MTK vs Nyíregyháza Spartacus: match statistics
MTK vs Nyíregyháza Spartacus: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
MTK played Nyíregyháza Spartacus in NB I (Hungary). The match was played on 2 May 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
MTK: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Nyíregyháza Spartacus: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
MTK scores 1.68 and concedes 1.90 goals per match. Nyíregyháza Spartacus scores 1.42 and concedes 1.74. League average: 2.96 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: MTK 65%, Nyíregyháza Spartacus 68%. Over 2.5: MTK 71%, Nyíregyháza Spartacus 58%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 58%.
xG, shots and style
MTK has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.54. MTK: 13.4 shots per match, Nyíregyháza Spartacus: 13.3.
Match halves
MTK: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 1.06. Nyíregyháza Spartacus: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.84.
Goals by minute
MTK: 76-90+ (13 goals). Nyíregyháza Spartacus: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NB I: 2.96 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 58%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
MTK has a clear attacking advantage at home: on average 2.25 goals scored per home match versus Nyíregyháza’s 1.4 on the road, and across the season the hosts have 52 goals compared to the visitors’ 44. In the last 5 matches Nyíregyháza scored 9 goals and won 3 times, but conceded 10; MTK scored 7 in their last 5, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, conceding only 5, indicating greater defensive stability from the hosts. Creation metrics favor MTK: average xG at home is 1.70 versus 1.36 for the visitors away, the hosts register 5.44 shots on target per match vs 4.2 for the visitors and have 52% possession vs 43%. Defensively the advantage also lies with the hosts — Nyíregyháza concedes 1.8 goals on average away and has only 20% clean sheets, while MTK concedes 1.75 at home with 31% clean sheets, and the visitors fail to score in 27% of away matches vs 6% for the hosts. Considering the superior finishing 2.25 vs 1.4, higher xG and better game control, and a favorable home goal difference (+8 vs the visitors’ -6), I favor an MTK victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The 'Both Teams To Score' scenario is more likely: MTK has a seasonal BTTS rate of 75%, Nyíregyháza 60%, versus a league BTTS rate of 60%. Both teams regularly score and concede — MTK averages 1.44 goals for and 1.69 against per match, Nyíregyháza 1.40 for and 1.80 against. Offensive support is confirmed by xG and shots: MTK has xG_for 1.71 with 15.38 shots and 5.44 on target; Nyíregyháza has xG_for 1.36 with 11.0 shots and 4.2 on target. Additionally, low clean sheet percentages (MTK 6%, Nyíregyháza 20%) and a league goals average of 2.96 increase the likelihood of Goal/Goal, although in the last 5 matches MTK has BTTS in only 40% of games and Nyíregyháza 60%. Summing these figures I assess 72% for BTTS - Yes and 28% for No Goal and recommend 'Yes' as the strongest signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model combines attack and defense: MTK attack xG = 1.71 and opponents’ defensive xG = 1.65, hence expected home xG ≈ (1.71+1.65)/2 = 1.68; for Nyíregyházy analogously (1.36+1.26)/2 = 1.31, totaling 2.99 expected goals. With lambda = 2.99 the Poisson distribution gives ≈80% chance of Over 1.5 goals, ≈57% for Over 2.5 and ≈35% for Over 3.5. Seasonal metrics confirm the direction: MTK has 88% of matches Over 1.5 and 56% Over 2.5, Nyíregyháza respectively 73% and 60%, while BTTS occurs for the home team in 75% and for the away team in 60% of matches. In the last 5 fixtures MTK averaged 1.4 goals, Nyíregyháza 1.8 (combined 3.2), with average on-target shots 5.44 vs 4.2, which further supports a goals scenario; therefore the strongest signal is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
In my assessment the most likely scenario is Nyíregyháza leading at half-time and ultimately winning the match (2/2). MTK drop behind by the break in 50% of their home games, while Nyíregyháza lead at the break in 27% of away matches and in their last five fixtures have 40% of games with a lead at half-time, which strongly supports the away team taking the lead at the break. At full-time Nyíregyháza win 33% of matches versus 31% for MTK, so the final advantage also lies with the visitors. Admittedly MTK have a second-half strength — they score on average 1.0 goals after the break and concede 0.75, and in 94% of their home matches at least one goal is scored in the second half — so a turnaround is possible, but the HT/FT balance and the visitors’ edge in full-time results make 2/2 the most strongly supported scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| MTK | Nyíregyháza Spartacus | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nyíregyháza Spartacus is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - MTK · 1.8 pts / match - Nyíregyháza Spartacus
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
MTK is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.68 goals / match - MTK · 1.42 goals / match - Nyíregyháza Spartacus
Nyíregyháza Spartacus is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.9 goals / match - MTK · 1.74 goals / match - Nyíregyháza Spartacus
MTK scores in 81% of matches (25 of 31 matches), while Nyíregyháza Spartacus keeps a clean sheet in 13% (4 of 31 matches).
Nyíregyháza Spartacus scores in 77% of matches (24 of 31 matches), while MTK keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - MTK
Over / Under - Nyíregyháza Spartacus
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
MTK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Nyíregyháza Spartacus - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
MTK
Nyíregyháza Spartacus
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB I).
Teams vs league
| MTK | Liga | Nyíregyháza Spartacus | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.58 | 2.96 | ▲ 3.16 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 60% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 58% | • 58% |
| Clean sheets | • 23% | 22% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 70% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 94% | 87% | • 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): MTK 1 - 0 - 1 Nyíregyháza Spartacus. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of MTK vs Nyíregyháza Spartacus?
The NB I match finished MTK 1:1 Nyíregyháza Spartacus. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between MTK and Nyíregyháza Spartacus?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches MTK won 1, Nyíregyháza Spartacus won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 6.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before MTK vs Nyíregyháza Spartacus?
MTK score 1.68 goals per game on average and Nyíregyháza Spartacus 1.42. The NB I average is 2.96 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 65% of MTK's matches and 68% of Nyíregyháza Spartacus's.
What form are MTK and Nyíregyháza Spartacus in?
Over the last 5 games MTK have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Nyíregyháza Spartacus 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for MTK vs Nyíregyháza Spartacus?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.