Netherlands - Eerste DivisieData current as of 07 September 2026

MVV vs Almere City: match statistics

Reasoning:

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MVV vs Almere City: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

MVV play Almere City in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match date is 11 September 2026.

Current form

MVV: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Almere City: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

MVV scores 1.80 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Almere City scores 2.20 and concedes 0.80. League average: 3.98 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: MVV 80%, Almere City 60%. Over 2.5: MVV 60%, Almere City 60%. League level: BTTS 78%, Over 2.5 74%.

xG, shots and style

Almere City has higher xG: 1.82 vs 1.24. MVV: 9.6 shots per match, Almere City: 16.6.

Match halves

MVV: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.00. Almere City: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.80.

Goals by minute

MVV: 0-15 (2 goals). Almere City: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Eerste Divisie: 3.98 goals per match, BTTS 78%, Over 2.5 74%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.8Goals scored / match2.2
MVVAlmere City
1Goals conceded / match0.8
MVVAlmere City
50%Average possession42%
MVVAlmere City
4.2Shots on target / match6.2
MVVAlmere City

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.6Shots per match16.6
MVVAlmere City
4.2Shots on target6.2
MVVAlmere City
18.8%Shot conversion13.3%
MVVAlmere City
50%Possession42%
MVVAlmere City
1.24xG for1.82
MVVAlmere City
1.29xG against1.96
MVVAlmere City

Shooting quality

MVV: Efficient finishingAlmere City: Counter-attacking
MVVAlmere City
Accuracy (shots on target)44%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.430.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

MVV is 30% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / match - MVV · 2 pts / match - Almere City

MVV
WWWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
80% W20% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 at home
2-1-0
WWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.24Opponent xG: 1.29BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Almere City
DWWWL
Season result split
60% W20% R20% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 away
2-1-0
DWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.82Opponent xG: 1.96BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Almere City is 22% better for: goals scored per match.

1.8 goals / match - MVV · 2.2 goals / match - Almere City

Almere City is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - MVV · 0.8 goals / match - Almere City

MVV scoring profile: very strong

MVV scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Almere City keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).

Almere City scoring profile: very strong

Almere City scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while MVV keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).

9Goals scored (season)11
MVVAlmere City
5Goals conceded (season)4
MVVAlmere City
2.8Average goals in match3
MVVAlmere City
9Goals scored (last 5)11
MVVAlmere City
5Goals conceded (last 5)4
MVVAlmere City

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal80%
MVVAlmere City
60%2 goals60%
MVVAlmere City
20%3 goals60%
MVVAlmere City
0%4 goals20%
MVVAlmere City

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal80%
MVVAlmere City
20%2 goals0%
MVVAlmere City
0%3 goals0%
MVVAlmere City
0%4 goals0%
MVVAlmere City

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

40%BTTS at half-time40%
MVVAlmere City
20%BTTS in both halves0%
MVVAlmere City
60%Scored in both halves40%
MVVAlmere City

BTTS and goal count

60%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
MVVAlmere City
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS20%
MVVAlmere City
80%BTTS - last 560%
MVVAlmere City

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time40%
MVVAlmere City
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
MVVAlmere City
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
MVVAlmere City

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
MVVAlmere City
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time80%
MVVAlmere City
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time40%
MVVAlmere City

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

MVV is 80% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.8 pts / match - MVV · 1 pts / match - Almere City

MVV - half-time state
40% leading60% draw0% trailing
Almere City - half-time state
0% leading100% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.8Points per match (1st half)1
MVVAlmere City
0.8Goals scored (1st half)0.4
MVVAlmere City
0.4Goals conceded (1st half)0.4
MVVAlmere City
1.2Average goals (1st half)0.8
MVVAlmere City
60%Clean sheet before half-time60%
MVVAlmere City
20%No goal before half-time60%
MVVAlmere City

After half-time (2nd half)

2Points per match (2nd half)2
MVVAlmere City
1Goals scored (2nd half)1.8
MVVAlmere City
0.6Goals conceded (2nd half)0.4
MVVAlmere City
1.6Average goals (2nd half)2.2
MVVAlmere City
40%Clean sheet after half-time60%
MVVAlmere City
20%No goal after half-time20%
MVVAlmere City

MVV - second-half results

60% W20% R20% P
9
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.80
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 80%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Almere City - second-half results

60% W20% R20% P
5
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

MVV - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.00
Goals scored / match0.81.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.21.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+2+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Almere City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.002.00
Goals scored / match0.41.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match0.82.2
1 goal40%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference0+7
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

MVV
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
0
0
16-30
2
0
31-45
2
1
46-60
1
0
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Almere City
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
1
0
16-30
0
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
3
1
61-75
4
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.90
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
73%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
70%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+3%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
80%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

MVV

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.85
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.56
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
87%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
53%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 22% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Almere City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.54
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.38
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+1.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
116%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
38%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.4
Late goals
36% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
36%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).

Teams vs league

MVVLigaAlmere City
Average goals in match 2.803.98 3.00
Both teams scored 80%78% 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 60%74% 60%
Clean sheets 20%11% 20%
Goal before half-time 80%84% 40%
Goal after half-time 100%90% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.98
Average goals per match
78%
Both teams scored
74%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
11%
Clean sheets
2.08
Home goals / match
1.90
Away goals / match
+9%
Home attack advantage
+9%
Home defence advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
10%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
90%
1 goal
64%
2 goals
40%
3 goals
20%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): MVV 0 - 1 - 1 Almere City. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

MVV
1 : 1
Almere City FC
Almere City FC
4 : 0
MVV

FAQ

When do MVV and Almere City play?

MVV face Almere City on 11 September 2026 in Eerste Divisie. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between MVV and Almere City?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches MVV won 0, Almere City won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before MVV vs Almere City?

MVV score 1.80 goals per game on average and Almere City 2.20. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 74% of games. Both teams score in 80% of MVV's matches and 60% of Almere City's.

What form are MVV and Almere City in?

Over the last 5 games MVV have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Almere City 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for MVV vs Almere City?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.