Municipal Limeño vs Águila: match statistics
Municipal Limeño vs Águila: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Municipal Limeño played Águila in Salvadoran Primera División (El Salvador). The match was played on 5 April 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Municipal Limeño: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Águila: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Municipal Limeño scores 1.30 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. Águila scores 1.38 and concedes 1.19. League average: 2.71 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Municipal Limeño 55%, Águila 52%. Over 2.5: Municipal Limeño 45%, Águila 50%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Águila has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.42. Municipal Limeño: 9.6 shots per match, Águila: 9.4.
Match halves
Municipal Limeño: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.85. Águila: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.64.
Goals by minute
Municipal Limeño: 76-90+ (15 goals). Águila: 16-30 (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Salvadoran Primera División: 2.71 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-3. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win — Municipal Limeño average 1.65 goals per home match versus Águila’s 1.10 away, with home xG at 1.60 vs 1.36 for the visitors. Municipal create more chances: 11.05 shots and 4.25 on target per home match compared to Águila’s 9.35 shots and 4.0 on target away, with finishing rates of 15% vs 12% for the visitors — indicating Municipal are more efficient in the final third. Defensively both teams concede 1.05 goals per match on average, but Águila allow lower opponent xG (1.06 conceded away vs 1.44 conceded at Municipal), suggesting the visitors limit high-quality chances better despite similar goals-against. Additional home strengths for Municipal include a low percentage of matches without scoring at home (15% vs Águila’s 35% away) and a solid home record (55% wins, goal difference +12), while Águila have more total wins this season (20 vs 15) and slightly better recent form in the last 5 matches (1.6 vs 1.4 points per game). Taking this into account I give Municipal a 55% chance to win, 25% for a draw and 20% for an Águila win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis indicates a moderate lean toward BTTS: Municipal Limeño posts a season BTTS rate of 68% vs 35% for Águila, with hosts averaging 1.64 goals scored and 1.32 conceded per match. Combined xG — 1.50 for Municipal and 1.36 for Águila (=2.86) — exceeds the league average goals of 2.7, and in the last 5 matches Águila’s average attacking xG is 1.70 vs Municipal’s xG against 1.63, suggesting the visitors create scoring opportunities. Additionally Municipal averages 4.33 shots on target (vs 4.0 Águila) and has a higher shot conversion rate at 17% (vs 12%), increasing the hosts’ probability of scoring, although Águila keeps more clean sheets (40% vs 23%), which reduces certainty. Considering season BTTS 68% vs 35%, league BTTS 54% and the higher xG, I assign approximately 60% chance to BTTS - Yes and 40% to BTTS - No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate 1.28 goals for Municipal Limeño and 1.25 for Águila (total 2.53), based on average attacking xG and opponent defensive xG: 1.50 (home xG) vs 1.06 (xG conceded by visitors) and 1.36 vs 1.14 for the away side. With a cumulative mean of 2.53, a Poisson distribution yields ~72% probability for Over 1.5 goals, ~46% for Over 2.5 and ~25% for Over 3.5. Seasonal rates confirm a goal-prone tendency — the home team has 86% of matches Over 1.5 and 64% Over 2.5, the visitors 60% and 35% — which strengthens the Over signal, particularly for 1.5. Additionally, the home side averages 4.33 shots on target with a 17% conversion rate, while the visitors average 4.0 SOT and a 12% conversion, supporting a higher number of scoring opportunities. Based on xG and seasonal figures, the best and strongest market to back is Over 1.5 (side: Over) with a projected probability of approximately 72%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal points to the home team leading at the break: Municipal Limeño led at half-time in 52% of matches (11 occurrences) and scores on average 1.1 goals in the first half versus Águila’s 0.35, with total home first-half goals of 38 compared to 15 for away teams. Over the full match the statistics also favor Limeño — average goals scored 1.64 per game versus 1.10 for Águila, home xG 1.50 versus 1.36 for the visitors, and shot conversion 17% vs 12%, indicating greater attacking efficiency for the hosts. On the other hand Águila performs better in the second half: the visitors score on average 1.40 goals after the break versus 1.19 for the hosts and win second halves in 45% of matches compared to 38% for the home side, so there is a real risk of an equalizer or a turnaround after half-time. Considering the hosts collected 37 points at half-time versus 25 for the visitors and average 1.76 points per match at the break against 1.25, the most likely scenario is 1/1, with 1/X and X/1 as secondary options.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Municipal Limeño | Águila | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Águila is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Municipal Limeño · 1.6 pts / match - Águila
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Águila is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
1.3 goals / match - Municipal Limeño · 1.38 goals / match - Águila
Municipal Limeño scores in 78% of matches (31 of 40 matches), while Águila keeps a clean sheet in 31% (13 of 42 matches).
Águila scores in 79% of matches (33 of 42 matches), while Municipal Limeño keeps a clean sheet in 28% (11 of 40 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Municipal Limeño
Over / Under - Águila
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Águila is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Municipal Limeño · 1.5 pts / match - Águila
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Municipal Limeño - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Águila - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (13 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Municipal Limeño
Águila
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Salvadoran Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Municipal Limeño | Liga | Águila | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.50 | 2.71 | ▼ 2.57 |
| Both teams scored | • 55% | 54% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | • 28% | 27% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | • 68% | 67% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 78% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Municipal LimeñoGoalJuan Carlos Argueta
- Municipal LimeñoGoalJavier de Jesús Ferman Reyes
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Municipal Limeño 0 - 0 - 3 Águila. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Municipal Limeño vs Águila?
The Salvadoran Primera División match finished Municipal Limeño 2:0 Águila. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Municipal Limeño and Águila?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Municipal Limeño won 0, Águila won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Municipal Limeño vs Águila?
Municipal Limeño score 1.30 goals per game on average and Águila 1.38. The Salvadoran Primera División average is 2.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Municipal Limeño's matches and 52% of Águila's.
What form are Municipal Limeño and Águila in?
Over the last 5 games Municipal Limeño have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Águila 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Municipal Limeño vs Águila?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.