Nacional Potosí vs Independiente Petrolero: match statistics
Nacional Potosí vs Independiente Petrolero: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nacional Potosí played Independiente Petrolero in LFPB (Bolivia). The match was played on 22 August 2026. Venue: Estadio Victor Agustín Ugarte. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Nacional Potosí: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Independiente Petrolero: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nacional Potosí scores 1.47 and concedes 1.40 goals per match. Independiente Petrolero scores 1.47 and concedes 1.40. League average: 3.03 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nacional Potosí 67%, Independiente Petrolero 73%. Over 2.5: Nacional Potosí 53%, Independiente Petrolero 80%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Independiente Petrolero has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.33. Nacional Potosí: 12.2 shots per match, Independiente Petrolero: 12.7.
Match halves
Nacional Potosí: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.87. Independiente Petrolero: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Nacional Potosí: 61-75 (5 goals). Independiente Petrolero: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
LFPB: 3.03 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-0. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Nacional Potosí have clear home-field advantages: they win 57% of their matches, score an average of 1.86 goals, and have found the net in every home game. The hosts also create more high-quality chances, averaging 1.50 xG compared with just 0.94 for Independiente Petrolero away from home. However, the visitors are in good form, having collected 10 points from their last five matches while conceding only 4 goals, so their chances remain significant. Petrolero’s away defence nevertheless allows an average of 2.15 xG and keeps a clean sheet in just 14% of away fixtures. Combined with Nacional’s 13.14 shots per match, this points to a narrow home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS signal is clear, as Nacional Potosí record both teams scoring in 63% of their matches, while Independiente Petrolero do so in as many as 86%, compared with the league average of 63%. The visitors have kept a clean sheet in none of their matches this season, while the hosts score an average of 1.13 goals at home, supported by a high xG of 1.72 and 5.75 shots on target per match. Nacional concede an average of 1.25 goals, whereas Independiente score an average of 1.86, strengthening the visitors’ chances of finding the net. In their last five matches, both teams recorded BTTS at 60%, with Nacional averaging 1.8 goals scored and Independiente 1.6. Although the visitors have improved defensively during this run, conceding just 0.8 goals per match, they still allow an average xG of 1.76. Therefore, it is more likely that neither side will finish the match without scoring.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The match odds point to at least two goals: Independiente Petrolero’s games finished with over 1.5 goals in 100% of cases, while Nacional Potosí’s did so in 75%. The visitors score an average of 1.86 goals per match, while the hosts allow opponents a high xG of 1.93. Nacional create plenty of chances, averaging 16.5 shots and recording 1.72 xG, while the visitors’ defense concedes an average of 1.57 goals and allows 2.15 xG. In their last five matches, both teams had 60% of games finish with at least three goals, but the Over 1.5 line remains clearly safer and has the strongest support in the data.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Nacional Potosí has significantly stronger grounds to take the lead: they average 0.50 goals scored and only 0.38 conceded in the first half, while Independiente Petrolero have not led at the break at any point this season. The hosts were ahead after 45 minutes in 38% of their matches, rising to 60% across their last five games, while averaging 1.2 goals scored before half-time. Their creative advantage is also evident over the course of the full match: Nacional’s xG stands at 1.72 compared with 0.94 for the visitors, while the average number of shots on target is 5.75 to 3.43. Although Independiente average 1.43 goals after the break and have won 60% of their last five matches, Nacional allow as many as 16.5 shots per game at home, which supports the likelihood of them preserving a one-goal lead. The 1/1 scenario is therefore the most consistent with the hosts’ very strong start and their superior chance-creation quality.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nacional Potosí | Independiente Petrolero | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Independiente Petrolero is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Nacional Potosí · 2 pts / match - Independiente Petrolero
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nacional Potosí scores in 93% of matches (14 of 15 matches), while Independiente Petrolero keeps a clean sheet in 20% (3 of 15 matches).
Independiente Petrolero scores in 87% of matches (13 of 15 matches), while Nacional Potosí keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nacional Potosí
Over / Under - Independiente Petrolero
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nacional Potosí is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.6 pts / match - Nacional Potosí · 1.13 pts / match - Independiente Petrolero
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nacional Potosí - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 33%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Independiente Petrolero - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nacional Potosí
Independiente Petrolero
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LFPB).
Teams vs league
| Nacional Potosí | Liga | Independiente Petrolero | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.87 | 3.03 | ▼ 2.87 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 63% | ▲ 73% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 53% | 62% | ▲ 80% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 27% | 23% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 73% | • 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 85% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Nacional Potosí 2 - 1 - 0 Independiente Petrolero. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nacional Potosí vs Independiente Petrolero?
The LFPB match finished Nacional Potosí 3:0 Independiente Petrolero. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Nacional Potosí and Independiente Petrolero?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Nacional Potosí won 2, Independiente Petrolero won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Nacional Potosí vs Independiente Petrolero?
Nacional Potosí score 1.47 goals per game on average and Independiente Petrolero 1.47. The LFPB average is 3.03 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Nacional Potosí's matches and 73% of Independiente Petrolero's.
What form are Nacional Potosí and Independiente Petrolero in?
Over the last 5 games Nacional Potosí have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Independiente Petrolero 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nacional Potosí vs Independiente Petrolero?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.