Muhanga vs Gicumbi: match statistics
Gicumbi appears to be the favorite in this encounter despite playing away. Muhanga is in disastrous home form with 0% wins and failure to score in 71% of their home matches. The hosts have scored only 6 goals all season while conceding 17, resulting in a home goal difference of -5. Gicumbi, despite average away results (25% wins), possesses significantly better offensive efficiency—averaging 1.13 goals per away match with a 17% shot conversion rate, whereas Muhanga sits at just 6% conversion and 0.29 goals per home game. Additionally, Gicumbi has scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches, indicating improved attacking form. Given the hosts' extreme weakness and the visitors' superior scoring ability, a Gicumbi win is predicted, though a draw remains a possibility due to both teams' defensive frailties.
Muhanga vs Gicumbi: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Muhanga played Gicumbi in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match was played on 9 January 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Muhanga: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Gicumbi: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Muhanga scores 0.40 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Gicumbi scores 1.19 and concedes 1.50. League average: 1.97 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Muhanga 20%, Gicumbi 63%. Over 2.5: Muhanga 20%, Gicumbi 50%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 32%.
xG, shots and style
Gicumbi has higher xG: 1.09 vs 1.06. Muhanga: 5.4 shots per match, Gicumbi: 6.3.
Match halves
Muhanga: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.13. Gicumbi: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.56.
Goals by minute
Muhanga: 16-30 (2 goals). Gicumbi: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National Soccer League: 1.97 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 32%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Gicumbi appears to be the favorite in this encounter despite playing away. Muhanga is in disastrous home form with 0% wins and failure to score in 71% of their home matches. The hosts have scored only 6 goals all season while conceding 17, resulting in a home goal difference of -5. Gicumbi, despite average away results (25% wins), possesses significantly better offensive efficiency—averaging 1.13 goals per away match with a 17% shot conversion rate, whereas Muhanga sits at just 6% conversion and 0.29 goals per home game. Additionally, Gicumbi has scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches, indicating improved attacking form. Given the hosts' extreme weakness and the visitors' superior scoring ability, a Gicumbi win is predicted, though a draw remains a possibility due to both teams' defensive frailties.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Muhanga | Gicumbi | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.53 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Gicumbi is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Muhanga · 1.2 pts / match - Gicumbi
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gicumbi is 197% better for: goals scored per match.
0.4 goals / match - Muhanga · 1.19 goals / match - Gicumbi
Muhanga is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - Muhanga · 1.5 goals / match - Gicumbi
Muhanga scores in 33% of matches (5 of 15 matches), while Gicumbi keeps a clean sheet in 19% (3 of 16 matches).
Gicumbi scores in 75% of matches (12 of 16 matches), while Muhanga keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Muhanga
Over / Under - Gicumbi
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Gicumbi is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Muhanga · 1.06 pts / match - Gicumbi
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Muhanga - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Gicumbi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Muhanga
Gicumbi
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Muhanga | Liga | Gicumbi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.53 | 1.97 | ▲ 2.69 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 20% | 40% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 20% | 32% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 37% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 62% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 67% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Muhanga vs Gicumbi?
The National Soccer League match finished Muhanga 2:3 Gicumbi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Muhanga vs Gicumbi?
Muhanga score 0.40 goals per game on average and Gicumbi 1.19. The National Soccer League average is 1.97 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 32% of games. Both teams score in 20% of Muhanga's matches and 63% of Gicumbi's.
What form are Muhanga and Gicumbi in?
Over the last 5 games Muhanga have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Gicumbi 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Muhanga vs Gicumbi?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Muhanga vs Gicumbi: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.