Nairobi United vs TransMara Sugar: match statistics
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Nairobi United vs TransMara Sugar: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nairobi United play TransMara Sugar in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match date is 23 October 2026.
Current form
Nairobi United: 0-2-0, 1.00 points/match. TransMara Sugar: 0-1-0, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nairobi United scores 1.00 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. TransMara Sugar scores 2.00 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.14 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nairobi United 50%, TransMara Sugar 100%. Over 2.5: Nairobi United 50%, TransMara Sugar 100%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 29%.
xG, shots and style
Nairobi United has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.40. Nairobi United: 10.0 shots per match, TransMara Sugar: 13.0.
Match halves
Nairobi United: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.50. TransMara Sugar: half-time lead 100%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Nairobi United: 31-45+ (1 goals). TransMara Sugar: 16-30 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kenyan Premier League: 2.14 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 29%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-2-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nairobi United | TransMara Sugar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 25% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
TransMara Sugar is 100% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Nairobi United · 2 goals / match - TransMara Sugar
Nairobi United is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Nairobi United · 2 goals / match - TransMara Sugar
Nairobi United scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while TransMara Sugar keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 1 matches).
TransMara Sugar scores in 100% of matches (1 of 1 matches), while Nairobi United keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nairobi United
Over / Under - TransMara Sugar
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
TransMara Sugar is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - Nairobi United · 3 pts / match - TransMara Sugar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nairobi United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
TransMara Sugar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 100% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 2.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 100% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 0% |
| No goal | 0% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nairobi United
TransMara Sugar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Nairobi United | Liga | TransMara Sugar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.14 | ▲ 4.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 43% | ▲ 100% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 29% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 39% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 50% | 43% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 71% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Nairobi United 2 - 2 - 0 TransMara Sugar. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
When do Nairobi United and TransMara Sugar play?
Nairobi United face TransMara Sugar on 23 October 2026 in Kenyan Premier League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Nairobi United and TransMara Sugar?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Nairobi United won 2, TransMara Sugar won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Nairobi United vs TransMara Sugar?
Nairobi United score 1.00 goals per game on average and TransMara Sugar 2.00. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.14 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 29% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Nairobi United's matches and 100% of TransMara Sugar's.
What form are Nairobi United and TransMara Sugar in?
Over the last 5 games Nairobi United have a 0-2-0 record (1.00 points per game) and TransMara Sugar 0-1-0 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nairobi United vs TransMara Sugar?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nairobi United vs TransMara Sugar: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.