Nacional Asunción vs Guaraní: match statistics
Nacional Asunción vs Guaraní: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nacional Asunción played Guaraní in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The match was played on 9 August 2026. Venue: Estadio Arsenio Erico. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Nacional Asunción: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Guaraní: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nacional Asunción scores 1.44 and concedes 1.04 goals per match. Guaraní scores 1.24 and concedes 1.04. League average: 2.47 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nacional Asunción 68%, Guaraní 48%. Over 2.5: Nacional Asunción 44%, Guaraní 44%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Nacional Asunción has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.27. Nacional Asunción: 12.7 shots per match, Guaraní: 11.4.
Match halves
Nacional Asunción: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.88. Guaraní: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Nacional Asunción: 76-90+ (10 goals). Guaraní: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Division Profesional: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 6 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-3. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Nacional Asunción makes excellent use of home advantage: they win 67% of their home matches, score an average of 1.75 goals, and lose only 8% of games. Guaraní win just 17% of their away fixtures, average 1.08 goals, and fail to score in 33% of such matches. The hosts also create more chances, recording 12.42 shots and 4.08 shots on target per match compared with 10.5 and 3.33 for the visitors, while also boasting superior conversion rates of 14% to 10%. Nacional’s home defence concedes 0.83 goals per game, whereas Guaraní allow an average of 1.17 goals away from home and have a negative goal difference of -1. The visitors have won 3 of their last 5 matches overall, but the hosts’ advantage in the home-and-away metrics points to a more likely Nacional victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Recent form clearly favors goals from both teams: BTTS occurred in 80% of Nacional’s last five matches and in 60% of Guaraní’s games. During this period, Nacional averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, while Guaraní scored 1.2 and conceded 1.0 goal per match. Their attacking potential is supported by the latest xG figures: 1.48 for the hosts and 1.55 for the visitors, with their defenses allowing 1.30 and 1.20 xG, respectively. Seasonal BTTS rates are more cautious, at 46% and 50%, but the recent goal data and the similar profiles of both teams give a slight edge to the scenario in which each side scores at least once.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The seasonal profile of both teams clearly supports a low-scoring outcome: fewer than 3.5 goals were scored in 77% of Nacional’s matches and 75% of Guaraní’s. Nacional averages 1.38 goals scored and 0.92 conceded at home, while Guaraní scores 1.08 and allows opponents 1.17 goals away from home. The xG figures are moderate, with the hosts averaging 1.34 xG and the visitors 1.19 xG, pointing to a projection of around 2.40 goals. Even with a slightly more open recent run, in which both teams conceded 6 goals across five matches, the four-goal line remains high compared with their seasonal tendencies.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Nacional Asunción has a clear home advantage profile: they win 54% of their matches, score an average of 1.38 goals and concede just 0.92, while Guaraní win only 17% of their games. The advantage is already evident before half-time, as Nacional led at the break in 38% of their matches, rising to 60% across their last five; Guaraní led at half-time in just 17% of their matches this season. In their last five games, the hosts scored an average of 1.0 first-half goals, compared with 0.4 for the visitors, while Guaraní conceded 0.6 goals in the opening half during this period. After the break, Nacional still possess the stronger attacking output, averaging 0.92 goals compared with Guaraní’s 0.58. Therefore, the most likely HT/FT scenario is for the hosts to lead at the break and maintain their winning advantage through to full-time (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nacional Asunción | Guaraní | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Guaraní is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Nacional Asunción · 1.8 pts / match - Guaraní
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nacional Asunción is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
1.44 goals / match - Nacional Asunción · 1.24 goals / match - Guaraní
Nacional Asunción scores in 88% of matches (22 of 25 matches), while Guaraní keeps a clean sheet in 36% (9 of 25 matches).
Guaraní scores in 68% of matches (17 of 25 matches), while Nacional Asunción keeps a clean sheet in 28% (7 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nacional Asunción
Over / Under - Guaraní
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Guaraní is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - Nacional Asunción · 1.32 pts / match - Guaraní
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nacional Asunción - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Guaraní - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nacional Asunción
Guaraní
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).
Teams vs league
| Nacional Asunción | Liga | Guaraní | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.48 | 2.47 | ▼ 2.28 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 52% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 44% | 44% | • 44% |
| Clean sheets | • 28% | 28% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 68% | 63% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 81% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Nacional Asunción 2 - 1 - 3 Guaraní. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nacional Asunción vs Guaraní?
The Division Profesional match finished Nacional Asunción 0:0 Guaraní. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Nacional Asunción and Guaraní?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Nacional Asunción won 2, Guaraní won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Nacional Asunción vs Guaraní?
Nacional Asunción score 1.44 goals per game on average and Guaraní 1.24. The Division Profesional average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Nacional Asunción's matches and 48% of Guaraní's.
What form are Nacional Asunción and Guaraní in?
Over the last 5 games Nacional Asunción have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Guaraní 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nacional Asunción vs Guaraní?
The statistical background for Nacional Asunción vs Guaraní — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.