Slovenia - PrvaLigaMesti Stadion FazanerijaData current as of 17 October 2026

Mura vs Nafta: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Mura vs Nafta: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Mura play Nafta in PrvaLiga (Slovenia). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Mesti Stadion Fazanerija.

Current form

Mura: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Nafta: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Mura scores 1.18 and concedes 2.18 goals per match. Nafta scores 1.64 and concedes 1.45. League average: 2.67 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Mura 64%, Nafta 55%. Over 2.5: Mura 55%, Nafta 55%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 49%.

xG, shots and style

Mura has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.45. Mura: 12.0 shots per match, Nafta: 11.6.

Match halves

Mura: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.73. Nafta: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 1.09.

Goals by minute

Mura: 61-75 (4 goals). Nafta: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

PrvaLiga: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 49%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 7.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.07)
(3.24)
(3.18)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.18Goals scored / match1.64
MuraNafta
2.18Goals conceded / match1.45
MuraNafta
44%Average possession41%
MuraNafta
4.27Shots on target / match5.27
MuraNafta

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12Shots per match11.55
MuraNafta
4.27Shots on target5.27
MuraNafta
9.8%Shot conversion14.2%
MuraNafta
44%Possession41%
MuraNafta
1.47xG for1.45
MuraNafta
1.46xG against1.96
MuraNafta

Shooting quality

Mura: BalancedNafta: Counter-attacking
MuraNafta
Accuracy (shots on target)36%46%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Nafta is 200% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Mura · 1.8 pts / match - Nafta

Mura
LDLDD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
18% W36% D45% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-4-5
0.91 pts / match · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-3
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
WLLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.37Opponent xG: 1.57BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Nafta
LWWLW
Season result split
45% W9% D45% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-1-5
1.45 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-2
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WDLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.72BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Nafta is 39% better for: goals scored per match.

1.18 goals / match - Mura · 1.64 goals / match - Nafta

Nafta is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.18 goals / match - Mura · 1.45 goals / match - Nafta

Mura scoring profile: very strong

Mura scores in 73% of matches (8 of 11 matches), while Nafta keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 matches).

Nafta scoring profile: very strong

Nafta scores in 73% of matches (8 of 11 matches), while Mura keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 matches).

13Goals scored (season)18
MuraNafta
24Goals conceded (season)16
MuraNafta
3.36Average goals in match3.09
MuraNafta
5Goals scored (last 5)8
MuraNafta
12Goals conceded (last 5)7
MuraNafta

How often they score at least...

73%1 goal73%
MuraNafta
36%2 goals45%
MuraNafta
9%3 goals27%
MuraNafta
0%4 goals9%
MuraNafta

How often they concede at least...

82%1 goal82%
MuraNafta
55%2 goals45%
MuraNafta
36%3 goals18%
MuraNafta
18%4 goals0%
MuraNafta

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time27%
MuraNafta
9%BTTS in both halves18%
MuraNafta
27%Scored in both halves27%
MuraNafta

BTTS and goal count

55%Min. 3 goals and BTTS45%
MuraNafta
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
MuraNafta
60%BTTS - last 560%
MuraNafta

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

82%Min. 1 goal before half-time73%
MuraNafta
27%Min. 2 goals before half-time27%
MuraNafta
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time27%
MuraNafta

2nd half

73%Min. 1 goal after half-time91%
MuraNafta
55%Min. 2 goals after half-time45%
MuraNafta
45%Min. 3 goals after half-time27%
MuraNafta

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Mura - half-time state
27% leading27% draw45% trailing
Nafta - half-time state
27% leading27% draw45% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.09Points per match (1st half)1.09
MuraNafta
0.45Goals scored (1st half)0.55
MuraNafta
0.82Goals conceded (1st half)0.73
MuraNafta
1.27Average goals (1st half)1.27
MuraNafta
45%Clean sheet before half-time45%
MuraNafta
55%No goal before half-time55%
MuraNafta

After half-time (2nd half)

0.64Points per match (2nd half)1.55
MuraNafta
0.73Goals scored (2nd half)1.09
MuraNafta
1.36Goals conceded (2nd half)0.73
MuraNafta
2.09Average goals (2nd half)1.82
MuraNafta
27%Clean sheet after half-time27%
MuraNafta
45%No goal after half-time45%
MuraNafta

Mura - second-half results

9% W36% D55% L
12
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.09
PPG before half-time
Lead holding67%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 18%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Nafta - second-half results

45% W18% D36% L
12
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.09
PPG before half-time
Lead holding167%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Mura - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.401.00
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match1.21.2
Average goals in match1.42.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-5-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Nafta - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.60
Goals scored / match0.41.2
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.02.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Mura
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
2
2
16-30
2
5
31-45
2
6
46-60
4
2
61-75
2
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

Nafta
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
1
3
16-30
4
2
31-45
7
1
46-60
2
3
61-75
3
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.23
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
121%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+117%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
53%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Mura

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.29
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.72
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
90%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
160%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Nafta

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.51
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.70
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.51
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
121%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
111%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.35
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (PrvaLiga).

Teams vs league

MuraLigaNafta
Average goals in match▲ 3.362.67▲ 3.09
Both teams scored▲ 64%53%▲ 55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 55%49%▲ 55%
Clean sheets▼ 18%28%▼ 18%
Goal before half-time▲ 82%73%• 73%
Goal after half-time▼ 73%80%▲ 91%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.67
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.31
Home goals / match
1.36
Away goals / match
+-4%
Home attack advantage
+-4%
Home defence advantage
+-1%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Mura 0 - 0 - 1 Nafta. Average goals 7.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Mura and Nafta play?

Mura face Nafta on 17 October 2026 in PrvaLiga at Mesti Stadion Fazanerija. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Mura vs Nafta?

Mura score 1.18 goals per game on average and Nafta 1.64. The PrvaLiga average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Mura's matches and 55% of Nafta's.

What form are Mura and Nafta in?

Over the last 5 games Mura have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Nafta 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mura vs Nafta?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mura vs Nafta: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.