Monza vs Palermo: match statistics
Monza showcases an impressive home form with a 79% win rate and just 7% losses at their own stadium, making them the clear favorites for this fixture. The hosts score an average of 1.79 goals per home match while conceding only 0.64, and their +16 home goal difference significantly outweighs Palermo's away record (+6). The visitors, despite good overall form, show weaker away statistics with only a 36% win rate and a high percentage of draws (43%), suggesting difficulties in securing three points on the road. Palermo also has a lower shots on target ratio (3.57 vs 5.29) and lower conversion efficiency (11% vs 12%) compared to Monza playing at home. Considering the hosts' advantage across all key home statistics and a solid streak of four wins in their last five matches, Monza holds a distinct edge, although Palermo's experience with away draws might turn this into a closely contested match.
Monza vs Palermo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Monza played Palermo in Serie B (Italy). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Monza: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Palermo: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Monza scores 1.59 and concedes 0.86 goals per match. Palermo scores 1.69 and concedes 0.76. League average: 2.54 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Monza 52%, Palermo 41%. Over 2.5: Monza 48%, Palermo 48%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Monza has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.53. Monza: 14.2 shots per match, Palermo: 14.0.
Match halves
Monza: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.90. Palermo: half-time lead 55%, second-half goals 0.93.
Goals by minute
Monza: 46-60 (11 goals). Palermo: 46-60 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Monza showcases an impressive home form with a 79% win rate and just 7% losses at their own stadium, making them the clear favorites for this fixture. The hosts score an average of 1.79 goals per home match while conceding only 0.64, and their +16 home goal difference significantly outweighs Palermo's away record (+6). The visitors, despite good overall form, show weaker away statistics with only a 36% win rate and a high percentage of draws (43%), suggesting difficulties in securing three points on the road. Palermo also has a lower shots on target ratio (3.57 vs 5.29) and lower conversion efficiency (11% vs 12%) compared to Monza playing at home. Considering the hosts' advantage across all key home statistics and a solid streak of four wins in their last five matches, Monza holds a distinct edge, although Palermo's experience with away draws might turn this into a closely contested match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Monza | Palermo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Palermo is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
1.59 goals / match - Monza · 1.69 goals / match - Palermo
Palermo is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.86 goals / match - Monza · 0.76 goals / match - Palermo
Monza scores in 86% of matches (25 of 29 matches), while Palermo keeps a clean sheet in 48% (14 of 29 matches).
Palermo scores in 79% of matches (23 of 29 matches), while Monza keeps a clean sheet in 38% (11 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Monza
Over / Under - Palermo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Palermo is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.52 pts / match - Monza · 1.9 pts / match - Palermo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Monza - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 62%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Palermo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 55% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +7 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Monza
Palermo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Monza | Liga | Palermo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.45 | 2.54 | • 2.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 55% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 48% | 49% | • 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 26% | ▲ 48% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 72% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 76% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Monza 1 - 0 - 0 Palermo. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Monza vs Palermo?
The Serie B match finished Monza 3:0 Palermo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Monza vs Palermo?
Monza score 1.59 goals per game on average and Palermo 1.69. The Serie B average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Monza's matches and 41% of Palermo's.
What form are Monza and Palermo in?
Over the last 5 games Monza have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Palermo 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Monza vs Palermo?
The statistical background for Monza vs Palermo — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.