Scotland - PremiershipFir ParkData current as of 21 October 2026

Motherwell vs Hearts: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Motherwell vs Hearts: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Motherwell play Hearts in Premiership (Scotland). The match date is 25 October 2026. Venue: Fir Park.

Current form

Motherwell: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. Hearts: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Motherwell scores 1.22 and concedes 1.78 goals per match. Hearts scores 2.22 and concedes 1.67. League average: 2.76 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Motherwell 44%, Hearts 78%. Over 2.5: Motherwell 67%, Hearts 89%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 56%.

xG, shots and style

Hearts has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.55. Motherwell: 14.0 shots per match, Hearts: 16.3.

Match halves

Motherwell: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.56. Hearts: half-time lead 56%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Motherwell: 16-30 (3 goals). Hearts: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premiership: 2.76 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 56%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 0-3-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 75%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.09)
(3.56)
(2.15)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.22Goals scored / match2.22
MotherwellHearts
1.78Goals conceded / match1.67
MotherwellHearts
57%Average possession54%
MotherwellHearts
4.67Shots on target / match5.33
MotherwellHearts

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14Shots per match16.33
MotherwellHearts
4.67Shots on target5.33
MotherwellHearts
8.7%Shot conversion13.6%
MotherwellHearts
57%Possession54%
MotherwellHearts
1.55xG for1.77
MotherwellHearts
1.79xG against1.14
MotherwellHearts

Shooting quality

Motherwell: DominantHearts: Attacking
MotherwellHearts
Accuracy (shots on target)33%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.42

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Motherwell
LLLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
22% W22% D56% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-5
0.89 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-5
0.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-2
Last 5 at home
1-1-2
DWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.38Opponent xG: 2.01BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Hearts
WLDWL
Season result split
56% W11% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-1-3
1.78 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-3
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LWLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.90Opponent xG: 1.01BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Hearts is 82% better for: goals scored per match.

1.22 goals / match - Motherwell · 2.22 goals / match - Hearts

Hearts is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.78 goals / match - Motherwell · 1.67 goals / match - Hearts

Motherwell scoring profile: strong

Motherwell scores in 56% of matches (5 of 9 matches), while Hearts keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).

Hearts scoring profile: very strong

Hearts scores in 100% of matches (9 of 9 matches), while Motherwell keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).

11Goals scored (season)20
MotherwellHearts
16Goals conceded (season)15
MotherwellHearts
3Average goals in match3.89
MotherwellHearts
3Goals scored (last 5)10
MotherwellHearts
12Goals conceded (last 5)11
MotherwellHearts

How often they score at least...

56%1 goal100%
MotherwellHearts
44%2 goals56%
MotherwellHearts
22%3 goals33%
MotherwellHearts
0%4 goals22%
MotherwellHearts

How often they concede at least...

78%1 goal78%
MotherwellHearts
56%2 goals33%
MotherwellHearts
33%3 goals11%
MotherwellHearts
11%4 goals11%
MotherwellHearts

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time22%
MotherwellHearts
11%BTTS in both halves0%
MotherwellHearts
44%Scored in both halves33%
MotherwellHearts

BTTS and goal count

44%Min. 3 goals and BTTS67%
MotherwellHearts
22%Min. 3 goals without BTTS22%
MotherwellHearts
40%BTTS - last 580%
MotherwellHearts

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

89%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
MotherwellHearts
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time67%
MotherwellHearts
22%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
MotherwellHearts

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
MotherwellHearts
44%Min. 2 goals after half-time67%
MotherwellHearts
22%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
MotherwellHearts

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Hearts is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.89 pts / match - Motherwell · 1.78 pts / match - Hearts

Motherwell - half-time state
22% leading22% draw56% trailing
Hearts - half-time state
56% leading11% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.89Points per match (1st half)1.78
MotherwellHearts
0.67Goals scored (1st half)1.22
MotherwellHearts
1Goals conceded (1st half)0.89
MotherwellHearts
1.67Average goals (1st half)2.11
MotherwellHearts
33%Clean sheet before half-time56%
MotherwellHearts
44%No goal before half-time22%
MotherwellHearts

After half-time (2nd half)

1.11Points per match (2nd half)1.44
MotherwellHearts
0.56Goals scored (2nd half)1
MotherwellHearts
0.78Goals conceded (2nd half)0.78
MotherwellHearts
1.33Average goals (2nd half)1.78
MotherwellHearts
56%Clean sheet after half-time44%
MotherwellHearts
56%No goal after half-time44%
MotherwellHearts

Motherwell - second-half results

22% W44% D33% L
8
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.89
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Hearts - second-half results

44% W11% D44% L
16
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.78
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 56% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Motherwell - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.200.40
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match1.21.2
Average goals in match1.61.4
1 goal100%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet0%40%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-4-5
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Hearts - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.80
Goals scored / match0.81.2
Goals conceded / match1.60.6
Average goals in match2.41.8
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference-4+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Motherwell
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
3
1
16-30
2
5
31-45
1
4
46-60
2
1
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Hearts
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
2
2
16-30
5
3
31-45
3
3
46-60
2
1
61-75
4
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.44
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 2.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
125%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
61%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-13%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Motherwell

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.24
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.32
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.33
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
134%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.89
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Hearts

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.63
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.45
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.53
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
167%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
117%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.38
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).

Teams vs league

MotherwellLigaHearts
Average goals in match▲ 3.002.76▲ 3.89
Both teams scored▼ 44%56%▲ 78%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 67%56%▲ 89%
Clean sheets▼ 22%24%▼ 22%
Goal before half-time▲ 89%83%▲ 100%
Goal after half-time▼ 67%76%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.76
Average goals per match
56%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.43
Home goals / match
1.33
Away goals / match
+8%
Home attack advantage
+7%
Home defence advantage
+2%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Motherwell 0 - 3 - 1 Hearts. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 75% matches.

FAQ

When do Motherwell and Hearts play?

Motherwell face Hearts on 25 October 2026 in Premiership at Fir Park. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Motherwell and Hearts?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Motherwell won 0, Hearts won 1 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Motherwell vs Hearts?

Motherwell score 1.22 goals per game on average and Hearts 2.22. The Premiership average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Motherwell's matches and 78% of Hearts's.

What form are Motherwell and Hearts in?

Over the last 5 games Motherwell have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Hearts 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Motherwell vs Hearts?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Motherwell vs Hearts: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.