Montrose vs Alloa Athletic: match statistics
Alloa Athletic shows significantly better form over their last five matches, securing 2.4 points per game compared to Montrose's mere 1.0. The visitors sit 3rd in the table with a positive away goal difference (+3), while Montrose concedes an average of 1.69 goals per home game with a negative goal difference (-6). Alloa Athletic also stands out for their defensive efficiency, conceding an average of only 1 goal per away match with a 36% clean sheet rate, which is more than double the hosts' 15%. xG statistics also favor the visitors (1.2 xG For vs 1.05 for Montrose), and their streak of four wins in the last five games indicates high team confidence. Taking all these factors into account, Alloa Athletic has a realistic chance of an away win, although Montrose can cause upsets at home, justifying a 30% chance for a home victory.
Montrose vs Alloa Athletic: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Montrose played Alloa Athletic in League One (Scotland). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 5:4.
Current form
Montrose: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Alloa Athletic: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Montrose scores 1.25 and concedes 1.75 goals per match. Alloa Athletic scores 1.43 and concedes 0.82. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Montrose 61%, Alloa Athletic 39%. Over 2.5: Montrose 57%, Alloa Athletic 46%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Alloa Athletic has higher xG: 1.25 vs 1.08. Montrose: 8.3 shots per match, Alloa Athletic: 9.6.
Match halves
Montrose: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.64. Alloa Athletic: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.89.
Goals by minute
Montrose: 31-45+ (8 goals). Alloa Athletic: 61-75 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Alloa Athletic shows significantly better form over their last five matches, securing 2.4 points per game compared to Montrose's mere 1.0. The visitors sit 3rd in the table with a positive away goal difference (+3), while Montrose concedes an average of 1.69 goals per home game with a negative goal difference (-6). Alloa Athletic also stands out for their defensive efficiency, conceding an average of only 1 goal per away match with a 36% clean sheet rate, which is more than double the hosts' 15%. xG statistics also favor the visitors (1.2 xG For vs 1.05 for Montrose), and their streak of four wins in the last five games indicates high team confidence. Taking all these factors into account, Alloa Athletic has a realistic chance of an away win, although Montrose can cause upsets at home, justifying a 30% chance for a home victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Montrose | Alloa Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 50% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Alloa Athletic is 140% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Montrose · 2.4 pts / match - Alloa Athletic
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Alloa Athletic is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.25 goals / match - Montrose · 1.43 goals / match - Alloa Athletic
Alloa Athletic is 113% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.75 goals / match - Montrose · 0.82 goals / match - Alloa Athletic
Montrose scores in 75% of matches (21 of 28 matches), while Alloa Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 43% (12 of 28 matches).
Alloa Athletic scores in 71% of matches (20 of 28 matches), while Montrose keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Montrose
Over / Under - Alloa Athletic
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Alloa Athletic is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / match - Montrose · 1.5 pts / match - Alloa Athletic
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Montrose - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Alloa Athletic - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Montrose
Alloa Athletic
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Montrose | Liga | Alloa Athletic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.61 | ▼ 2.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 48% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 51% | ▼ 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 29% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 75% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 81% | • 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Montrose 1 - 0 - 2 Alloa Athletic. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Montrose vs Alloa Athletic?
The League One match finished Montrose 5:4 Alloa Athletic. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Montrose and Alloa Athletic?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Montrose won 1, Alloa Athletic won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Montrose vs Alloa Athletic?
Montrose score 1.25 goals per game on average and Alloa Athletic 1.43. The League One average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Montrose's matches and 39% of Alloa Athletic's.
What form are Montrose and Alloa Athletic in?
Over the last 5 games Montrose have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Alloa Athletic 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Montrose vs Alloa Athletic?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Montrose vs Alloa Athletic: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.