NAC Breda vs Excelsior: match statistics
NAC Breda sits in 17th place and finds itself in a difficult situation, having not won any of the last five matches (0-3-2). The hosts have weak home form with 27% wins, but relatively decent scoring efficiency at home (1.27 goals per match). Excelsior, in 13th position, also presents poor form (0-4-1 in the last five), and performs even worse away - only 20% wins and as many as 2.3 goals conceded on average per match. Both teams have similar shot conversion (9%) and defensive problems, suggesting a balanced encounter with a high chance of a draw. Considering the poor form of both teams, the slight advantage for the hosts, and statistics indicating a close matchup, a draw seems the most probable result of this match.
NAC Breda vs Excelsior: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
NAC Breda played Excelsior in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 6 February 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
NAC Breda: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Excelsior: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
NAC Breda scores 1.10 and concedes 1.62 goals per match. Excelsior scores 1.05 and concedes 1.76. League average: 3.24 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: NAC Breda 57%, Excelsior 62%. Over 2.5: NAC Breda 57%, Excelsior 62%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
NAC Breda has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.28. NAC Breda: 13.4 shots per match, Excelsior: 11.5.
Match halves
NAC Breda: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.62. Excelsior: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.52.
Goals by minute
NAC Breda: 31-45+ (6 goals). Excelsior: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eredivisie: 3.24 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
NAC Breda sits in 17th place and finds itself in a difficult situation, having not won any of the last five matches (0-3-2). The hosts have weak home form with 27% wins, but relatively decent scoring efficiency at home (1.27 goals per match). Excelsior, in 13th position, also presents poor form (0-4-1 in the last five), and performs even worse away - only 20% wins and as many as 2.3 goals conceded on average per match. Both teams have similar shot conversion (9%) and defensive problems, suggesting a balanced encounter with a high chance of a draw. Considering the poor form of both teams, the slight advantage for the hosts, and statistics indicating a close matchup, a draw seems the most probable result of this match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| NAC Breda | Excelsior | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Excelsior is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - NAC Breda · 0.8 pts / match - Excelsior
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
NAC Breda is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.1 goals / match - NAC Breda · 1.05 goals / match - Excelsior
NAC Breda is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.62 goals / match - NAC Breda · 1.76 goals / match - Excelsior
NAC Breda scores in 62% of matches (13 of 21 matches), while Excelsior keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 matches).
Excelsior scores in 76% of matches (16 of 21 matches), while NAC Breda keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - NAC Breda
Over / Under - Excelsior
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Excelsior is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - NAC Breda · 1.29 pts / match - Excelsior
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
NAC Breda - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 14%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Excelsior - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
NAC Breda
Excelsior
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| NAC Breda | Liga | Excelsior | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.71 | 3.24 | ▼ 2.81 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 57% | 63% | • 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 57% | 62% | • 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 10% | 19% | • 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 81% | 84% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 84% | ▼ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: NAC Breda 0 - 0 - 1 Excelsior. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of NAC Breda vs Excelsior?
The Eredivisie match finished NAC Breda 0:2 Excelsior. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before NAC Breda vs Excelsior?
NAC Breda score 1.10 goals per game on average and Excelsior 1.05. The Eredivisie average is 3.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 57% of NAC Breda's matches and 62% of Excelsior's.
What form are NAC Breda and Excelsior in?
Over the last 5 games NAC Breda have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Excelsior 0-4-1 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for NAC Breda vs Excelsior?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for NAC Breda vs Excelsior: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.