Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United: match statistics
Murang'a SEAL demonstrates a clear advantage in this matchup, especially regarding form and offensive efficiency. The hosts boast a better season win record (10 vs 7) and a significantly higher average of goals scored per home match (1.09 vs 0.58 for Mathare away). A crucial asset for the hosts is their higher home win rate (45%) compared to a mere 25% away win rate for the visitors. Mathare United is characterized by a high draw percentage on the road (42%), which justifies a relatively high probability of shared points. Murang'a SEAL's positive goal difference in home games (+1) and better form over the last five fixtures (1.8 PPG vs 1.6 PPG) advocate for a home win. However, Mathare United has a solid away defense (42% Clean Sheets), which could limit the hosts' efficiency and make it a tight game.
Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Murang'a SEAL played Mathare United in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match was played on 15 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Murang'a SEAL: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Mathare United: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Murang'a SEAL scores 1.33 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Mathare United scores 0.88 and concedes 0.96. League average: 2.07 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Murang'a SEAL 63%, Mathare United 38%. Over 2.5: Murang'a SEAL 46%, Mathare United 25%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
Mathare United has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.50. Murang'a SEAL: 11.7 shots per match, Mathare United: 12.2.
Match halves
Murang'a SEAL: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.38. Mathare United: half-time lead 8%, second-half goals 0.17.
Goals by minute
Murang'a SEAL: 0-15 (20 goals). Mathare United: 0-15 (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kenyan Premier League: 2.07 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Murang'a SEAL demonstrates a clear advantage in this matchup, especially regarding form and offensive efficiency. The hosts boast a better season win record (10 vs 7) and a significantly higher average of goals scored per home match (1.09 vs 0.58 for Mathare away). A crucial asset for the hosts is their higher home win rate (45%) compared to a mere 25% away win rate for the visitors. Mathare United is characterized by a high draw percentage on the road (42%), which justifies a relatively high probability of shared points. Murang'a SEAL's positive goal difference in home games (+1) and better form over the last five fixtures (1.8 PPG vs 1.6 PPG) advocate for a home win. However, Mathare United has a solid away defense (42% Clean Sheets), which could limit the hosts' efficiency and make it a tight game.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Murang'a SEAL | Mathare United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Murang'a SEAL is 51% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - Murang'a SEAL · 0.88 goals / match - Mathare United
Mathare United is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - Murang'a SEAL · 0.96 goals / match - Mathare United
Murang'a SEAL scores in 79% of matches (19 of 24 matches), while Mathare United keeps a clean sheet in 33% (8 of 24 matches).
Mathare United scores in 63% of matches (15 of 24 matches), while Murang'a SEAL keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Murang'a SEAL
Over / Under - Mathare United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Murang'a SEAL - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mathare United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 8% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (20 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (15 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Murang'a SEAL
Mathare United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Murang'a SEAL | Liga | Mathare United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.46 | 2.07 | ▼ 1.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 47% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 46% | 35% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 33% | • 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 46% | 23% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 46% | 24% | ▲ 29% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Murang'a SEAL 1 - 0 - 0 Mathare United. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Murang'a SEAL 1:1 Mathare United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United?
Murang'a SEAL score 1.33 goals per game on average and Mathare United 0.88. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.07 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Murang'a SEAL's matches and 38% of Mathare United's.
What form are Murang'a SEAL and Mathare United in?
Over the last 5 games Murang'a SEAL have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Mathare United 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United?
The statistical background for Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.