Paraguay - Division ProfesionalEstadio Arsenio EricoData current as of 21 September 2026

Nacional Asunción vs Sportivo Ameliano: match statistics

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Nacional Asunción vs Sportivo Ameliano: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Nacional Asunción play Sportivo Ameliano in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The match date is 25 September 2026. Venue: Estadio Arsenio Erico.

Current form

Nacional Asunción: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Sportivo Ameliano: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Nacional Asunción scores 1.48 and concedes 0.85 goals per match. Sportivo Ameliano scores 1.21 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.46 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Nacional Asunción 55%, Sportivo Ameliano 64%. Over 2.5: Nacional Asunción 42%, Sportivo Ameliano 36%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

Nacional Asunción has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.28. Nacional Asunción: 12.5 shots per match, Sportivo Ameliano: 12.4.

Match halves

Nacional Asunción: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.88. Sportivo Ameliano: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.76.

Goals by minute

Nacional Asunción: 76-90+ (15 goals). Sportivo Ameliano: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Division Profesional: 2.46 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 1-3-3. Average goals 2.14, BTTS 57%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Nacional AsunciónSportivo Ameliano
1.48Goals scored / match1.21
Nacional AsunciónSportivo Ameliano
0.85Goals conceded / match1
Nacional AsunciónSportivo Ameliano
Nacional AsunciónSportivo Ameliano
52%Average possession53%
Nacional AsunciónSportivo Ameliano
4.24Shots on target / match3.97
Nacional AsunciónSportivo Ameliano
Nacional AsunciónSportivo Ameliano

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.48Shots per match12.42
Nacional AsunciónSportivo Ameliano
4.24Shots on target3.97
Nacional AsunciónSportivo Ameliano
11.9%Shot conversion9.8%
Nacional AsunciónSportivo Ameliano
52%Possession53%
Nacional AsunciónSportivo Ameliano
1.35xG for1.28
Nacional AsunciónSportivo Ameliano
1.22xG against1.31
Nacional AsunciónSportivo Ameliano

Shooting quality

Nacional Asunción: BalancedSportivo Ameliano: Balanced
Nacional AsunciónSportivo Ameliano
Accuracy (shots on target)34%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Nacional Asunción is 50% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / match - Nacional Asunción · 1.6 pts / match - Sportivo Ameliano

Nacional Asunción
WWLWW
Season result split
48% W36% D15% L
Season (W-D-L)
16-12-5
1.82 pts / match · goal difference +21
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
11-4-1
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WDWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 1.40Opponent xG: 1.44BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 60%
Sportivo Ameliano
DLWWD
Season result split
36% W42% D21% L
Season (W-D-L)
12-14-7
1.52 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-8-3
Last 5 away
1-3-1
DLDWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.35Opponent xG: 1.91BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Nacional Asunción is 22% better for: goals scored per match.

1.48 goals / match - Nacional Asunción · 1.21 goals / match - Sportivo Ameliano

Nacional Asunción is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.85 goals / match - Nacional Asunción · 1 goals / match - Sportivo Ameliano

Nacional Asunción scoring profile: very strong

Nacional Asunción scores in 85% of matches (28 of 33 matches), while Sportivo Ameliano keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 33 matches).

Sportivo Ameliano scoring profile: strong

Sportivo Ameliano scores in 82% of matches (27 of 33 matches), while Nacional Asunción keeps a clean sheet in 39% (13 of 33 matches).

49Goals scored (season)40
Nacional AsunciónSportivo Ameliano
28Goals conceded (season)33
Nacional AsunciónSportivo Ameliano
2.33Average goals in match2.21
Nacional AsunciónSportivo Ameliano
10Goals scored (last 5)5
Nacional AsunciónSportivo Ameliano
1Goals conceded (last 5)6
Nacional AsunciónSportivo Ameliano

How often they score at least...

85%1 goal82%
Nacional AsunciónSportivo Ameliano
42%2 goals30%
Nacional AsunciónSportivo Ameliano
15%3 goals9%
Nacional AsunciónSportivo Ameliano
3%4 goals0%
Nacional AsunciónSportivo Ameliano

How often they concede at least...

61%1 goal79%
Nacional AsunciónSportivo Ameliano
18%2 goals18%
Nacional AsunciónSportivo Ameliano
6%3 goals3%
Nacional AsunciónSportivo Ameliano
0%4 goals0%
Nacional AsunciónSportivo Ameliano

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

55%
Nacional Asunción - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.18 of 33 matches
64%
Sportivo Ameliano - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.21 of 33 matches
52%
League average

Goal patterns

27%BTTS at half-time18%
Nacional AsunciónSportivo Ameliano
3%BTTS in both halves6%
Nacional AsunciónSportivo Ameliano
30%Scored in both halves21%
Nacional AsunciónSportivo Ameliano

BTTS and goal count

30%Min. 3 goals and BTTS30%
Nacional AsunciónSportivo Ameliano
12%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
Nacional AsunciónSportivo Ameliano
0%BTTS - last 560%
Nacional AsunciónSportivo Ameliano

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time61%
Nacional AsunciónSportivo Ameliano
30%Min. 2 goals before half-time18%
Nacional AsunciónSportivo Ameliano
12%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
Nacional AsunciónSportivo Ameliano

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time85%
Nacional AsunciónSportivo Ameliano
39%Min. 2 goals after half-time45%
Nacional AsunciónSportivo Ameliano
9%Min. 3 goals after half-time6%
Nacional AsunciónSportivo Ameliano

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Nacional Asunción is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.39 pts / match - Nacional Asunción · 1.33 pts / match - Sportivo Ameliano

Nacional Asunción - half-time state
30% leading48% draw21% trailing
Sportivo Ameliano - half-time state
27% leading52% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.39Points per match (1st half)1.33
Nacional AsunciónSportivo Ameliano
0.61Goals scored (1st half)0.45
Nacional AsunciónSportivo Ameliano
0.48Goals conceded (1st half)0.39
Nacional AsunciónSportivo Ameliano
1.09Average goals (1st half)0.85
Nacional AsunciónSportivo Ameliano
58%Clean sheet before half-time61%
Nacional AsunciónSportivo Ameliano
48%No goal before half-time61%
Nacional AsunciónSportivo Ameliano

After half-time (2nd half)

1.82Points per match (2nd half)1.39
Nacional AsunciónSportivo Ameliano
0.88Goals scored (2nd half)0.76
Nacional AsunciónSportivo Ameliano
0.36Goals conceded (2nd half)0.61
Nacional AsunciónSportivo Ameliano
1.24Average goals (2nd half)1.36
Nacional AsunciónSportivo Ameliano
73%Clean sheet after half-time48%
Nacional AsunciónSportivo Ameliano
36%No goal after half-time36%
Nacional AsunciónSportivo Ameliano

Nacional Asunción - second-half results

48% W36% D15% L
46
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
60
Second-half points
+17
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.39
PPG before half-time
Lead holding160%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Sportivo Ameliano - second-half results

33% W39% D27% L
44
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
46
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Nacional Asunción - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.202.40
Goals scored / match0.81.2
Goals conceded / match0.00.2
Average goals in match0.81.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%80%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+4+5
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4
Sportivo Ameliano - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.00
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.21.0
Average goals in match0.61.6
1 goal60%100%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Nacional Asunción
ScoredConceded
5
7
0-15
8
3
16-30
7
6
31-45
9
3
46-60
5
5
61-75
15
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.

Sportivo Ameliano
ScoredConceded
5
1
0-15
6
6
16-30
4
6
31-45
7
7
46-60
7
7
61-75
11
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.27
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-6%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
70%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Nacional Asunción

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.50
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-14.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.37
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
107%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
79%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.58
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

Sportivo Ameliano

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
112%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
72%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.08
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).

Teams vs league

Nacional AsunciónLigaSportivo Ameliano
Average goals in match 2.332.46 2.21
Both teams scored 55%52% 64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 42%46% 36%
Clean sheets 39%28% 21%
Goal before half-time 67%64% 61%
Goal after half-time 76%81% 85%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.46
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.38
Home goals / match
1.08
Away goals / match
+28%
Home attack advantage
+22%
Home defence advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (7): Nacional Asunción 1 - 3 - 3 Sportivo Ameliano. Average goals 2.14, both teams scored in 57% matches.

Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 1
Nacional Asunción
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 1
Nacional Asunción
Nacional Asunción
1 : 1
Sportivo Ameliano
Club Nacional
2 : 0
Sportivo Ameliano
Sportivo Ameliano
3 : 0
Club Nacional
Club Nacional
0 : 1
Sportivo Ameliano
Sportivo Ameliano
2 : 1
Club Nacional

FAQ

When do Nacional Asunción and Sportivo Ameliano play?

Nacional Asunción face Sportivo Ameliano on 25 September 2026 in Division Profesional at Estadio Arsenio Erico. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Nacional Asunción and Sportivo Ameliano?

In the last 7 head-to-head matches Nacional Asunción won 1, Sportivo Ameliano won 3 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 2.14 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Nacional Asunción vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Nacional Asunción score 1.48 goals per game on average and Sportivo Ameliano 1.21. The Division Profesional average is 2.46 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Nacional Asunción's matches and 64% of Sportivo Ameliano's.

What form are Nacional Asunción and Sportivo Ameliano in?

Over the last 5 games Nacional Asunción have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Sportivo Ameliano 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nacional Asunción vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nacional Asunción vs Sportivo Ameliano: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.