United States - USL ChampionshipData current as of 05 September 2026

Monterey Bay vs Phoenix Rising: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Monterey Bay vs Phoenix Rising: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Monterey Bay play Phoenix Rising in USL Championship (United States). The match date is 6 September 2026.

Current form

Monterey Bay: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Phoenix Rising: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Monterey Bay scores 1.00 and concedes 1.56 goals per match. Phoenix Rising scores 1.44 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.79 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Monterey Bay 50%, Phoenix Rising 56%. Over 2.5: Monterey Bay 50%, Phoenix Rising 50%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Phoenix Rising has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.21. Monterey Bay: 9.6 shots per match, Phoenix Rising: 12.4.

Match halves

Monterey Bay: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.69. Phoenix Rising: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Monterey Bay: 76-90+ (5 goals). Phoenix Rising: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

USL Championship: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 60%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.96)
(3.40)
(2.03)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Monterey BayPhoenix Rising
1Goals scored / match1.44
Monterey BayPhoenix Rising
1.56Goals conceded / match1.5
Monterey BayPhoenix Rising
50%Average possession50%
Monterey BayPhoenix Rising
2.94Shots on target / match4.75
Monterey BayPhoenix Rising

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.56Shots per match12.38
Monterey BayPhoenix Rising
2.94Shots on target4.75
Monterey BayPhoenix Rising
10.5%Shot conversion11.6%
Monterey BayPhoenix Rising
50%Possession50%
Monterey BayPhoenix Rising
1.21xG for1.49
Monterey BayPhoenix Rising
1.48xG against1.31
Monterey BayPhoenix Rising

Shooting quality

Monterey Bay: BalancedPhoenix Rising: Balanced
Monterey BayPhoenix Rising
Accuracy (shots on target)31%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Monterey Bay is 75% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Monterey Bay · 0.8 pts / match - Phoenix Rising

Monterey Bay
WLWDL
Season result split
25% W19% R56% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-3-9
0.94 pts / match · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-1-3
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
LWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.29Opponent xG: 1.40BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Phoenix Rising
LDLLW
Season result split
31% W31% R38% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-5-6
1.25 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-4
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WWLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.67Opponent xG: 1.51BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Phoenix Rising is 44% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Monterey Bay · 1.44 goals / match - Phoenix Rising

Monterey Bay scoring profile: strong

Monterey Bay scores in 63% of matches (10 of 16 matches), while Phoenix Rising keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).

Phoenix Rising scoring profile: very strong

Phoenix Rising scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Monterey Bay keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).

16Goals scored (season)23
Monterey BayPhoenix Rising
25Goals conceded (season)24
Monterey BayPhoenix Rising
2.56Average goals in match2.94
Monterey BayPhoenix Rising
5Goals scored (last 5)8
Monterey BayPhoenix Rising
6Goals conceded (last 5)12
Monterey BayPhoenix Rising

How often they score at least...

63%1 goal81%
Monterey BayPhoenix Rising
25%2 goals38%
Monterey BayPhoenix Rising
6%3 goals25%
Monterey BayPhoenix Rising
6%4 goals0%
Monterey BayPhoenix Rising

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal75%
Monterey BayPhoenix Rising
44%2 goals50%
Monterey BayPhoenix Rising
31%3 goals19%
Monterey BayPhoenix Rising
6%4 goals6%
Monterey BayPhoenix Rising

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

58%
League average

Goal patterns

6%BTTS at half-time13%
Monterey BayPhoenix Rising
6%BTTS in both halves6%
Monterey BayPhoenix Rising
19%Scored in both halves19%
Monterey BayPhoenix Rising

BTTS and goal count

44%Min. 3 goals and BTTS31%
Monterey BayPhoenix Rising
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS19%
Monterey BayPhoenix Rising
40%BTTS - last 580%
Monterey BayPhoenix Rising

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

56%Min. 1 goal before half-time69%
Monterey BayPhoenix Rising
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
Monterey BayPhoenix Rising
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
Monterey BayPhoenix Rising

2nd half

88%Min. 1 goal after half-time81%
Monterey BayPhoenix Rising
63%Min. 2 goals after half-time63%
Monterey BayPhoenix Rising
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
Monterey BayPhoenix Rising

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Phoenix Rising is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.06 pts / match - Monterey Bay · 1.19 pts / match - Phoenix Rising

Monterey Bay - half-time state
19% leading50% draw31% trailing
Phoenix Rising - half-time state
25% leading44% draw31% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.06Points per match (1st half)1.19
Monterey BayPhoenix Rising
0.31Goals scored (1st half)0.44
Monterey BayPhoenix Rising
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.69
Monterey BayPhoenix Rising
0.81Average goals (1st half)1.13
Monterey BayPhoenix Rising
63%Clean sheet before half-time56%
Monterey BayPhoenix Rising
75%No goal before half-time63%
Monterey BayPhoenix Rising

After half-time (2nd half)

0.88Points per match (2nd half)1.5
Monterey BayPhoenix Rising
0.69Goals scored (2nd half)1
Monterey BayPhoenix Rising
1.06Goals conceded (2nd half)0.81
Monterey BayPhoenix Rising
1.75Average goals (2nd half)1.81
Monterey BayPhoenix Rising
25%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Monterey BayPhoenix Rising
44%No goal after half-time38%
Monterey BayPhoenix Rising

Monterey Bay - second-half results

19% W31% R50% P
17
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.06
PPG before half-time
Lead holding132%

Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Phoenix Rising - second-half results

38% W38% R25% P
19
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.19
PPG before half-time
Lead holding124%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Monterey Bay - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.00
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match0.81.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Phoenix Rising - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.80
Goals scored / match0.41.2
Goals conceded / match0.42.0
Average goals in match0.83.2
1 goal40%100%
2 goals40%100%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%0%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference0-4
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Monterey Bay
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
2
5
16-30
1
2
31-45
4
9
46-60
2
5
61-75
5
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Phoenix Rising
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
1
2
16-30
3
6
31-45
2
8
46-60
6
2
61-75
8
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.75
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
53%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+9%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
51%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Monterey Bay

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.27
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
65%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
125%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.46
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

Phoenix Rising

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.18
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
115%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
97%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.45
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
35% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
35%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).

Teams vs league

Monterey BayLigaPhoenix Rising
Average goals in match 2.562.79 2.94
Both teams scored 50%58% 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%52% 50%
Clean sheets 25%26% 25%
Goal before half-time 56%67% 69%
Goal after half-time 88%80% 81%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.79
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.54
Home goals / match
1.25
Away goals / match
+23%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (5): Monterey Bay 3 - 0 - 2 Phoenix Rising. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 60% matches.

Phoenix Rising FC
3 : 2
Monterey Bay FC
Phoenix Rising FC
2 : 0
Monterey Bay FC
Monterey Bay FC
3 : 1
Phoenix Rising FC
Phoenix Rising
1 : 2
Monterey Bay
Monterey Bay
1 : 0
Phoenix Rising

FAQ

When do Monterey Bay and Phoenix Rising play?

Monterey Bay face Phoenix Rising on 6 September 2026 in USL Championship. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Monterey Bay and Phoenix Rising?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Monterey Bay won 3, Phoenix Rising won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Monterey Bay vs Phoenix Rising?

Monterey Bay score 1.00 goals per game on average and Phoenix Rising 1.44. The USL Championship average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Monterey Bay's matches and 56% of Phoenix Rising's.

What form are Monterey Bay and Phoenix Rising in?

Over the last 5 games Monterey Bay have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Phoenix Rising 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Monterey Bay vs Phoenix Rising?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Monterey Bay vs Phoenix Rising: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.