United States - MLSData current as of 22 September 2026

Montreal Impact vs FC Cincinnati: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Montreal Impact vs FC Cincinnati: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Montreal Impact play FC Cincinnati in MLS (United States). The match date is 26 September 2026.

Current form

Montreal Impact: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. FC Cincinnati: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Montreal Impact scores 1.19 and concedes 2.04 goals per match. FC Cincinnati scores 2.16 and concedes 2.44. League average: 3.21 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Montreal Impact 50%, FC Cincinnati 76%. Over 2.5: Montreal Impact 62%, FC Cincinnati 72%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 63%.

xG, shots and style

FC Cincinnati has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.50. Montreal Impact: 13.1 shots per match, FC Cincinnati: 14.5.

Match halves

Montreal Impact: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.54. FC Cincinnati: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 1.20.

Goals by minute

Montreal Impact: 31-45+ (7 goals). FC Cincinnati: 76-90+ (19 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

MLS: 3.21 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 63%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 7.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.66)
(4.09)
(2.44)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Montreal ImpactFC Cincinnati
1.19Goals scored / match2.16
Montreal ImpactFC Cincinnati
2.04Goals conceded / match2.44
Montreal ImpactFC Cincinnati
49%Average possession51%
Montreal ImpactFC Cincinnati
4.85Shots on target / match6.04
Montreal ImpactFC Cincinnati

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.08Shots per match14.48
Montreal ImpactFC Cincinnati
4.85Shots on target6.04
Montreal ImpactFC Cincinnati
9.1%Shot conversion14.9%
Montreal ImpactFC Cincinnati
49%Possession51%
Montreal ImpactFC Cincinnati
1.5xG for1.67
Montreal ImpactFC Cincinnati
1.46xG against1.74
Montreal ImpactFC Cincinnati

Shooting quality

Montreal Impact: BalancedFC Cincinnati: Attacking
Montreal ImpactFC Cincinnati
Accuracy (shots on target)37%42%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Montreal Impact
LLLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
19% W23% D58% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-6-15
0.81 pts / match · goal difference -22
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-5
0.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-5-5
Last 5 at home
0-3-2
DDDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 2.8xG: 1.32Opponent xG: 1.84BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
FC Cincinnati
DLLDD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
32% W36% D32% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-9-8
1.32 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-6-6
Last 5 away
0-2-3
LDLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 3.0xG: 2.10Opponent xG: 1.43BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

FC Cincinnati is 82% better for: goals scored per match.

1.19 goals / match - Montreal Impact · 2.16 goals / match - FC Cincinnati

Montreal Impact is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.04 goals / match - Montreal Impact · 2.44 goals / match - FC Cincinnati

Montreal Impact scoring profile: very strong

Montreal Impact scores in 62% of matches (16 of 26 matches), while FC Cincinnati keeps a clean sheet in 8% (2 of 25 matches).

FC Cincinnati scoring profile: very strong

FC Cincinnati scores in 84% of matches (21 of 25 matches), while Montreal Impact keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 matches).

31Goals scored (season)54
Montreal ImpactFC Cincinnati
53Goals conceded (season)61
Montreal ImpactFC Cincinnati
3.23Average goals in match4.6
Montreal ImpactFC Cincinnati
2Goals scored (last 5)6
Montreal ImpactFC Cincinnati
14Goals conceded (last 5)15
Montreal ImpactFC Cincinnati

How often they score at least...

62%1 goal84%
Montreal ImpactFC Cincinnati
35%2 goals64%
Montreal ImpactFC Cincinnati
15%3 goals40%
Montreal ImpactFC Cincinnati
8%4 goals20%
Montreal ImpactFC Cincinnati

How often they concede at least...

85%1 goal92%
Montreal ImpactFC Cincinnati
62%2 goals68%
Montreal ImpactFC Cincinnati
27%3 goals44%
Montreal ImpactFC Cincinnati
15%4 goals24%
Montreal ImpactFC Cincinnati

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

63%
League average

Goal patterns

35%BTTS at half-time56%
Montreal ImpactFC Cincinnati
12%BTTS in both halves40%
Montreal ImpactFC Cincinnati
23%Scored in both halves48%
Montreal ImpactFC Cincinnati

BTTS and goal count

46%Min. 3 goals and BTTS64%
Montreal ImpactFC Cincinnati
15%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
Montreal ImpactFC Cincinnati
40%BTTS - last 560%
Montreal ImpactFC Cincinnati

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time84%
Montreal ImpactFC Cincinnati
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time68%
Montreal ImpactFC Cincinnati
23%Min. 3 goals before half-time36%
Montreal ImpactFC Cincinnati

2nd half

85%Min. 1 goal after half-time92%
Montreal ImpactFC Cincinnati
54%Min. 2 goals after half-time68%
Montreal ImpactFC Cincinnati
19%Min. 3 goals after half-time52%
Montreal ImpactFC Cincinnati

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Montreal Impact - half-time state
23% leading38% draw38% trailing
FC Cincinnati - half-time state
24% leading40% draw36% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.08Points per match (1st half)1.12
Montreal ImpactFC Cincinnati
0.65Goals scored (1st half)0.96
Montreal ImpactFC Cincinnati
0.81Goals conceded (1st half)1.08
Montreal ImpactFC Cincinnati
1.46Average goals (1st half)2.04
Montreal ImpactFC Cincinnati
42%Clean sheet before half-time32%
Montreal ImpactFC Cincinnati
50%No goal before half-time28%
Montreal ImpactFC Cincinnati

After half-time (2nd half)

0.92Points per match (2nd half)1.4
Montreal ImpactFC Cincinnati
0.54Goals scored (2nd half)1.2
Montreal ImpactFC Cincinnati
1.23Goals conceded (2nd half)1.36
Montreal ImpactFC Cincinnati
1.77Average goals (2nd half)2.56
Montreal ImpactFC Cincinnati
31%Clean sheet after half-time20%
Montreal ImpactFC Cincinnati
65%No goal after half-time40%
Montreal ImpactFC Cincinnati

Montreal Impact - second-half results

23% W23% D54% L
28
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
-18
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.08
PPG before half-time
Lead holding83%

Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 19%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

FC Cincinnati - second-half results

40% W20% D40% L
28
Half-time points
24
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.12
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Montreal Impact - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.600.20
Goals scored / match0.40.0
Goals conceded / match0.82.0
Average goals in match1.22.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%100%
Goal difference-2-10
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
FC Cincinnati - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.20
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match1.21.8
Average goals in match1.62.6
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%80%
Clean sheet20%0%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-4-5
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Montreal Impact
ScoredConceded
6
4
0-15
4
8
16-30
7
9
31-45
4
11
46-60
3
6
61-75
7
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.

FC Cincinnati
ScoredConceded
5
4
0-15
6
11
16-30
13
12
31-45
7
15
46-60
4
5
61-75
19
14
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.92
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 2.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
122%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
63%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+79%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
52%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Montreal Impact

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.89
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.58
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
65%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
147%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.81
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

FC Cincinnati

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.21
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.49
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.70
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
155%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
134%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.72
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
35% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
35%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).

Teams vs league

Montreal ImpactLigaFC Cincinnati
Average goals in match 3.233.21 4.60
Both teams scored 50%63% 76%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 62%63% 72%
Clean sheets 15%21% 8%
Goal before half-time 73%78% 84%
Goal after half-time 85%82% 92%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.21
Average goals per match
63%
Both teams scored
63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.82
Home goals / match
1.39
Away goals / match
+31%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
52%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Montreal Impact 0 - 0 - 1 FC Cincinnati. Average goals 7.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Montreal Impact and FC Cincinnati play?

Montreal Impact face FC Cincinnati on 26 September 2026 in MLS. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Montreal Impact vs FC Cincinnati?

Montreal Impact score 1.19 goals per game on average and FC Cincinnati 2.16. The MLS average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Montreal Impact's matches and 76% of FC Cincinnati's.

What form are Montreal Impact and FC Cincinnati in?

Over the last 5 games Montreal Impact have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and FC Cincinnati 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Montreal Impact vs FC Cincinnati?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.