Netherlands - Eerste DivisieData current as of 22 September 2026

MVV vs Helmond Sport: match statistics

Reasoning:

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MVV vs Helmond Sport: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

MVV play Helmond Sport in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match date is 26 September 2026.

Current form

MVV: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Helmond Sport: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

MVV scores 1.43 and concedes 2.14 goals per match. Helmond Sport scores 1.86 and concedes 1.71. League average: 3.77 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: MVV 71%, Helmond Sport 100%. Over 2.5: MVV 71%, Helmond Sport 71%. League level: BTTS 74%, Over 2.5 73%.

xG, shots and style

Helmond Sport has higher xG: 1.24 vs 1.19. MVV: 9.1 shots per match, Helmond Sport: 11.0.

Match halves

MVV: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.86. Helmond Sport: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.71.

Goals by minute

MVV: 76-90+ (3 goals). Helmond Sport: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Eerste Divisie: 3.77 goals per match, BTTS 74%, Over 2.5 73%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.90)
(3.78)
(3.07)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.43Goals scored / match1.86
MVVHelmond Sport
2.14Goals conceded / match1.71
MVVHelmond Sport
53%Average possession43%
MVVHelmond Sport
3.43Shots on target / match3.57
MVVHelmond Sport

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.14Shots per match11
MVVHelmond Sport
3.43Shots on target3.57
MVVHelmond Sport
15.6%Shot conversion16.9%
MVVHelmond Sport
53%Possession43%
MVVHelmond Sport
1.19xG for1.24
MVVHelmond Sport
1.46xG against1.73
MVVHelmond Sport

Shooting quality

MVV: Efficient finishingHelmond Sport: Counter-attacking
MVVHelmond Sport
Accuracy (shots on target)38%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.420.52

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

MVV
WWDLL
Season result split
57% W14% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-1-2
1.86 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Last 5 at home
2-1-1
WWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.00Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Helmond Sport
DLWWL
Season result split
29% W29% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-3
1.14 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-3
Last 5 away
0-0-3
LLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.74BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Helmond Sport is 30% better for: goals scored per match.

1.43 goals / match - MVV · 1.86 goals / match - Helmond Sport

Helmond Sport is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.14 goals / match - MVV · 1.71 goals / match - Helmond Sport

MVV scoring profile: very strong

MVV scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Helmond Sport keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 matches).

Helmond Sport scoring profile: very strong

Helmond Sport scores in 100% of matches (7 of 7 matches), while MVV keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).

10Goals scored (season)13
MVVHelmond Sport
15Goals conceded (season)12
MVVHelmond Sport
3.57Average goals in match3.57
MVVHelmond Sport
5Goals scored (last 5)11
MVVHelmond Sport
12Goals conceded (last 5)9
MVVHelmond Sport

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal100%
MVVHelmond Sport
43%2 goals43%
MVVHelmond Sport
14%3 goals29%
MVVHelmond Sport
0%4 goals14%
MVVHelmond Sport

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal100%
MVVHelmond Sport
43%2 goals57%
MVVHelmond Sport
29%3 goals14%
MVVHelmond Sport
29%4 goals0%
MVVHelmond Sport

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time71%
MVVHelmond Sport
14%BTTS in both halves14%
MVVHelmond Sport
43%Scored in both halves43%
MVVHelmond Sport

BTTS and goal count

57%Min. 3 goals and BTTS71%
MVVHelmond Sport
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
MVVHelmond Sport
60%BTTS - last 5100%
MVVHelmond Sport

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
MVVHelmond Sport
43%Min. 2 goals before half-time86%
MVVHelmond Sport
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time29%
MVVHelmond Sport

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
MVVHelmond Sport
57%Min. 2 goals after half-time43%
MVVHelmond Sport
43%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
MVVHelmond Sport

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

MVV is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.43 pts / match - MVV · 1.29 pts / match - Helmond Sport

MVV - half-time state
29% leading57% draw14% trailing
Helmond Sport - half-time state
29% leading43% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.43Points per match (1st half)1.29
MVVHelmond Sport
0.57Goals scored (1st half)1.14
MVVHelmond Sport
0.71Goals conceded (1st half)1
MVVHelmond Sport
1.29Average goals (1st half)2.14
MVVHelmond Sport
57%Clean sheet before half-time29%
MVVHelmond Sport
43%No goal before half-time0%
MVVHelmond Sport

After half-time (2nd half)

1.43Points per match (2nd half)1
MVVHelmond Sport
0.86Goals scored (2nd half)0.71
MVVHelmond Sport
1.43Goals conceded (2nd half)0.71
MVVHelmond Sport
2.29Average goals (2nd half)1.43
MVVHelmond Sport
29%Clean sheet after half-time43%
MVVHelmond Sport
29%No goal after half-time57%
MVVHelmond Sport

MVV - second-half results

43% W14% D43% L
10
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.43
PPG before half-time
Lead holding197%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.7

Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Helmond Sport - second-half results

14% W57% D29% L
9
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

MVV - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.80
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.61.8
Average goals in match1.02.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-1-6
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Helmond Sport - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.20
Goals scored / match1.21.0
Goals conceded / match1.00.8
Average goals in match2.21.8
1 goal100%80%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal0%40%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

MVV
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
0
1
16-30
2
1
31-45
2
2
46-60
1
3
61-75
3
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Helmond Sport
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
4
2
16-30
2
2
31-45
1
2
46-60
0
2
61-75
4
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.57
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 2.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
95%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
86%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-16%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
86%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

MVV

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.27
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.44
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+6.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.68
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
68%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
127%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.46
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

Helmond Sport

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.49
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.64
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.62
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
111%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
82%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.26
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).

Teams vs league

MVVLigaHelmond Sport
Average goals in match 3.573.77 3.57
Both teams scored 71%74% 100%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 71%73% 71%
Clean sheets 14%14% 0%
Goal before half-time 71%80% 100%
Goal after half-time 100%86% 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.77
Average goals per match
74%
Both teams scored
73%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
14%
Clean sheets
2.09
Home goals / match
1.68
Away goals / match
+24%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defence advantage
+22%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
59%
2 goals
35%
3 goals
19%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): MVV 1 - 1 - 0 Helmond Sport. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

FAQ

When do MVV and Helmond Sport play?

MVV face Helmond Sport on 26 September 2026 in Eerste Divisie. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between MVV and Helmond Sport?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches MVV won 1, Helmond Sport won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before MVV vs Helmond Sport?

MVV score 1.43 goals per game on average and Helmond Sport 1.86. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 73% of games. Both teams score in 71% of MVV's matches and 100% of Helmond Sport's.

What form are MVV and Helmond Sport in?

Over the last 5 games MVV have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Helmond Sport 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for MVV vs Helmond Sport?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for MVV vs Helmond Sport: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.