NAC Breda vs Heracles: match statistics
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NAC Breda vs Heracles: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
NAC Breda play Heracles in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match date is 23 October 2026. Venue: Rat Verlegh Stadion.
Current form
NAC Breda: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Heracles: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
NAC Breda scores 2.00 and concedes 1.73 goals per match. Heracles scores 3.27 and concedes 1.18. League average: 3.49 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: NAC Breda 73%, Heracles 64%. Over 2.5: NAC Breda 73%, Heracles 82%. League level: BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Heracles has higher xG: 2.49 vs 2.07. NAC Breda: 20.2 shots per match, Heracles: 22.4.
Match halves
NAC Breda: half-time lead 64%, second-half goals 1.00. Heracles: half-time lead 73%, second-half goals 1.64.
Goals by minute
NAC Breda: 76-90+ (6 goals). Heracles: 31-45+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eerste Divisie: 3.49 goals per match, BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| NAC Breda | Heracles | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
NAC Breda is 30% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - NAC Breda · 2 pts / match - Heracles
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Heracles is 64% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - NAC Breda · 3.27 goals / match - Heracles
Heracles is 47% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.73 goals / match - NAC Breda · 1.18 goals / match - Heracles
NAC Breda scores in 91% of matches (10 of 11 matches), while Heracles keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 matches).
Heracles scores in 91% of matches (10 of 11 matches), while NAC Breda keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - NAC Breda
Over / Under - Heracles
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Heracles is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - NAC Breda · 2.36 pts / match - Heracles
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
NAC Breda - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 64% of matches and wins 55%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Heracles - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 73% of matches and wins 82%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
NAC Breda
Heracles
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).
Teams vs league
| NAC Breda | Liga | Heracles | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.73 | 3.49 | ▲ 4.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 73% | 67% | ▼ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 73% | 66% | ▲ 82% |
| Clean sheets | • 18% | 17% | ▲ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 82% | • 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 82% | 84% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): NAC Breda 2 - 0 - 0 Heracles. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
When do NAC Breda and Heracles play?
NAC Breda face Heracles on 23 October 2026 in Eerste Divisie at Rat Verlegh Stadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between NAC Breda and Heracles?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches NAC Breda won 2, Heracles won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before NAC Breda vs Heracles?
NAC Breda score 2.00 goals per game on average and Heracles 3.27. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 73% of NAC Breda's matches and 64% of Heracles's.
What form are NAC Breda and Heracles in?
Over the last 5 games NAC Breda have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Heracles 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for NAC Breda vs Heracles?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.