Morelia vs Mineros de Zacatecas: match statistics
Morelia vs Mineros de Zacatecas: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Morelia play Mineros de Zacatecas in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 26 April 2026 at 03:00. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Morelia: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Mineros de Zacatecas: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Morelia scores 1.29 and concedes 1.15 goals per match. Mineros de Zacatecas scores 1.56 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Morelia 41%, Mineros de Zacatecas 62%. Over 2.5: Morelia 50%, Mineros de Zacatecas 59%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Mineros de Zacatecas has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.53. Morelia: 13.0 shots per match, Mineros de Zacatecas: 12.9.
Match halves
Morelia: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.65. Mineros de Zacatecas: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Morelia: 76-90+ (13 goals). Mineros de Zacatecas: 31-45+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-1-1. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 33%.
Match description
I back the home win (1), primarily due to their defensive edge at home: Morelia concedes 0.75 goals per home match on average and keeps a clean sheet in 50% of home games, whereas Mineros concede 2.07 goals on average away and keep a clean sheet in only 13% of away matches. Offensive numbers are similar but also favor Morelia — the hosts score 1.5 goals per home game with an xG of 1.84, while Mineros score 1.4 away with xG 1.39; additionally Morelia average 16.31 shots (5.88 on target) versus Mineros' 10.87 (4.67 on target), translating into more chances. Recent form over the last five matches favors the visitors: Mineros have scored 9 goals and average 2.0 points per game in their last 5, whereas Morelia have scored only 2 goals and have 0.8 PPG, which reduces the home advantage. Mineros are also more efficient with their opportunities (conversion 13% vs 9% for Morelia and FTS 27% vs 38%), so I expect a tight game, but ultimately the advantage stemming from the hosts' lower average goals conceded and Morelia's higher xG gives them a moderate edge.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Morelia | Mineros de Zacatecas | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mineros de Zacatecas is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Morelia · 1.2 pts / match - Mineros de Zacatecas
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mineros de Zacatecas is 21% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - Morelia · 1.56 goals / match - Mineros de Zacatecas
Morelia is 30% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.15 goals / match - Morelia · 1.5 goals / match - Mineros de Zacatecas
Morelia scores in 68% of matches (23 of 34 matches), while Mineros de Zacatecas keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).
Mineros de Zacatecas scores in 79% of matches (27 of 34 matches), while Morelia keeps a clean sheet in 38% (13 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Morelia
Over / Under — Mineros de Zacatecas
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mineros de Zacatecas is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / match - Morelia · 1.71 pts / match - Mineros de Zacatecas
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Morelia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mineros de Zacatecas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 35%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Morelia
Mineros de Zacatecas
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Morelia | Liga | Mineros de Zacatecas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.44 | 2.85 | ▲ 3.06 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 57% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 25% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 74% | ▲ 85% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 80% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Morelia 1 - 1 - 1 Mineros de Zacatecas. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Morelia vs Mineros de Zacatecas?
The Ascenso MX match finished Morelia 2:0 Mineros de Zacatecas. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Morelia and Mineros de Zacatecas?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Morelia won 1, Mineros de Zacatecas won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Morelia vs Mineros de Zacatecas?
Morelia score 1.29 goals per game on average and Mineros de Zacatecas 1.56. The Ascenso MX average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Morelia's matches and 62% of Mineros de Zacatecas's.
What form are Morelia and Mineros de Zacatecas in?
Over the last 5 games Morelia have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Mineros de Zacatecas 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Morelia vs Mineros de Zacatecas?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.