Namungo vs Mtibwa Sugar: match statistics
Namungo vs Mtibwa Sugar: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Namungo play Mtibwa Sugar in Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). The match date is 30 June 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Namungo: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Mtibwa Sugar: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Namungo scores 0.86 and concedes 1.07 goals per match. Mtibwa Sugar scores 0.83 and concedes 1.60. League average: 2.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Namungo 48%, Mtibwa Sugar 50%. Over 2.5: Namungo 24%, Mtibwa Sugar 53%. League level: BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
Namungo has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.00. Namungo: 8.9 shots per match, Mtibwa Sugar: 3.5.
Match halves
Namungo: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.45. Mtibwa Sugar: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.43.
Goals by minute
Namungo: 31-45+ (7 goals). Mtibwa Sugar: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligi kuu Bara: 2.17 goals per match, BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Namungo holds a clear advantage in key areas: at home they concede only 0.69 goals per match on average and keep a clean sheet in 54% of games, while Mtibwa concede 1.64 goals on average away and have just 21% clean sheets. Offensively the hosts average 11.08 shots (4 on target) per home match and score 0.92 goals, whereas Mtibwa average 4.78 shots (2.11 on target) away and score only 0.36 goals, failing to score in 64% of their away fixtures. The quality gap is confirmed by xG: Namungo posts 1.57 xG per home match, compared to Mtibwa’s 0.87 xG away, with the visitors allowing 1.78 xG against versus 1.43 xG conceded by Namungo at home. In form over the last 5 matches Namungo have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss (1.2 points per game), while Mtibwa have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses (0.2 points per game). Considering Mtibwa’s poor away effectiveness (0% away wins this season) and the hosts’ defensive and xG superiority, I tip a Namungo win, although Namungo’s high home draw rate (62%) leaves a significant probability of a draw.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Namungo | Mtibwa Sugar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.29 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.69 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Namungo is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.07 goals / match - Namungo · 1.6 goals / match - Mtibwa Sugar
Namungo scores in 66% of matches (19 of 29 matches), while Mtibwa Sugar keeps a clean sheet in 20% (6 of 30 matches).
Mtibwa Sugar scores in 57% of matches (17 of 30 matches), while Namungo keeps a clean sheet in 31% (9 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Namungo
Over / Under — Mtibwa Sugar
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Namungo is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.07 pts / match - Namungo · 0.67 pts / match - Mtibwa Sugar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Namungo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mtibwa Sugar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Namungo
Mtibwa Sugar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).
Teams vs league
| Namungo | Liga | Mtibwa Sugar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.93 | 2.17 | ▲ 2.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 48% | 35% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 24% | 39% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 31% | 39% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | • 59% | 60% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 69% | 63% | ▲ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Namungo 0 - 1 - 0 Mtibwa Sugar. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Namungo vs Mtibwa Sugar?
The Ligi kuu Bara match finished Namungo 2:1 Mtibwa Sugar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Namungo vs Mtibwa Sugar?
Namungo score 0.86 goals per game on average and Mtibwa Sugar 0.83. The Ligi kuu Bara average is 2.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Namungo's matches and 50% of Mtibwa Sugar's.
What form are Namungo and Mtibwa Sugar in?
Over the last 5 games Namungo have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Mtibwa Sugar 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Namungo vs Mtibwa Sugar?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.