Montrose vs East Fife: match statistics
Montrose vs East Fife: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Montrose played East Fife in League One (Scotland). The match was played on 4 April 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Montrose: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. East Fife: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Montrose scores 1.37 and concedes 1.80 goals per match. East Fife scores 0.97 and concedes 1.74. League average: 2.67 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Montrose 63%, East Fife 52%. Over 2.5: Montrose 57%, East Fife 55%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
East Fife has higher xG: 1.21 vs 1.12. Montrose: 8.6 shots per match, East Fife: 9.2.
Match halves
Montrose: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.70. East Fife: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.52.
Goals by minute
Montrose: 31-45+ (10 goals). East Fife: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Montrose has a clear advantage in attack and form: the hosts have scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches versus East Fife’s 4, and in those five games Montrose recorded 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss (6 points) compared to the visitors’ 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses (2 points). At home Montrose averages 1.50 goals per game with a conversion rate of 17%, while East Fife on the road scores only 0.87 goals per game with a 10% conversion. Both teams are defensively vulnerable — Montrose concedes 1.86 goals at home on average, and East Fife concedes 1.93 away; both sides have conceded 54 goals this season. Quality of chances also favors the hosts: average xG against East Fife away is 1.51, while against Montrose at home it is 1.28, suggesting the visitors more frequently allow high-value opportunities. Considering Montrose’s higher home win percentage (43% vs 20% East Fife away), table positions (7 vs 9) and PPG in the last 5 matches (1.2 vs 0.4), a Montrose victory is the more likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have season BTTS rates of 50% (Montrose) and 53% (East Fife), with the league average at 51%, yielding an almost 50/50 baseline. In the last 5 matches Montrose recorded BTTS in 5/5 (100%) and East Fife in 3/5 (60%), which notably increases the likelihood of goals from both sides. Both teams concede a lot: Montrose concedes 1.56 goals on the season and 2.0 in the last 5, East Fife 1.93 on the season and 2.0 in the last 5, and clean sheets are only 13% for both sides. Recent xG shows Montrose with xG 1.23 in the last 5, East Fife 1.32, and their shots on target are 3.81 vs 4.13 — both teams create and allow scoring opportunities. Based on these figures I assess BTTS at 70% vs 30% and recommend a "Yes" (BTTS - Yes) bet.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Montrose scores an average of 1.06 goals per season, East Fife 0.87, while seasonal xG is 1.26 (Montrose) and 1.16 (East Fife); defensive xG conceded are 1.09 for Montrose and 1.51 for East Fife, yielding an averaged expectation of 1.34 goals for the home side and 1.32 for the away side (total 2.66). Season-to-date the percentage of matches over 1.5 goals is 75% for Montrose and 80% for East Fife, which strongly favors Over 1.5 in this fixture. The 2.5 line gives a more moderate signal: season Over 2.5 is 50% (Montrose) and 60% (East Fife), and in the last 5 matches it was 40% and 60%, so I assess the probability of Over 2.5 at roughly 58%. Over 3.5 is relatively rare (seasonally 19% and 27%), therefore Under 3.5 has a clear edge. Based on this, I recommend backing Over 1.5 as the strongest signal: expected 2.66 goals and high 75%/80% seasonal Over 1.5 rates provide the greatest edge.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I forecast that Montrose will lead at the break because in their last five matches Montrose were leading at half-time in 60% of cases (3/5), whereas East Fife were behind at half-time in 80% of their last five fixtures (4/5). Additionally, Montrose have a higher xG: 1.26 versus East Fife’s 1.16, and the visitors concede an average of 1.93 goals per match with an xG against of 1.51, indicating a weaker East Fife defense and greater scoring opportunities for the home side. Montrose average 1.0 first-half goals in their last five matches compared to 0.4 for East Fife and average 2.0 points at the break versus 0.6 for the visitors, so the home advantage at half-time is a strong signal. After the break Montrose also perform better (0.67 second-half goals on average vs 0.4 for East Fife, and in the last five matches the home side’s second half yields 2.2 goals versus 1.4 for the visitors), which increases the likelihood of maintaining the lead. Consequently, the strongest scenario supported by the data is 1/1 (Montrose leading at half-time and winning Full-Time), so that is my pick.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Montrose | East Fife | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Montrose is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Montrose · 0.4 pts / match - East Fife
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Montrose is 41% better for: goals scored per match.
1.37 goals / match - Montrose · 0.97 goals / match - East Fife
Montrose scores in 77% of matches (23 of 30 matches), while East Fife keeps a clean sheet in 13% (4 of 31 matches).
East Fife scores in 65% of matches (20 of 31 matches), while Montrose keeps a clean sheet in 13% (4 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Montrose
Over / Under - East Fife
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Montrose is 97% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - Montrose · 0.61 pts / match - East Fife
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Montrose - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
East Fife - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Montrose
East Fife
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Montrose | Liga | East Fife | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.17 | 2.67 | • 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 51% | • 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 52% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 27% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 77% | ▼ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 82% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Montrose 1 - 2 - 0 East Fife. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Montrose vs East Fife?
The League One match finished Montrose 1:0 East Fife. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Montrose and East Fife?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Montrose won 1, East Fife won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Montrose vs East Fife?
Montrose score 1.37 goals per game on average and East Fife 0.97. The League One average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Montrose's matches and 52% of East Fife's.
What form are Montrose and East Fife in?
Over the last 5 games Montrose have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and East Fife 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Montrose vs East Fife?
The statistical background for Montrose vs East Fife — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.