Mura vs Celje: match statistics
Mura vs Celje: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mura played Celje in PrvaLiga (Slovenia). The match was played on 19 April 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Mura: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Celje: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mura scores 1.00 and concedes 1.66 goals per match. Celje scores 2.45 and concedes 0.93. League average: 3.10 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mura 45%, Celje 55%. Over 2.5: Mura 55%, Celje 69%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Celje has higher xG: 1.80 vs 1.45. Mura: 11.2 shots per match, Celje: 14.3.
Match halves
Mura: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.55. Celje: half-time lead 62%, second-half goals 1.41.
Goals by minute
Mura: 76-90+ (8 goals). Celje: 76-90+ (18 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
PrvaLiga: 3.10 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Celje are the favorites: they sit 1st and have won 5 of their last 5 matches, scoring 13 goals in those five games, while Mura (8th) has only 1 win and 4 goals in their last 5. On a season level the visitors average 2.4 goals in away matches with a shot efficiency of 20%, while Mura at home record 1.29 goals and 10% efficiency — with a similar xG (Celje 1.56 vs Mura 1.52) the higher conversion rate gives Celje the edge. Celje also control games more (62% possession away vs Mura’s 48% at home) and register more on-target shots (4.73 vs 3.79), which translates into more clear-cut chances. Mura have conceded 48 goals this season versus Celje’s 27, and fail to score in 36% of home matches, whereas Celje fail to score in only 7% of their away games, which further favors the visitors. Considering PPG 0.8 for Mura vs 3.0 for Celje in the last five matches, plus the advantage in conversion and possession, I project an away win (approx. 65%), draw 20% and home win 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Celje have scored 13 goals in their last 5 matches (2.6 per match) and average 2.4 goals away this season, while Mura as a home side averages 2.5 goals per match seasonally but have scored only 4 goals in their last 5 (0.8 avg). Mura concede 0.5 goals at home on the season and have 50% clean sheets, yet conceded 1.4 goals in their last 5, whereas Celje concede 1.33 goals away seasonally and have 33% clean sheets. Seasonal BTTS percentages are 50% for Mura and 60% for Celje, with the league BTTS rate at 62%, indicating an elevated probability of Goal/Goal. The xG-based model gives about 1.64 xG for Mura (2.07 vs 1.21) and 1.33 xG for Celje (1.56 vs 1.10), so both teams show goal-scoring potential above 1 and the combined statistical signal favors BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Seasonal data show Mura at home has Over 1.5 in 79% of matches, and Celje away in 87%, yielding an average ~83% support for over 1.5 goals; additionally the league averages 3.11 goals per match. Teams' xG are 2.07 for Mura and 1.56 for Celje, while defenses concede 0.5 goals for Mura at home and 1.33 for Celje away, which model-wise translates to ~1.60 expected goals for Mura and ~1.40 for Celje (total ≈3.00). Seasonal shares for Over 2.5 are 57% for Mura and 80% for Celje, and given Celje's form (last 5 matches: 13 goals, avg 2.6), Over 2.5 also has strong backing (~72%). BTTS occurs in 50% of Mura matches and 60% of Celje matches, increasing the likelihood of goals from both sides; therefore the most reliable signal from the data is to play Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Seasonal indicators favor Mura: at home they average 1.14 goals by half-time and concede only 0.29, led at the break in 11 matches (79%), have higher xG 2.07 versus Celje’s 1.56 and more shots (16.64 vs 12.2) and shots on target (6.64 vs 4.73). Celje seasonally records 0.93 goals by half-time and 0.73 conceded by half-time, but is more clinical with shots on target (conversion 20% versus Mura’s 15%). A key counterargument is form: Celje have won 5 of their last 5 matches (100% wins) and led at the break in 100% of those five, whereas Mura have only 1 win in their last 5 (20%) and led at the break in 20%. Considering Mura’s seasonal advantage in xG and first-half control (Mura concede 0.29 by half-time vs Celje’s 0.73), while also respecting Celje’s momentum, the most likely scenario is Mura leading at the break and ultimately winning Full-Time (HT/FT 1/1), hence the highest assigned probability of 40%, with alternatives such as X/X 10% and 2/2 12% arising from the visitors’ form.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mura | Celje | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Celje is 275% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Mura · 3 pts / match - Celje
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Celje is 145% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Mura · 2.45 goals / match - Celje
Celje is 78% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.66 goals / match - Mura · 0.93 goals / match - Celje
Mura scores in 55% of matches (16 of 29 matches), while Celje keeps a clean sheet in 41% (12 of 29 matches).
Celje scores in 90% of matches (26 of 29 matches), while Mura keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mura
Over / Under - Celje
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Celje is 122% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.9 pts / match - Mura · 2 pts / match - Celje
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mura - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Celje - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 62% of matches and wins 69%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +14 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mura
Celje
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (PrvaLiga).
Teams vs league
| Mura | Liga | Celje | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.66 | 3.10 | ▲ 3.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 61% | ▼ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 55% | 64% | ▲ 69% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 22% | ▲ 41% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 83% | 86% | ▲ 93% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 81% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Mura 1 - 0 - 2 Celje. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mura vs Celje?
The PrvaLiga match finished Mura 0:2 Celje. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Mura and Celje?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Mura won 1, Celje won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Mura vs Celje?
Mura score 1.00 goals per game on average and Celje 2.45. The PrvaLiga average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Mura's matches and 55% of Celje's.
What form are Mura and Celje in?
Over the last 5 games Mura have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Celje 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mura vs Celje?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mura vs Celje: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.