Morelia vs CDS Tampico Madero: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Morelia vs CDS Tampico Madero: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Morelia play CDS Tampico Madero in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Generalísimo José María Morelos y Pavón.
Current form
Morelia: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. CDS Tampico Madero: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Morelia scores 1.83 and concedes 1.08 goals per match. CDS Tampico Madero scores 1.00 and concedes 1.58. League average: 3.26 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Morelia 67%, CDS Tampico Madero 42%. Over 2.5: Morelia 50%, CDS Tampico Madero 50%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Morelia has higher xG: 1.88 vs 1.29. Morelia: 15.3 shots per match, CDS Tampico Madero: 11.0.
Match halves
Morelia: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 1.25. CDS Tampico Madero: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.42.
Goals by minute
Morelia: 46-60 (8 goals). CDS Tampico Madero: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 3.26 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 0.50, BTTS 0%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Morelia | CDS Tampico Madero | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Morelia is 300% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Morelia · 0.4 pts / match - CDS Tampico Madero
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Morelia is 83% better for: goals scored per match.
1.83 goals / match - Morelia · 1 goals / match - CDS Tampico Madero
Morelia is 46% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.08 goals / match - Morelia · 1.58 goals / match - CDS Tampico Madero
Morelia scores in 92% of matches (11 of 12 matches), while CDS Tampico Madero keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 matches).
CDS Tampico Madero scores in 50% of matches (6 of 12 matches), while Morelia keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Morelia
Over / Under - CDS Tampico Madero
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Morelia is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Morelia · 1.33 pts / match - CDS Tampico Madero
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Morelia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
CDS Tampico Madero - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Morelia
CDS Tampico Madero
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Morelia | Liga | CDS Tampico Madero | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.92 | 3.26 | ▼ 2.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 59% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 61% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 25% | 23% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 74% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 81% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Morelia 0 - 1 - 1 CDS Tampico Madero. Average goals 0.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
When do Morelia and CDS Tampico Madero play?
Morelia face CDS Tampico Madero on 18 October 2026 in Ascenso MX at Estadio Generalísimo José María Morelos y Pavón. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Morelia and CDS Tampico Madero?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Morelia won 0, CDS Tampico Madero won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Morelia vs CDS Tampico Madero?
Morelia score 1.83 goals per game on average and CDS Tampico Madero 1.00. The Ascenso MX average is 3.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Morelia's matches and 42% of CDS Tampico Madero's.
What form are Morelia and CDS Tampico Madero in?
Over the last 5 games Morelia have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and CDS Tampico Madero 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Morelia vs CDS Tampico Madero?
The statistical background for Morelia vs CDS Tampico Madero — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


