Mtibwa Sugar vs KMC: match statistics
Mtibwa Sugar vs KMC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mtibwa Sugar play KMC in Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). The match date is 14 May 2026 at 13:00. Final score: 4:3.
Current form
Mtibwa Sugar: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. KMC: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mtibwa Sugar scores 0.83 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. KMC scores 0.57 and concedes 1.75. League average: 2.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mtibwa Sugar 50%, KMC 32%. Over 2.5: Mtibwa Sugar 53%, KMC 39%. League level: BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
KMC has higher xG: 1.21 vs 1.00. Mtibwa Sugar: 3.5 shots per match, KMC: 6.6.
Match halves
Mtibwa Sugar: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.43. KMC: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.29.
Goals by minute
Mtibwa Sugar: 76-90+ (8 goals). KMC: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligi kuu Bara: 2.17 goals per match, BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I predict a home win. Mtibwa averages 1.08 goals per home match, while KMC manage only 0.45 goals on the road and fail to score in 64% of away fixtures. The hosts have double the shot conversion rate (13% vs 6% for KMC) and comparable xG (1.09 for Mtibwa vs 1.14 for KMC), which suggests Mtibwa is more efficient at turning chances into goals. Both teams are in poor form (0.2 points per match over the last 5 games); in that period Mtibwa conceded 11 goals (2.2 per match) and KMC conceded 7 (1.4), indicating defensive issues for both sides. Considering the better conversion and the lower share of matches without scoring for the hosts (25% vs 64%), the edge is with Mtibwa and they appear the natural choice to win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mtibwa Sugar | KMC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.29 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.69 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mtibwa Sugar is 46% better for: goals scored per match.
0.83 goals / match - Mtibwa Sugar · 0.57 goals / match - KMC
Mtibwa Sugar is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.6 goals / match - Mtibwa Sugar · 1.75 goals / match - KMC
Mtibwa Sugar scores in 57% of matches (17 of 30 matches), while KMC keeps a clean sheet in 11% (3 of 28 matches).
KMC scores in 39% of matches (11 of 28 matches), while Mtibwa Sugar keeps a clean sheet in 20% (6 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Mtibwa Sugar
Over / Under — KMC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
KMC is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.67 pts / match - Mtibwa Sugar · 0.75 pts / match - KMC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mtibwa Sugar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
KMC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 7%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mtibwa Sugar
KMC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).
Teams vs league
| Mtibwa Sugar | Liga | KMC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.43 | 2.17 | ▲ 2.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 35% | ▼ 32% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 39% | • 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 39% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 60% | ▲ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 70% | 63% | ▼ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mtibwa Sugar 0 - 1 - 0 KMC. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mtibwa Sugar vs KMC?
The Ligi kuu Bara match finished Mtibwa Sugar 4:3 KMC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mtibwa Sugar vs KMC?
Mtibwa Sugar score 0.83 goals per game on average and KMC 0.57. The Ligi kuu Bara average is 2.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Mtibwa Sugar's matches and 32% of KMC's.
What form are Mtibwa Sugar and KMC in?
Over the last 5 games Mtibwa Sugar have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and KMC 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mtibwa Sugar vs KMC?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.