
Average goals in match• 2.792.71▲ 2.97
Both teams scored▲ 62%54%▲ 66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 52%49%▲ 52%
Clean sheets▼ 14%28%• 28%
Goal before half-time• 66%66%▲ 83%
Goal after half-time▲ 86%77%▼ 72%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.71
Average goals per match
54%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.49
Home goals / match
1.22
Away goals / match
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (5): Monterey Bay 1 - 2 - 2 Las Vegas Lights. Average goals 1.80, both teams scored in 40% matches.

Las Vegas Lights
1 : 0
Monterey Bay
Monterey Bay FC
1 : 1
Las Vegas Lights FC
Las Vegas Lights FC
2 : 0
Monterey Bay FC
Las Vegas Lights
0 : 0
Monterey Bay
Monterey Bay
3 : 1
Las Vegas Lights

FAQ

When do Monterey Bay and Las Vegas Lights play?

Monterey Bay face Las Vegas Lights on 25 October 2026 in USL Championship. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Monterey Bay and Las Vegas Lights?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Monterey Bay won 1, Las Vegas Lights won 2 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights?

Monterey Bay score 1.03 goals per game on average and Las Vegas Lights 1.38. The USL Championship average is 2.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Monterey Bay's matches and 66% of Las Vegas Lights's.

What form are Monterey Bay and Las Vegas Lights in?

Over the last 5 games Monterey Bay have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Las Vegas Lights 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights?

The statistical background for Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.