MTK vs Várda SE: match statistics
MTK vs Várda SE: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
MTK played Várda SE in NB I (Hungary). The match was played on 5 September 2026. Venue: Hidegkuti Nándor Stadion. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
MTK: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Várda SE: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
MTK scores 2.17 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. Várda SE scores 1.17 and concedes 1.33. League average: 3.19 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: MTK 83%, Várda SE 67%. Over 2.5: MTK 83%, Várda SE 33%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
MTK has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.23. MTK: 11.2 shots per match, Várda SE: 10.8.
Match halves
MTK: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.17. Várda SE: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
MTK: 0-15 (3 goals). Várda SE: 76-90+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NB I: 3.19 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
MTK sit 4th, while Várda SE are 10th, and the hosts have scored 13 goals this season compared with the visitors’ 7. At home, MTK average 2.33 goals and 6.67 shots on target per match—significantly more than Várda SE manage away from home, with averages of 1.50 goals and 4 shots on target. The hosts also create higher-quality chances: their average xG stands at 1.51, while the visitors’ defence allows opponents an xG as high as 2.08. Neither team’s form is particularly convincing, with MTK taking 6 points from their last five matches and Várda SE 5. However, given their home advantage and greater attacking strength, MTK remain the favourites. The main concern for the hosts is their defence, which has conceded 10 goals in the last five matches, so any victory should be relatively narrow.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
MTK have recorded BTTS in 75% of their matches this season, while both teams scored in all 5 of their last five games. Várda SE have a 50% BTTS rate this season and 60% across their last five appearances, but they have not finished any league match without scoring. In their last 5 games, the hosts have averaged 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, while the visitors have scored 1.2 goals and allowed 1.4. Várda’s attack, supported by an average of 4.0 shots on target and a 14% conversion rate, should be able to exploit an MTK defence conceding 1.5 goals per game this season. At the same time, MTK have recently created chances worth 1.54 xG, while Várda have a high season-long xG conceded figure of 2.08, further supporting the scenario of a home goal and a BTTS - Yes pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
In their last 5 matches, MTK have scored and conceded 2.0 goals on average, with at least 3 goals scored in 80% of those games. Várda SE average 1.5 goals per match, have yet to record a goalless game, while MTK concede in 75% of their matches. The hosts should have favorable conditions to score, as their average xG stands at 1.23, whereas Várda SE allow opponents as much as 2.08 xG per match. The Over 1.5 goals line is further supported by season-long results: at least 2 goals were scored in 75% of MTK matches and in 100% of Várda SE games. Although MTK’s full-season data more often points to a maximum of 2 goals, the current form of both defenses and the projected total of 2.80 goals give a clear edge to the Over 1.5 goals bet.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time followed by a Várda win at full-time is the most likely outcome, as MTK were level at the break in 3 of their 4 matches this season, while in their last five games both teams were level after 45 minutes in 40% of cases. Várda are more effective over the full match, averaging 1.5 goals compared with MTK’s 1.0, registering 4.0 shots on target per game versus the hosts’ 2.75, and converting 14% of their attempts compared with MTK’s 9%. The visitors have averaged 1.0 second-half goal and have not lost any second half, whereas MTK have won this part of the match in 0% of their games this season. Várda’s advantage is also reflected in the points, as they average 1.5 points per match compared with MTK’s 0.75, although a high xG against the visitors of 2.08 reduces confidence in backing them to lead already at half-time. MTK’s recent form gives the hosts a chance of a closely contested start, but their average of 2.0 goals conceded per game across their last five appearances increases the likelihood of a Várda turnaround after the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| MTK | Várda SE | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 61% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
MTK is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - MTK · 1 pts / match - Várda SE
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
MTK is 85% better for: goals scored per match.
2.17 goals / match - MTK · 1.17 goals / match - Várda SE
Várda SE is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.67 goals / match - MTK · 1.33 goals / match - Várda SE
MTK scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Várda SE keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
Várda SE scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while MTK keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - MTK
Over / Under - Várda SE
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
MTK is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - MTK · 1 pts / match - Várda SE
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
MTK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Várda SE - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
MTK
Várda SE
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB I).
Teams vs league
| MTK | Liga | Várda SE | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.83 | 3.19 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 83% | 61% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 83% | 61% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 22% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 72% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 78% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): MTK 3 - 0 - 0 Várda SE. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of MTK vs Várda SE?
The NB I match finished MTK 1:2 Várda SE. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between MTK and Várda SE?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches MTK won 3, Várda SE won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before MTK vs Várda SE?
MTK score 2.17 goals per game on average and Várda SE 1.17. The NB I average is 3.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 83% of MTK's matches and 67% of Várda SE's.
What form are MTK and Várda SE in?
Over the last 5 games MTK have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Várda SE 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for MTK vs Várda SE?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for MTK vs Várda SE: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.