Moreirense FC vs CD Nacional: match statistics
Moreirense FC displays significantly better home form with a 55% win rate at their own stadium, constituting a solid basis for predicting their victory. The hosts have a positive goal difference at home (-1), while CD Nacional records poor away form with just 17% wins and a negative balance of -5 goals. The last five matches of both teams show a clear form advantage for Moreirense (0.8 PPG) over Nacional (0.2 PPG). Additionally, the hosts are characterized by a better shot conversion rate (16% vs 7%) and a higher average possession on their own pitch (49% vs 42% for the visitors). Although Nacional generates higher xG on the road (1.33), their poor efficiency and a series of four losses in the last five matches suggest that Moreirense has a real chance of triumphing before their own crowd.
Moreirense FC vs CD Nacional: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Moreirense FC played CD Nacional in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Moreirense FC: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. CD Nacional: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Moreirense FC scores 1.25 and concedes 1.42 goals per match. CD Nacional scores 1.17 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.74 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Moreirense FC 50%, CD Nacional 58%. Over 2.5: Moreirense FC 58%, CD Nacional 54%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
CD Nacional has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.04. Moreirense FC: 9.0 shots per match, CD Nacional: 12.1.
Match halves
Moreirense FC: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.83. CD Nacional: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Moreirense FC: 61-75 (8 goals). CD Nacional: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.74 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Moreirense FC displays significantly better home form with a 55% win rate at their own stadium, constituting a solid basis for predicting their victory. The hosts have a positive goal difference at home (-1), while CD Nacional records poor away form with just 17% wins and a negative balance of -5 goals. The last five matches of both teams show a clear form advantage for Moreirense (0.8 PPG) over Nacional (0.2 PPG). Additionally, the hosts are characterized by a better shot conversion rate (16% vs 7%) and a higher average possession on their own pitch (49% vs 42% for the visitors). Although Nacional generates higher xG on the road (1.33), their poor efficiency and a series of four losses in the last five matches suggest that Moreirense has a real chance of triumphing before their own crowd.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Moreirense FC | CD Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Moreirense FC is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Moreirense FC · 0.2 pts / match - CD Nacional
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Moreirense FC is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.25 goals / match - Moreirense FC · 1.17 goals / match - CD Nacional
Moreirense FC is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.42 goals / match - Moreirense FC · 1.5 goals / match - CD Nacional
Moreirense FC scores in 75% of matches (18 of 24 matches), while CD Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 24 matches).
CD Nacional scores in 71% of matches (17 of 24 matches), while Moreirense FC keeps a clean sheet in 29% (7 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Moreirense FC
Over / Under - CD Nacional
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CD Nacional is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.04 pts / match - Moreirense FC · 1.25 pts / match - CD Nacional
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Moreirense FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
CD Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 21%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Moreirense FC
CD Nacional
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Moreirense FC | Liga | CD Nacional | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.67 | 2.74 | • 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 56% | ▼ 54% |
| Clean sheets | • 29% | 30% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 71% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 79% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Moreirense FC 0 - 0 - 1 CD Nacional. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Moreirense FC vs CD Nacional?
The Liga NOS match finished Moreirense FC 1:1 CD Nacional. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Moreirense FC vs CD Nacional?
Moreirense FC score 1.25 goals per game on average and CD Nacional 1.17. The Liga NOS average is 2.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Moreirense FC's matches and 58% of CD Nacional's.
What form are Moreirense FC and CD Nacional in?
Over the last 5 games Moreirense FC have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and CD Nacional 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Moreirense FC vs CD Nacional?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Moreirense FC vs CD Nacional: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.