Nacional vs Juventud: match statistics
Nacional vs Juventud: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nacional played Juventud in Primera División (Uruguay). The match was played on 6 September 2026. Venue: Estadio Gran Parque Central. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Nacional: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Juventud: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nacional scores 1.42 and concedes 1.27 goals per match. Juventud scores 1.12 and concedes 1.35. League average: 2.35 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nacional 54%, Juventud 58%. Over 2.5: Nacional 62%, Juventud 46%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Nacional has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.40. Nacional: 11.3 shots per match, Juventud: 10.4.
Match halves
Nacional: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.81. Juventud: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.46.
Goals by minute
Nacional: 76-90+ (9 goals). Juventud: 31-45+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.35 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 80%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Nacional have the stronger case at home, averaging 1.46 goals with an xG of 1.58, while Juventud score just 1.08 goals away from home and create chances worth 1.29 xG. The hosts are also considerably more solid defensively, conceding 0.85 goals per home game compared with Juventud’s 1.38 away from home; this is supported by xGA figures of 0.87 and 1.62, respectively. Nacional average 12.54 shots and 4.38 shots on target per home game, while the visitors record 10.08 and 3.77, suggesting greater control of the chance volume by the hosts. However, Juventud arrive in good form, with 3 wins, a draw and just one defeat in their last five matches, along with a 5:2 goal difference, so a draw remains a realistic outcome. Despite Nacional’s weaker results across their last five games, their superior home performance and defensive stability point to a narrow victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal comes from current form: BTTS occurred in only 20% of both teams’ matches over their last 5 fixtures. Nacional scored just 0.6 goals per match during this period, while Juventud conceded only 0.4, clearly increasing the risk that the hosts will fail to score. On a season-long basis, Juventud has a high BTTS rate of 69%, but Nacional stands at only 46%, while both teams keep a clean sheet in 23% of matches. The league’s average total goals figure is 2.35, whereas Nacional’s and Juventud’s last five matches produced 1.4 goals per game each. Although Juventud’s xG over the last five matches is 1.52, Nacional’s poor attacking efficiency points more strongly towards a scenario in which at least one team fails to score — BTTS - No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Nacional and Juventud have been involved in low-scoring matches: over the course of the season, 77% of games for both teams finished with Under 3.5 goals. In their last five matches, Nacional scored only 3 goals and conceded 4, while Juventud scored 5 and conceded just 2. Neither team exceeded the 2.5-goal line during this period, and the league-wide average is only 2.35 goals. Although Nacional’s season xG stands at 1.51, its recent xG has dropped to 1.15, while Juventud has been conceding just 0.4 goals per match lately. The strongest option is Under 3.5 goals, as losing this bet would require a clear departure from both teams’ highly solid and recent defensive form.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely HT/FT outcome is a draw at half-time followed by a Juventud win, as Nacional have drawn at the break in 80% of their last five matches and scored just 0.2 goals per game before half-time. Over the same period, Juventud have averaged 0.6 first-half goals and led at the break in 40% of their matches, while both teams have kept a clean sheet before half-time very frequently: Nacional in 100% of matches and the visitors in 80%. After the interval, the hosts clearly weaken defensively, conceding an average of 1.00 goal, whereas Juventud score 0.54 goals in second halves. Current form also favours the visitors: they have won 3 of their last 5 matches and averaged 2.0 points per game, compared with Nacional’s 1.4. Despite Nacional’s higher season xG of 1.51 versus 1.29, the hosts’ low attacking output over their last five matches—just 0.6 goals per game—limits their chances of maintaining the lead after half-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nacional | Juventud | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nacional is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Nacional · 1.6 pts / match - Juventud
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nacional is 27% better for: goals scored per match.
1.42 goals / match - Nacional · 1.12 goals / match - Juventud
Nacional is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.27 goals / match - Nacional · 1.35 goals / match - Juventud
Nacional scores in 81% of matches (21 of 26 matches), while Juventud keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 matches).
Juventud scores in 77% of matches (20 of 26 matches), while Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 31% (8 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nacional
Over / Under - Juventud
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Juventud is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / match - Nacional · 1.5 pts / match - Juventud
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Juventud - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 31%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nacional
Juventud
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Nacional | Liga | Juventud | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.69 | 2.35 | ▲ 2.46 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 54% | 49% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 44% | ▲ 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 29% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 66% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 72% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Nacional 2 - 1 - 2 Juventud. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 80% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nacional vs Juventud?
The Primera División match finished Nacional 2:2 Juventud. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Nacional and Juventud?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Nacional won 2, Juventud won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Nacional vs Juventud?
Nacional score 1.42 goals per game on average and Juventud 1.12. The Primera División average is 2.35 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Nacional's matches and 58% of Juventud's.
What form are Nacional and Juventud in?
Over the last 5 games Nacional have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Juventud 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nacional vs Juventud?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nacional vs Juventud: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.