Mexico - Ascenso MXEstadio Generalísimo José María Morelos y PavónData current as of 17 October 2026

Morelia vs CDS Tampico Madero: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Morelia vs CDS Tampico Madero: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Morelia play CDS Tampico Madero in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Generalísimo José María Morelos y Pavón.

Current form

Morelia: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. CDS Tampico Madero: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Morelia scores 1.83 and concedes 1.08 goals per match. CDS Tampico Madero scores 1.00 and concedes 1.58. League average: 3.26 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Morelia 67%, CDS Tampico Madero 42%. Over 2.5: Morelia 50%, CDS Tampico Madero 50%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 61%.

xG, shots and style

Morelia has higher xG: 1.88 vs 1.29. Morelia: 15.3 shots per match, CDS Tampico Madero: 11.0.

Match halves

Morelia: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 1.25. CDS Tampico Madero: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.42.

Goals by minute

Morelia: 46-60 (8 goals). CDS Tampico Madero: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ascenso MX: 3.26 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 61%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 0.50, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.47)
(4.20)
(5.70)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

MoreliaCDS Tampico Madero
1.83Goals scored / match1
MoreliaCDS Tampico Madero
1.08Goals conceded / match1.58
MoreliaCDS Tampico Madero
55%Average possession55%
MoreliaCDS Tampico Madero
6.5Shots on target / match3.42
MoreliaCDS Tampico Madero

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.33Shots per match11
MoreliaCDS Tampico Madero
6.5Shots on target3.42
MoreliaCDS Tampico Madero
12%Shot conversion9.1%
MoreliaCDS Tampico Madero
55%Possession55%
MoreliaCDS Tampico Madero
1.88xG for1.29
MoreliaCDS Tampico Madero
1.22xG against1.59
MoreliaCDS Tampico Madero

Shooting quality

Morelia: DominantCDS Tampico Madero: Balanced
MoreliaCDS Tampico Madero
Accuracy (shots on target)42%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Morelia is 300% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Morelia · 0.4 pts / match - CDS Tampico Madero

Morelia
WWLDD
Season result split
58% W17% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-2-3
1.92 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-1-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WLWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 2.11Opponent xG: 1.26BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%
CDS Tampico Madero
LDLLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
25% W25% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-3-6
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-6
Last 5 away
0-0-5
LLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.50Opponent xG: 1.89BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Morelia is 83% better for: goals scored per match.

1.83 goals / match - Morelia · 1 goals / match - CDS Tampico Madero

Morelia is 46% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.08 goals / match - Morelia · 1.58 goals / match - CDS Tampico Madero

Morelia scoring profile: very strong

Morelia scores in 92% of matches (11 of 12 matches), while CDS Tampico Madero keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 matches).

CDS Tampico Madero scoring profile: strong

CDS Tampico Madero scores in 50% of matches (6 of 12 matches), while Morelia keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 matches).

22Goals scored (season)12
MoreliaCDS Tampico Madero
13Goals conceded (season)19
MoreliaCDS Tampico Madero
2.92Average goals in match2.58
MoreliaCDS Tampico Madero
6Goals scored (last 5)3
MoreliaCDS Tampico Madero
4Goals conceded (last 5)8
MoreliaCDS Tampico Madero

How often they score at least...

92%1 goal50%
MoreliaCDS Tampico Madero
42%2 goals25%
MoreliaCDS Tampico Madero
25%3 goals17%
MoreliaCDS Tampico Madero
25%4 goals8%
MoreliaCDS Tampico Madero

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal75%
MoreliaCDS Tampico Madero
25%2 goals42%
MoreliaCDS Tampico Madero
8%3 goals33%
MoreliaCDS Tampico Madero
0%4 goals8%
MoreliaCDS Tampico Madero

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

42%
CDS Tampico Madero - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.5 of 12 matches
59%
League average

Goal patterns

8%BTTS at half-time8%
MoreliaCDS Tampico Madero
0%BTTS in both halves0%
MoreliaCDS Tampico Madero
33%Scored in both halves25%
MoreliaCDS Tampico Madero

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
MoreliaCDS Tampico Madero
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
MoreliaCDS Tampico Madero
60%BTTS - last 560%
MoreliaCDS Tampico Madero

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

83%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
MoreliaCDS Tampico Madero
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
MoreliaCDS Tampico Madero
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
MoreliaCDS Tampico Madero

2nd half

92%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
MoreliaCDS Tampico Madero
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
MoreliaCDS Tampico Madero
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
MoreliaCDS Tampico Madero

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Morelia is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.5 pts / match - Morelia · 1.33 pts / match - CDS Tampico Madero

Morelia - half-time state
42% leading25% draw33% trailing
CDS Tampico Madero - half-time state
25% leading58% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per match (1st half)1.33
MoreliaCDS Tampico Madero
0.58Goals scored (1st half)0.58
MoreliaCDS Tampico Madero
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.42
MoreliaCDS Tampico Madero
1.08Average goals (1st half)1
MoreliaCDS Tampico Madero
58%Clean sheet before half-time75%
MoreliaCDS Tampico Madero
50%No goal before half-time67%
MoreliaCDS Tampico Madero

After half-time (2nd half)

1.75Points per match (2nd half)0.67
MoreliaCDS Tampico Madero
1.25Goals scored (2nd half)0.42
MoreliaCDS Tampico Madero
0.58Goals conceded (2nd half)1.17
MoreliaCDS Tampico Madero
1.83Average goals (2nd half)1.58
MoreliaCDS Tampico Madero
50%Clean sheet after half-time33%
MoreliaCDS Tampico Madero
25%No goal after half-time58%
MoreliaCDS Tampico Madero

Morelia - second-half results

50% W25% D25% L
18
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding138%

Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

CDS Tampico Madero - second-half results

8% W42% D50% L
16
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.8

Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Morelia - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.00
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match0.81.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
CDS Tampico Madero - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.40
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.21.4
Average goals in match0.41.8
1 goal20%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference0-5
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Morelia
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
3
0
16-30
1
5
31-45
8
1
46-60
2
4
61-75
5
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

CDS Tampico Madero
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
3
3
16-30
1
1
31-45
2
5
46-60
1
5
61-75
2
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.75
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
84%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-82%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
46%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Morelia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.66
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
92%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
85%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.32
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

CDS Tampico Madero

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.29
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
79%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
79%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.60
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).

Teams vs league

MoreliaLigaCDS Tampico Madero
Average goals in match▼ 2.923.26▼ 2.58
Both teams scored▲ 67%59%▼ 42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 50%61%▼ 50%
Clean sheets▲ 25%23%▲ 25%
Goal before half-time▲ 83%74%▼ 50%
Goal after half-time▲ 92%81%▼ 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.26
Average goals per match
59%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.99
Home goals / match
1.27
Away goals / match
+57%
Home attack advantage
+36%
Home defence advantage
+23%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
58%
2 goals
35%
3 goals
15%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Morelia 0 - 1 - 1 CDS Tampico Madero. Average goals 0.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Club Deportivo y Social Tampico Madero
1 : 0
CA Monarcas Morelia
CA Monarcas Morelia
0 : 0
Club Deportivo y Social Tampico Madero

FAQ

When do Morelia and CDS Tampico Madero play?

Morelia face CDS Tampico Madero on 18 October 2026 in Ascenso MX at Estadio Generalísimo José María Morelos y Pavón. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Morelia and CDS Tampico Madero?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Morelia won 0, CDS Tampico Madero won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Morelia vs CDS Tampico Madero?

Morelia score 1.83 goals per game on average and CDS Tampico Madero 1.00. The Ascenso MX average is 3.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Morelia's matches and 42% of CDS Tampico Madero's.

What form are Morelia and CDS Tampico Madero in?

Over the last 5 games Morelia have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and CDS Tampico Madero 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Morelia vs CDS Tampico Madero?

The statistical background for Morelia vs CDS Tampico Madero — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.