Bolivia - LFPBEstadio Victor Agustín UgarteData current as of 22 October 2026

Nacional Potosí vs Guabirá: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Nacional Potosí vs Guabirá: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Nacional Potosí play Guabirá in LFPB (Bolivia). The match date is 26 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Victor Agustín Ugarte.

Current form

Nacional Potosí: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Guabirá: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Nacional Potosí scores 1.45 and concedes 1.41 goals per match. Guabirá scores 1.55 and concedes 2.00. League average: 3.01 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Nacional Potosí 55%, Guabirá 68%. Over 2.5: Nacional Potosí 59%, Guabirá 77%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 60%.

xG, shots and style

Nacional Potosí has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.43. Nacional Potosí: 13.2 shots per match, Guabirá: 13.4.

Match halves

Nacional Potosí: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.82. Guabirá: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.86.

Goals by minute

Nacional Potosí: 31-45+ (8 goals). Guabirá: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

LFPB: 3.01 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 60%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 33%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Nacional PotosíGuabirá
1.45Goals scored / match1.55
Nacional PotosíGuabirá
1.41Goals conceded / match2
Nacional PotosíGuabirá
54%Average possession50%
Nacional PotosíGuabirá
4.73Shots on target / match4.86
Nacional PotosíGuabirá

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.18Shots per match13.45
Nacional PotosíGuabirá
4.73Shots on target4.86
Nacional PotosíGuabirá
11%Shot conversion11.5%
Nacional PotosíGuabirá
54%Possession50%
Nacional PotosíGuabirá
1.46xG for1.43
Nacional PotosíGuabirá
1.63xG against1.67
Nacional PotosíGuabirá

Shooting quality

Nacional Potosí: BalancedGuabirá: Balanced
Nacional PotosíGuabirá
Accuracy (shots on target)36%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Nacional Potosí is 40% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Nacional Potosí · 1 pts / match - Guabirá

Nacional Potosí
WWLDL
Season result split
36% W18% D45% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-4-10
1.27 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-1-4
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
WWWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.76Opponent xG: 1.70BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
Guabirá
DLWLD
Season result split
36% W27% D36% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-6-8
1.36 pts / match · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-7
Last 5 away
1-1-3
DWLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.14Opponent xG: 1.88BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Guabirá is 7% better for: goals scored per match.

1.45 goals / match - Nacional Potosí · 1.55 goals / match - Guabirá

Nacional Potosí is 42% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.41 goals / match - Nacional Potosí · 2 goals / match - Guabirá

Nacional Potosí scoring profile: very strong

Nacional Potosí scores in 82% of matches (18 of 22 matches), while Guabirá keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 22 matches).

Guabirá scoring profile: very strong

Guabirá scores in 82% of matches (18 of 22 matches), while Nacional Potosí keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 matches).

32Goals scored (season)34
Nacional PotosíGuabirá
31Goals conceded (season)44
Nacional PotosíGuabirá
2.86Average goals in match3.55
Nacional PotosíGuabirá
7Goals scored (last 5)6
Nacional PotosíGuabirá
8Goals conceded (last 5)13
Nacional PotosíGuabirá

How often they score at least...

82%1 goal82%
Nacional PotosíGuabirá
41%2 goals45%
Nacional PotosíGuabirá
18%3 goals23%
Nacional PotosíGuabirá
5%4 goals5%
Nacional PotosíGuabirá

How often they concede at least...

73%1 goal86%
Nacional PotosíGuabirá
41%2 goals45%
Nacional PotosíGuabirá
18%3 goals32%
Nacional PotosíGuabirá
9%4 goals23%
Nacional PotosíGuabirá

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

55%
Nacional Potosí - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.12 of 22 matches
60%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time32%
Nacional PotosíGuabirá
0%BTTS in both halves9%
Nacional PotosíGuabirá
23%Scored in both halves36%
Nacional PotosíGuabirá

BTTS and goal count

41%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Nacional PotosíGuabirá
18%Min. 3 goals without BTTS27%
Nacional PotosíGuabirá
40%BTTS - last 580%
Nacional PotosíGuabirá

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

68%Min. 1 goal before half-time77%
Nacional PotosíGuabirá
27%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
Nacional PotosíGuabirá
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time23%
Nacional PotosíGuabirá

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time95%
Nacional PotosíGuabirá
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time59%
Nacional PotosíGuabirá
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time23%
Nacional PotosíGuabirá

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Nacional Potosí is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.59 pts / match - Nacional Potosí · 1.23 pts / match - Guabirá

Nacional Potosí - half-time state
41% leading36% draw23% trailing
Guabirá - half-time state
27% leading41% draw32% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.59Points per match (1st half)1.23
Nacional PotosíGuabirá
0.64Goals scored (1st half)0.68
Nacional PotosíGuabirá
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)1
Nacional PotosíGuabirá
1.14Average goals (1st half)1.68
Nacional PotosíGuabirá
59%Clean sheet before half-time41%
Nacional PotosíGuabirá
55%No goal before half-time50%
Nacional PotosíGuabirá

After half-time (2nd half)

1.32Points per match (2nd half)1.45
Nacional PotosíGuabirá
0.82Goals scored (2nd half)0.86
Nacional PotosíGuabirá
0.91Goals conceded (2nd half)1
Nacional PotosíGuabirá
1.73Average goals (2nd half)1.86
Nacional PotosíGuabirá
41%Clean sheet after half-time36%
Nacional PotosíGuabirá
41%No goal after half-time32%
Nacional PotosíGuabirá

Nacional Potosí - second-half results

41% W9% D50% L
35
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.59
PPG before half-time
Lead holding88%

Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 36%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Guabirá - second-half results

41% W23% D36% L
27
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.23
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Nacional Potosí - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.20
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match1.41.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Guabirá - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.40
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match2.00.6
Average goals in match2.61.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals60%0%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-70
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Nacional Potosí
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
3
3
16-30
8
6
31-45
5
6
46-60
7
4
61-75
6
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

Guabirá
ScoredConceded
6
6
0-15
5
7
16-30
4
9
31-45
4
8
46-60
6
6
61-75
9
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.21
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
62%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-27%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
67%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Nacional Potosí

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.21
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
80%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
118%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Guabirá

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.24
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.21
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+5.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.33
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
129%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
110%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.36
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LFPB).

Teams vs league

Nacional PotosíLigaGuabirá
Average goals in match▼ 2.863.01▲ 3.55
Both teams scored▼ 55%60%▲ 68%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)• 59%60%▲ 77%
Clean sheets▲ 27%24%▼ 14%
Goal before half-time▼ 68%75%▲ 77%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%85%▲ 95%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.01
Average goals per match
60%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.81
Home goals / match
1.20
Away goals / match
+51%
Home attack advantage
+34%
Home defence advantage
+23%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
51%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Nacional Potosí 1 - 0 - 2 Guabirá. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.

Guabirá
2 : 1
Nacional Potosí
CD Guabirá
1 : 0
CA Nacional Potosí
CA Nacional Potosí
3 : 0
CD Guabirá

FAQ

When do Nacional Potosí and Guabirá play?

Nacional Potosí face Guabirá on 26 October 2026 in LFPB at Estadio Victor Agustín Ugarte. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Nacional Potosí and Guabirá?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Nacional Potosí won 1, Guabirá won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Nacional Potosí vs Guabirá?

Nacional Potosí score 1.45 goals per game on average and Guabirá 1.55. The LFPB average is 3.01 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Nacional Potosí's matches and 68% of Guabirá's.

What form are Nacional Potosí and Guabirá in?

Over the last 5 games Nacional Potosí have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Guabirá 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nacional Potosí vs Guabirá?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.