Murang'a SEAL vs APS Bomet: match statistics
Murang'a SEAL presents solid form in the last five matches with a record of two victories and three draws, giving them 1.8 points per game. The hosts are unbeaten in the last five meetings, which constitutes a significant psychological asset. APS Bomet has a weaker record in away matches with only 33% victories and concede an average of 1.67 goals per match on the road, while their form in the last five matches is uncertain (1 point per game). Murang'a SEAL has a better average possession in home matches (51% vs 41% for the guests away) and a lower average of conceded goals at home (0.86 vs 1.67 for APS away). Taking into account the hosts' advantage in form, defensive statistics, and playing before their own crowd, Murang'a SEAL has better chances for victory, although the even goal difference of both teams suggests the possibility of a draw.
Murang'a SEAL vs APS Bomet: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Murang'a SEAL played APS Bomet in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match was played on 25 January 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Murang'a SEAL: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. APS Bomet: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Murang'a SEAL scores 1.24 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. APS Bomet scores 1.11 and concedes 1.39. League average: 2.01 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Murang'a SEAL 59%, APS Bomet 56%. Over 2.5: Murang'a SEAL 41%, APS Bomet 44%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
Murang'a SEAL has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.13. Murang'a SEAL: 11.1 shots per match, APS Bomet: 6.7.
Match halves
Murang'a SEAL: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.53. APS Bomet: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.22.
Goals by minute
Murang'a SEAL: 0-15 (9 goals). APS Bomet: 0-15 (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kenyan Premier League: 2.01 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Murang'a SEAL presents solid form in the last five matches with a record of two victories and three draws, giving them 1.8 points per game. The hosts are unbeaten in the last five meetings, which constitutes a significant psychological asset. APS Bomet has a weaker record in away matches with only 33% victories and concede an average of 1.67 goals per match on the road, while their form in the last five matches is uncertain (1 point per game). Murang'a SEAL has a better average possession in home matches (51% vs 41% for the guests away) and a lower average of conceded goals at home (0.86 vs 1.67 for APS away). Taking into account the hosts' advantage in form, defensive statistics, and playing before their own crowd, Murang'a SEAL has better chances for victory, although the even goal difference of both teams suggests the possibility of a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Murang'a SEAL | APS Bomet | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.44 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Murang'a SEAL is 550% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Murang'a SEAL · 0.4 pts / match - APS Bomet
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Murang'a SEAL is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
1.24 goals / match - Murang'a SEAL · 1.11 goals / match - APS Bomet
Murang'a SEAL is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.06 goals / match - Murang'a SEAL · 1.39 goals / match - APS Bomet
Murang'a SEAL scores in 76% of matches (13 of 17 matches), while APS Bomet keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
APS Bomet scores in 61% of matches (11 of 18 matches), while Murang'a SEAL keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Murang'a SEAL
Over / Under - APS Bomet
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Murang'a SEAL is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / match - Murang'a SEAL · 0.89 pts / match - APS Bomet
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Murang'a SEAL - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
APS Bomet - second-half results
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (15 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Murang'a SEAL
APS Bomet
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Murang'a SEAL | Liga | APS Bomet | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.29 | 2.01 | ▲ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 43% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 41% | 33% | ▲ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 29% | 36% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 59% | 31% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 65% | 33% | ▲ 39% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Murang'a SEAL 1 - 0 - 0 APS Bomet. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Murang'a SEAL vs APS Bomet?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Murang'a SEAL 2:1 APS Bomet. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Murang'a SEAL vs APS Bomet?
Murang'a SEAL score 1.24 goals per game on average and APS Bomet 1.11. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.01 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Murang'a SEAL's matches and 56% of APS Bomet's.
What form are Murang'a SEAL and APS Bomet in?
Over the last 5 games Murang'a SEAL have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and APS Bomet 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Murang'a SEAL vs APS Bomet?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


