MVV vs Almere City: match statistics
MVV vs Almere City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
MVV played Almere City in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 11 September 2026. Venue: De Geusselt. Final score: 0:4.
Current form
MVV: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Almere City: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
MVV scores 1.80 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Almere City scores 2.20 and concedes 0.80. League average: 3.90 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: MVV 80%, Almere City 60%. Over 2.5: MVV 60%, Almere City 60%. League level: BTTS 77%, Over 2.5 73%.
xG, shots and style
Almere City has higher xG: 1.82 vs 1.24. MVV: 9.6 shots per match, Almere City: 16.6.
Match halves
MVV: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.00. Almere City: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.80.
Goals by minute
MVV: 0-15 (2 goals). Almere City: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eerste Divisie: 3.90 goals per match, BTTS 77%, Over 2.5 73%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
MVV remain unbeaten after five matches this season, with a record of 4 wins and 1 draw, but Almere City possess significantly greater attacking potential away from home. The visitors average 2.67 goals per match on the road, along with 16.67 shots and 7 shots on target, while MVV record 1.33 goals, 9.33 shots and 3.67 shots on target at home. Almere City also create more high-quality chances, as reflected by an xG of 1.85 compared with MVV’s 1.18. Both teams concede 0.67 goals per match in their respective home and away fixtures, and neither has kept a clean sheet in these matches, so the hosts should respond with a goal. The visitors’ advantage is further supported by their positive away goal difference of +6, compared with MVV’s +2 at home, making a narrow victory for Almere City the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS - Yes is likely, as 78% of league matches end with both teams scoring, while over the last five games this rate stood at 80% for MVV and 60% for Almere City. The hosts averaged 1.8 goals scored during this period but failed to keep a clean sheet in any home match this season, which boosts the visitors’ attacking prospects. Almere City averages 2.2 goals across their last five appearances and 2.67 away goals this season, while also recording 7 shots on target per match with a 16% conversion rate. MVV should create chances as well, given Almere City’s average xG against opponents of 2.03, while the hosts generate 1.77 xG at home. The main risk to the pick is the visitors’ solid average of 0.67 goals conceded away from home; however, their high defensive xG and MVV’s failure to keep a clean sheet provide stronger support for a both-teams-to-score scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Almere City score an average of 2.67 goals per match and have netted 11 goals in their last five games, averaging 2.2 per appearance. MVV remain consistently vulnerable defensively, having failed to keep a clean sheet in any match this season, while their average xG against stands at a high 1.87. The hosts also possess significant attacking strengths: they average 16.5 shots, generate 1.77 xG, and have scored 1.8 goals per game across their last five matches. At least 2 goals were scored in all of Almere City's matches, and 100% of both teams' games featured at least one goal. Therefore, Over 1.5 goals is the strongest pick, although the Over 2.5 line is also well supported.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by an Almere City win, as both teams have been level at the break in all of their matches so far this season, while the visitors have also done so in 100% of their last five games. First halves are generally cautious: MVV average 0.8 goals in them, Almere City 0.4, while both teams concede 0.4 goals on average. After the break, the visitors’ attacking advantage becomes clear, as they average 1.8 goals in their last five matches compared with MVV’s 1.0, recording a +7 goal difference in this period against the hosts’ +2. Almere City also have superior shooting efficiency, at 16% compared with 9%, and average 7 shots on target per match, while MVV average 5. The hosts are on a strong run of four wins and a draw, so the draw at half-time followed by an MVV win remains a significant alternative; however, Almere’s stronger post-break potential points towards X/2.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| MVV | Almere City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
MVV is 30% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - MVV · 2 pts / match - Almere City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Almere City is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
1.8 goals / match - MVV · 2.2 goals / match - Almere City
Almere City is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - MVV · 0.8 goals / match - Almere City
MVV scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Almere City keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
Almere City scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while MVV keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - MVV
Over / Under - Almere City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
MVV is 80% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.8 pts / match - MVV · 1 pts / match - Almere City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
MVV - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 80%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Almere City - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
MVV
Almere City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).
Teams vs league
| MVV | Liga | Almere City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.80 | 3.90 | ▼ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 80% | 77% | ▼ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 60% | 73% | ▼ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 20% | 13% | ▲ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | • 80% | 81% | ▼ 40% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 88% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): MVV 0 - 1 - 1 Almere City. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of MVV vs Almere City?
The Eerste Divisie match finished MVV 0:4 Almere City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between MVV and Almere City?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches MVV won 0, Almere City won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before MVV vs Almere City?
MVV score 1.80 goals per game on average and Almere City 2.20. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 73% of games. Both teams score in 80% of MVV's matches and 60% of Almere City's.
What form are MVV and Almere City in?
Over the last 5 games MVV have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Almere City 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for MVV vs Almere City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.