Montpellier vs Grenoble Foot 38: match statistics
Montpellier vs Grenoble Foot 38: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Montpellier played Grenoble Foot 38 in Ligue 2 (France). The match was played on 9 October 2026. Venue: Stade de la Mosson. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Montpellier: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Grenoble Foot 38: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Montpellier scores 0.86 and concedes 0.71 goals per match. Grenoble Foot 38 scores 1.14 and concedes 1.57. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Montpellier 43%, Grenoble Foot 38 43%. Over 2.5: Montpellier 14%, Grenoble Foot 38 57%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Montpellier has higher xG: 1.47 vs 0.81. Montpellier: 13.0 shots per match, Grenoble Foot 38: 7.3.
Match halves
Montpellier: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.57. Grenoble Foot 38: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.43.
Goals by minute
Montpellier: 61-75 (2 goals). Grenoble Foot 38: 16-30 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 2: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Montpellier sit 4th and have taken 8 points from their last five matches, while 13th-placed Grenoble Foot 38 have collected 7. At home, Montpellier average 17.33 shots and an xG of 1.86, whereas Grenoble manage just 5.25 shots and 0.61 xG away from home, pointing to a clear Montpellier advantage in chance creation. Grenoble concede an average of 2 goals away, with opponents posting an xG of 2.09, while Montpellier have let in just 0.33 goals per home match and kept a clean sheet in 67% of their games. The visitors' finishing offers them a lifeline: despite their low xG, they average 1.5 goals away, more than Montpellier's 0.67 at home. However, the hosts are unbeaten at home, even though 67% of those matches have ended in draws. A Montpellier win is therefore the most likely outcome, but a draw remains a realistic possibility.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal in favor of BTTS - No is that both teams scored in just 25% of Grenoble’s away matches, although the figure is 67% for Montpellier at home. BTTS occurred in 40% of each team’s last five matches, which also points towards a scenario in which at least one side fails to score. Grenoble do average 1.5 goals away from home, but their xG is just 0.61, while Montpellier concede an average of 1.0 goal at home. Montpellier, meanwhile, score only 0.67 goals per home match, despite Grenoble conceding an average of 2.0 away, so the hosts have a realistic chance of scoring, but a result in which both teams find the net remains less likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: this line has not been exceeded in any of Montpellier’s matches, although it has been in 50% of Grenoble’s games. The hosts average 0.67 goals and have scored 0.8 per game across their last five matches; their modest output limits the likelihood of a high-scoring game. Grenoble concede an average of 2.0 goals, boosting Montpellier’s scoring potential, but create chances worth just 0.61 xG per match themselves. The expected total of 2.48 goals is close to the league average of 2.57, making the 3.5 line a safer margin than 2.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A half-time draw is the most compelling starting point: Montpellier have been level at the break in all of their last five matches and have conceded no first-half goals in their three home games so far. However, Grenoble led at the break in three of their last five matches, so an early advantage for the visitors cannot be ruled out. Montpellier’s post-break form supports a later home win: over their last five games, they have averaged 1.6 points in second halves, compared with Grenoble’s 0.8, and Grenoble have lost that period in 60% of their matches. The visitors concede an average of 2.0 goals per away game, while opponents create chances worth 2.09 xG against them; Montpellier average 10 shots at home, compared with Grenoble’s 5.25 away. I therefore predict a half-time draw and a Montpellier win, although the hosts’ failure to win any of their three home games so far limits confidence in this pick.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Montpellier | Grenoble Foot 38 | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.19 | 0.61 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Montpellier is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Montpellier · 1.4 pts / match - Grenoble Foot 38
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Grenoble Foot 38 is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
0.86 goals / match - Montpellier · 1.14 goals / match - Grenoble Foot 38
Montpellier is 121% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.71 goals / match - Montpellier · 1.57 goals / match - Grenoble Foot 38
Montpellier scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Grenoble Foot 38 keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).
Grenoble Foot 38 scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Montpellier keeps a clean sheet in 57% (4 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Montpellier
Over / Under - Grenoble Foot 38
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Grenoble Foot 38 is 71% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Montpellier · 1.71 pts / match - Grenoble Foot 38
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Montpellier - second-half results
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Grenoble Foot 38 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 29%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Montpellier
Grenoble Foot 38
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 2).
Teams vs league
| Montpellier | Liga | Grenoble Foot 38 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.57 | 2.57 | ▲ 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 59% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 14% | 46% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 57% | 26% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 29% | 57% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 79% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Montpellier 1 - 1 - 0 Grenoble Foot 38. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Montpellier vs Grenoble Foot 38?
The Ligue 2 match finished Montpellier 2:0 Grenoble Foot 38. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Montpellier and Grenoble Foot 38?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Montpellier won 1, Grenoble Foot 38 won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Montpellier vs Grenoble Foot 38?
Montpellier score 0.86 goals per game on average and Grenoble Foot 38 1.14. The Ligue 2 average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Montpellier's matches and 43% of Grenoble Foot 38's.
What form are Montpellier and Grenoble Foot 38 in?
Over the last 5 games Montpellier have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Grenoble Foot 38 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Montpellier vs Grenoble Foot 38?
The statistical background for Montpellier vs Grenoble Foot 38 — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.