Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights: match statistics
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Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Monterey Bay play Las Vegas Lights in USL Championship (United States). The match date is 25 October 2026.
Current form
Monterey Bay: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Las Vegas Lights: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Monterey Bay scores 1.03 and concedes 1.76 goals per match. Las Vegas Lights scores 1.38 and concedes 1.59. League average: 2.71 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Monterey Bay 62%, Las Vegas Lights 66%. Over 2.5: Monterey Bay 52%, Las Vegas Lights 52%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Las Vegas Lights has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.29. Monterey Bay: 10.6 shots per match, Las Vegas Lights: 12.0.
Match halves
Monterey Bay: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.66. Las Vegas Lights: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.72.
Goals by minute
Monterey Bay: 76-90+ (9 goals). Las Vegas Lights: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.71 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-2. Average goals 1.80, BTTS 40%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Monterey Bay | Las Vegas Lights | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Las Vegas Lights is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Monterey Bay · 0.8 pts / match - Las Vegas Lights
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Las Vegas Lights is 34% better for: goals scored per match.
1.03 goals / match - Monterey Bay · 1.38 goals / match - Las Vegas Lights
Las Vegas Lights is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.76 goals / match - Monterey Bay · 1.59 goals / match - Las Vegas Lights
Monterey Bay scores in 69% of matches (20 of 29 matches), while Las Vegas Lights keeps a clean sheet in 28% (8 of 29 matches).
Las Vegas Lights scores in 86% of matches (25 of 29 matches), while Monterey Bay keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Monterey Bay
Over / Under - Las Vegas Lights
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Las Vegas Lights is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.93 pts / match - Monterey Bay · 1.21 pts / match - Las Vegas Lights
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Monterey Bay - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Las Vegas Lights - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Monterey Bay
Las Vegas Lights
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Monterey Bay | Liga | Las Vegas Lights | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.79 | 2.71 | ▲ 2.97 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 54% | ▲ 66% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 49% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 28% | • 28% |
| Goal before half-time | • 66% | 66% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 77% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Monterey Bay 1 - 2 - 2 Las Vegas Lights. Average goals 1.80, both teams scored in 40% matches.
FAQ
When do Monterey Bay and Las Vegas Lights play?
Monterey Bay face Las Vegas Lights on 25 October 2026 in USL Championship. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Monterey Bay and Las Vegas Lights?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Monterey Bay won 1, Las Vegas Lights won 2 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights?
Monterey Bay score 1.03 goals per game on average and Las Vegas Lights 1.38. The USL Championship average is 2.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Monterey Bay's matches and 66% of Las Vegas Lights's.
What form are Monterey Bay and Las Vegas Lights in?
Over the last 5 games Monterey Bay have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Las Vegas Lights 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights?
The statistical background for Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


