Montreal Impact vs New York RB: match statistics
Montreal Impact vs New York RB: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Montreal Impact played New York RB in MLS (United States). The match was played on 18 April 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Montreal Impact: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. New York RB: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Montreal Impact scores 1.14 and concedes 2.71 goals per match. New York RB scores 1.57 and concedes 2.14. League average: 3.12 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Montreal Impact 43%, New York RB 71%. Over 2.5: Montreal Impact 100%, New York RB 71%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
New York RB has higher xG: 1.83 vs 1.29. Montreal Impact: 11.7 shots per match, New York RB: 15.4.
Match halves
Montreal Impact: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.29. New York RB: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Montreal Impact: 0-15 (2 goals). New York RB: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.12 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
New York RB appear to be the favorites: they have a season record of 3 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, while Montreal has only 1 win and 6 losses; over the last 5 matches NYRB average 1.6 points per game compared to Montreal’s 0.6. The visitors create significantly more chances — averaging 16.5 shots and 7.5 on target per game versus Montreal’s 7 shots and 4 on target — and have a higher xG of 1.89 versus 0.98, although Montreal’s conversion rate is higher (14% vs 9%). Both teams have defensive issues: Montreal concedes 2.0 goals per game at home (19 conceded this season), and NYRB concede 2.5 goals on the road; in the last 5 matches the hosts have conceded 11 goals and the visitors 12, indicating an open game. Montreal has no clean sheets at home and a 100% loss rate in home matches, while NYRB away record includes 25% wins and 50% draws, giving the visitors greater result stability. Considering NYRB’s advantage in chance creation (16.5 vs 7 shots), higher xG (1.89 vs 0.98) and better average points over the last 5 matches, I tip the away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
New York RB has a season BTTS rate of 100% and 100% in the last 5 matches, which is the strongest signal in favor of the Both Teams To Score option; Montreal has a season BTTS of 33% and 60% in the last 5 matches. Both teams generate similar xG: Montreal 1.76 versus 1.89 for New York RB, and the seasonal goals average is 1.67 for Montreal and 1.5 for NYRB, with the last 5 matches at 1.6 and 2.2 respectively. Defensively New York RB concedes 2.5 goals on the season (last 5: 2.4) and has 0% clean sheets, while Montreal concedes 1.67 on the season (last 5: 2.2) despite 33% clean sheets seasonally. Additionally, matches over 2.5 goals occur for Montreal in 67% and for NYRB in 75% of cases, and the league average is 3.1 goals per match, which favors goal exchange. Based on this, I assess BTTS as more likely and assign 85% to Yes and 15% to No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG and goals-per-game analysis points to a high-scoring match: Montreal’s attacking xG is 1.76 while xG conceded vs NYRB is 1.67; NYRB’s attacking xG is 1.89 while xG conceded vs Montreal is 1.25. Based on this I project 1.72 goals for the hosts and 1.57 for the visitors, totaling ~3.29 goals. Seasonal metrics further confirm a propensity for high-scoring games: percentage of matches over 2.5 goals is 67% for Montreal and 75% for NYRB, and in the last 5 matches Montreal has 100% over2.5, NYRB 80%. NYRB also has 100% BTTS on the road which increases the likelihood of away goals, while Montreal at home scores on average 1.67 goals and has a low 33% BTTS, which nevertheless does not preclude a combined over 2.5 scenario. Considering the expected 3.29 goals (above the league average of 3.1) and strong percentage support for over 2.5 (67%/75% seasonally and 100%/80% in the last 5), I recommend backing Over 2.5 as the strongest signal; Over 1.5 has an even higher probability, while Over 3.5 is more risky (~42%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
In the last five matches, the home side led at the break in 60% of cases, but won only 20% and lost 80% of those games, indicating a tendency to lose the lead after halftime. After the break, Montreal scores on average 0.4 goals and concedes 1.4 goals, whereas New York scores an average of 1.4 goals after halftime, statistically making them more likely to complete a turnaround. Seasonally, the hosts have better home numbers (an average of 2.0 points per match and 67% wins), but in the last five fixtures the visitors have form worth 1.6 points versus 0.6 for the hosts, and xG shows a slight edge for New York: 1.89 versus 1.76; the away side also registers more shots on target (7.5 vs 4.67). Therefore the most likely scenario is Montreal leading at half-time and New York RB winning after full-time (1/2) — I assign it a 40% probability, with smaller chances for 1/1 (12%) and X/1 (10%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Montreal Impact | New York RB | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
New York RB is 67% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Montreal Impact · 1 pts / match - New York RB
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
New York RB is 38% better for: goals scored per match.
1.14 goals / match - Montreal Impact · 1.57 goals / match - New York RB
New York RB is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.71 goals / match - Montreal Impact · 2.14 goals / match - New York RB
Montreal Impact scores in 57% of matches (4 of 7 matches), while New York RB keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).
New York RB scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Montreal Impact keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Montreal Impact
Over / Under - New York RB
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Montreal Impact is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Montreal Impact · 0.86 pts / match - New York RB
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Montreal Impact - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 14%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
New York RB - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Montreal Impact
New York RB
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Montreal Impact | Liga | New York RB | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.86 | 3.12 | ▲ 3.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 56% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 63% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 25% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 74% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 81% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Montreal Impact 1 - 0 - 0 New York RB. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Montreal Impact vs New York RB?
The MLS match finished Montreal Impact 4:1 New York RB. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Montreal Impact vs New York RB?
Montreal Impact score 1.14 goals per game on average and New York RB 1.57. The MLS average is 3.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Montreal Impact's matches and 71% of New York RB's.
What form are Montreal Impact and New York RB in?
Over the last 5 games Montreal Impact have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and New York RB 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Montreal Impact vs New York RB?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Montreal Impact vs New York RB: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.