Hungary - NB IHidegkuti Nándor StadionData current as of 02 September 2026

MTK vs Várda SE: match statistics

Reasoning:

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MTK vs Várda SE: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

MTK play Várda SE in NB I (Hungary). The match date is 5 September 2026. Venue: Hidegkuti Nándor Stadion.

Current form

MTK: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Várda SE: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

MTK scores 2.17 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. Várda SE scores 1.17 and concedes 1.33. League average: 3.15 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: MTK 83%, Várda SE 67%. Over 2.5: MTK 83%, Várda SE 33%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 59%.

xG, shots and style

MTK has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.23. MTK: 11.2 shots per match, Várda SE: 10.8.

Match halves

MTK: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.17. Várda SE: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.67.

Goals by minute

MTK: 0-15 (3 goals). Várda SE: 76-90+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NB I: 3.15 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 59%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 67%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.85)
(3.65)
(3.50)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2.17Goals scored / match1.17
MTKVárda SE
1.67Goals conceded / match1.33
MTKVárda SE
50%Average possession43%
MTKVárda SE
6.83Shots on target / match3.17
MTKVárda SE

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.17Shots per match10.83
MTKVárda SE
6.83Shots on target3.17
MTKVárda SE
19.4%Shot conversion10.8%
MTKVárda SE
50%Possession43%
MTKVárda SE
1.54xG for1.23
MTKVárda SE
1.5xG against1.54
MTKVárda SE

Shooting quality

MTK: Efficient finishingVárda SE: Balanced
MTKVárda SE
Accuracy (shots on target)61%29%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

MTK is 20% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - MTK · 1 pts / match - Várda SE

MTK
DLDWD
Season result split
33% W50% R17% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-1
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Last 5 at home
2-0-1
WLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.57Opponent xG: 1.57BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%
Várda SE
WLLDD
Season result split
17% W50% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-3-2
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Last 5 away
1-0-1
WL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.21Opponent xG: 1.54BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

MTK is 85% better for: goals scored per match.

2.17 goals / match - MTK · 1.17 goals / match - Várda SE

Várda SE is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.67 goals / match - MTK · 1.33 goals / match - Várda SE

MTK scoring profile: very strong

MTK scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Várda SE keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).

Várda SE scoring profile: very strong

Várda SE scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while MTK keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).

13Goals scored (season)7
MTKVárda SE
10Goals conceded (season)8
MTKVárda SE
3.83Average goals in match2.5
MTKVárda SE
10Goals scored (last 5)6
MTKVárda SE
10Goals conceded (last 5)7
MTKVárda SE

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal83%
MTKVárda SE
83%2 goals33%
MTKVárda SE
33%3 goals0%
MTKVárda SE
0%4 goals0%
MTKVárda SE

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal67%
MTKVárda SE
50%2 goals33%
MTKVárda SE
33%3 goals17%
MTKVárda SE
0%4 goals17%
MTKVárda SE

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

67%BTTS at half-time33%
MTKVárda SE
17%BTTS in both halves17%
MTKVárda SE
50%Scored in both halves33%
MTKVárda SE

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
MTKVárda SE
17%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
MTKVárda SE
100%BTTS - last 560%
MTKVárda SE

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
MTKVárda SE
83%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
MTKVárda SE
33%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
MTKVárda SE

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
MTKVárda SE
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
MTKVárda SE
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
MTKVárda SE

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

MTK is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.33 pts / match - MTK · 1 pts / match - Várda SE

MTK - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing
Várda SE - half-time state
17% leading50% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.33Points per match (1st half)1
MTKVárda SE
1Goals scored (1st half)0.5
MTKVárda SE
1.17Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
MTKVárda SE
2.17Average goals (1st half)1.17
MTKVárda SE
17%Clean sheet before half-time50%
MTKVárda SE
17%No goal before half-time50%
MTKVárda SE

After half-time (2nd half)

2.17Points per match (2nd half)1.17
MTKVárda SE
1.17Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
MTKVárda SE
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
MTKVárda SE
1.67Average goals (2nd half)1.33
MTKVárda SE
50%Clean sheet after half-time50%
MTKVárda SE
33%No goal after half-time33%
MTKVárda SE

MTK - second-half results

67% W17% R17% P
8
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.7

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Várda SE - second-half results

17% W67% R17% P
6
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

MTK - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.002.00
Goals scored / match1.01.0
Goals conceded / match1.40.6
Average goals in match2.41.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals100%40%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet0%40%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference-2+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 80% - Half-time goals total: 5
Várda SE - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.20
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match1.41.2
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

MTK
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
1
3
16-30
2
3
31-45
2
1
46-60
3
0
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Várda SE
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
1
1
16-30
1
2
31-45
1
0
46-60
1
0
61-75
2
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.17
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
75%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+26%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
83%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

MTK

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.46
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.63
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
115%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
133%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 23% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Várda SE

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.15
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
93%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
71%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB I).

Teams vs league

MTKLigaVárda SE
Average goals in match 3.833.15 2.50
Both teams scored 83%62% 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 83%59% 33%
Clean sheets 17%22% 33%
Goal before half-time 100%71% 67%
Goal after half-time 83%76% 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.15
Average goals per match
62%
Both teams scored
59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.88
Home goals / match
1.26
Away goals / match
+49%
Home attack advantage
+33%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
59%
2 goals
29%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): MTK 3 - 0 - 0 Várda SE. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.

FAQ

When do MTK and Várda SE play?

MTK face Várda SE on 5 September 2026 in NB I at Hidegkuti Nándor Stadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between MTK and Várda SE?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches MTK won 3, Várda SE won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before MTK vs Várda SE?

MTK score 2.17 goals per game on average and Várda SE 1.17. The NB I average is 3.15 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 83% of MTK's matches and 67% of Várda SE's.

What form are MTK and Várda SE in?

Over the last 5 games MTK have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Várda SE 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for MTK vs Várda SE?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for MTK vs Várda SE: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.