Uruguay - Primera DivisiónEstadio Gran Parque CentralData current as of 21 October 2026

Nacional vs Liverpool FC Montevideo: match statistics

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Nacional vs Liverpool FC Montevideo: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Nacional play Liverpool FC Montevideo in Primera División (Uruguay). The match date is 25 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Gran Parque Central.

Current form

Nacional: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Liverpool FC Montevideo: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Nacional scores 1.55 and concedes 1.21 goals per match. Liverpool FC Montevideo scores 1.33 and concedes 0.94. League average: 2.37 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Nacional 55%, Liverpool FC Montevideo 45%. Over 2.5: Nacional 58%, Liverpool FC Montevideo 42%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 44%.

xG, shots and style

Liverpool FC Montevideo has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.44. Nacional: 11.1 shots per match, Liverpool FC Montevideo: 11.4.

Match halves

Nacional: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.91. Liverpool FC Montevideo: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.70.

Goals by minute

Nacional: 76-90+ (14 goals). Liverpool FC Montevideo: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Primera División: 2.37 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 44%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.14)
(3.14)
(3.13)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
1.55Goals scored / match1.33
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
1.21Goals conceded / match0.94
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
52%Average possession51%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
4.21Shots on target / match4.39
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.06Shots per match11.45
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
4.21Shots on target4.39
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
14%Shot conversion11.6%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
52%Possession51%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
1.44xG for1.48
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
1.07xG against1.21
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo

Shooting quality

Nacional: Efficient finishingLiverpool FC Montevideo: Balanced
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
Accuracy (shots on target)38%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Nacional is 36% better for: last-5 form.

3 pts / match - Nacional · 2.2 pts / match - Liverpool FC Montevideo

Nacional
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
55% W12% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
18-4-11
1.76 pts / match · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
10-2-5
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WDWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.40Opponent xG: 1.09BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Liverpool FC Montevideo
DWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
42% W33% D24% L
Season (W-D-L)
14-11-8
1.61 pts / match · goal difference +13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-6-4
Last 5 away
2-2-1
WDLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.30Opponent xG: 1.09BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Nacional is 17% better for: goals scored per match.

1.55 goals / match - Nacional · 1.33 goals / match - Liverpool FC Montevideo

Liverpool FC Montevideo is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.21 goals / match - Nacional · 0.94 goals / match - Liverpool FC Montevideo

Nacional scoring profile: strong

Nacional scores in 85% of matches (28 of 33 matches), while Liverpool FC Montevideo keeps a clean sheet in 45% (15 of 33 matches).

Liverpool FC Montevideo scoring profile: strong

Liverpool FC Montevideo scores in 76% of matches (25 of 33 matches), while Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 33% (11 of 33 matches).

51Goals scored (season)44
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
40Goals conceded (season)31
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
2.76Average goals in match2.27
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
11Goals scored (last 5)7
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
4Goals conceded (last 5)4
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo

How often they score at least...

85%1 goal76%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
48%2 goals33%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
18%3 goals18%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
3%4 goals6%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal55%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
39%2 goals27%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
12%3 goals12%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
3%4 goals0%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

45%
Liverpool FC Montevideo - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.15 of 33 matches
50%
League average

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time21%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
3%BTTS in both halves6%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
30%Scored in both halves18%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo

BTTS and goal count

48%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
40%BTTS - last 560%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time61%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
27%Min. 2 goals before half-time30%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo

2nd half

85%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
55%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time12%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Nacional - half-time state
33% leading48% draw18% trailing
Liverpool FC Montevideo - half-time state
30% leading55% draw15% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.48Points per match (1st half)1.45
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
0.64Goals scored (1st half)0.64
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
0.48Goals conceded (1st half)0.45
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
1.12Average goals (1st half)1.09
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
64%Clean sheet before half-time67%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
48%No goal before half-time52%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo

After half-time (2nd half)

1.52Points per match (2nd half)1.27
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
0.91Goals scored (2nd half)0.7
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
0.73Goals conceded (2nd half)0.48
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
1.64Average goals (2nd half)1.18
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
48%Clean sheet after half-time58%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo
36%No goal after half-time55%
NacionalLiverpool FC Montevideo

Nacional - second-half results

39% W33% D27% L
49
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
50
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.48
PPG before half-time
Lead holding167%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Liverpool FC Montevideo - second-half results

24% W55% D21% L
48
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
42
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.45
PPG before half-time
Lead holding140%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Nacional - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.402.20
Goals scored / match0.81.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match1.02.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+3+4
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4
Liverpool FC Montevideo - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.40
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.00.8
Average goals in match0.41.8
1 goal40%80%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+2+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Nacional
ScoredConceded
5
4
0-15
8
7
16-30
8
5
31-45
7
6
46-60
9
2
61-75
14
16
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Liverpool FC Montevideo
ScoredConceded
7
3
0-15
4
3
16-30
10
9
31-45
4
6
46-60
8
2
61-75
11
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.52
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+59%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
65%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Nacional

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.37
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.03
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
118%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
114%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+1.24
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Liverpool FC Montevideo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.27
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-13.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.27
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
125%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
72%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.59
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

NacionalLigaLiverpool FC Montevideo
Average goals in match▲ 2.762.37▼ 2.27
Both teams scored▲ 55%50%▼ 45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 58%44%▼ 42%
Clean sheets▲ 33%29%▲ 45%
Goal before half-time• 67%67%▼ 61%
Goal after half-time▲ 85%73%▼ 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.37
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.31
Home goals / match
1.06
Away goals / match
+24%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Nacional 2 - 1 - 0 Liverpool FC Montevideo. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Liverpool FC Montevideo
1 : 3
Nacional
Club Nacional de Football
3 : 1
Liverpool FC Montevideo
Liverpool FC Montevideo
2 : 2
Club Nacional de Football

FAQ

When do Nacional and Liverpool FC Montevideo play?

Nacional face Liverpool FC Montevideo on 25 October 2026 in Primera División at Estadio Gran Parque Central. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Nacional and Liverpool FC Montevideo?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Nacional won 2, Liverpool FC Montevideo won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Nacional vs Liverpool FC Montevideo?

Nacional score 1.55 goals per game on average and Liverpool FC Montevideo 1.33. The Primera División average is 2.37 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Nacional's matches and 45% of Liverpool FC Montevideo's.

What form are Nacional and Liverpool FC Montevideo in?

Over the last 5 games Nacional have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Liverpool FC Montevideo 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nacional vs Liverpool FC Montevideo?

The statistical background for Nacional vs Liverpool FC Montevideo — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.